ATL: CLAUDETTE - Remnants - Discussion

[ElectricStorm]

No upgrade so Claudette isn't likely unless something crazy happens or maybe if it can get going off the East Coast after it exits land, but I doubt that happens

[OuterBanker]

Still no change at intermediate. Claudette will likely come in July as this system has run out of time to get anymore organized - 8pm was its last shot as it’ll be inland by 11

Unless it follows the European and becomes Claudette exiting the Carolinas.

[JW-_-]

Derek Ortt had a subtle hint in his Twitter post. When he says Claudette, not PTC. And he is generally conservative.

[Yellow Evan]

Still no change at intermediate. Claudette will likely come in July as this system has run out of time to get anymore organized - 8pm was its last shot as it’ll be inland by 11

I wouldn’t completely rule out a Julia 16 type of situation here.

[tolakram]

SLIDER sunset.

https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu ... aw_width=6

[tolakram]

[JW-_-]

SLIDER sunset.

https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu ... aw_width=6

You posted the money shot.
https://postimg.cc/QKL78yjt

[wxman57]

I think that might be an LLC recon just found. Upgrade to TS Claudette at 8?

That's just a small vortex rotating counter-clockwise around a broad area of low pressure. It's moving to the southwest, away from the convection.

[ElectricStorm]

Well NHC still says it should become a TS still so maybe they are anticipating a special advisory later? Either way it's a close call and impacts will be the same regardless

[Stormybajan]

I think I agree with the NHC not naming PTC3 Claudette (yet) until they find a well defined center. Imagine they named it, and received tons of backlash from persons claiming they are "trying to fill the stat sheet". I think this may be the best example of a Potential Tropical Cyclone since they came up with the term in 2017

[JW-_-]

Looks a 40kt TS. And has for quite some time.

[Dean4Storms]

Can't imagine Recon checking out just a swirl, but oh well. Have to believe the LLC got pulled SSW on the back side of the surface trough. Strange situation.

[Steve]

I think I agree with the NHC not naming PTC3 Claudette (yet) until they find a well defined center. Imagine they named it, and received tons of backlash from persons claiming they are "trying to fill the stat sheet". I think this may be the best example of a Potential Tropical Cyclone since they came up with the term in 2017

Agreed. They catch **** regardless. Of those who whine like Joe B about “whaaaa they name everything” you’d expect them to be on the other side of it. Then again you never know. Sometimes people are fair. I feel like there are arguments both ways. Clearly this could be Claudette. And clearly it’s just fine as PTC3. Getting drizzle in NWFL but nothing major. Coastal Mississippi looks to get a decent band soon.

[tolakram]

I think I agree with the NHC not naming PTC3 Claudette (yet) until they find a well defined center. Imagine they named it, and received tons of backlash from persons claiming they are "trying to fill the stat sheet". I think this may be the best example of a Potential Tropical Cyclone since they came up with the term in 2017

Agreed. They catch **** regardless. Of those who whine like Joe B about “whaaaa they name everything” you’d expect them to be on the other side of it. Then again you never know. Sometimes people are fair. I feel like there are arguments both ways. Clearly this could be Claudette. And clearly it’s just fine as PTC3. Getting drizzle in NWFL but nothing major. Coastal Mississippi looks to get a decent band soon.

The arguments against the NHC change every time, that's the maddening thing. They name too many -or- they should name this! I think the NHC tries to be as objective as possible and with these big sloppy lows and multiple vortices it's difficult.

[Hammy]

I think I agree with the NHC not naming PTC3 Claudette (yet) until they find a well defined center. Imagine they named it, and received tons of backlash from persons claiming they are "trying to fill the stat sheet". I think this may be the best example of a Potential Tropical Cyclone since they came up with the term in 2017

Agreed. They catch **** regardless. Of those who whine like Joe B about “whaaaa they name everything” you’d expect them to be on the other side of it. Then again you never know. Sometimes people are fair. I feel like there are arguments both ways. Clearly this could be Claudette. And clearly it’s just fine as PTC3. Getting drizzle in NWFL but nothing major. Coastal Mississippi looks to get a decent band soon.

The arguments against the NHC change every time, that's the maddening thing. They name too many -or- they should name this! I think the NHC tries to be as objective as possible and with these big sloppy lows and multiple vortices it's difficult.

I'm personally of the thinking that this really should be named at this point--but mostly from a consistency standpoint--they've designated worse looking systems in the past. But I will agree that there seems to be people complaining no matter what they do with just about every storm.

[OuterBanker]

Apparently the GFS is the outlier. The European, Canadian, Icon and navgem all have some kind of remnant low in Eastern NC. Due to baroclinic forcing. The gfs is the only model showing dissipation.
Maybe it will pull a coup and be right.

But, if the other models are right we must ask why was the GFS so wrong.

[Sciencerocks]

[wxman57]

The little southward moving vortex has dissipated. No center to move ashore. Claudette may have to wait until Monday, or August...

[MarioProtVI]

The little southward moving vortex has dissipated. No center to move ashore. Claudette may have to wait until Monday, or August...

I would say more like July. I doubt July will be dead.

[Kazmit]

The little southward moving vortex has dissipated. No center to move ashore. Claudette may have to wait until Monday, or August...

I would say more like July. I doubt July will be dead.

Wishful thinking.