Hybridstorm_November2001 wrote:Typically, Sam would have little actual chance of a North American landfall but given that pesky upper-level low (projected to form) and a possible building ridge to the NE of Sam and things become tricky, to say the least. This is, of course, if either of the two players verifies: the upper-level low might not form or be weaker and the ridge might be weaker or in a different position. It is a 50/50 shot between a harmless (to everyone but offshore interests) fish storm and one that either impacts or comes dangerously close to the Eastern Seaboard right now, as I see things. Interesting days (and nights) ahead.
I agree. That cutoff low could be the key. One model created TWO cutoff lows - one over Nova Scotia and one off the Mid-Atlantic. That would be an OTS scenario since those lows would cancel out, but that seems incredibly unlikely. But the Mid-Atlantic cutoff low could be a steering current in itself northwest.