ATL: HENRI - Remnants - Discussion

[GCANE]

Pretty close

[kevin]

Based on recon this seems to be 998-999mb and 55-60 kt at the moment.

[GCANE]

[GCANE]

Recon fix is quite a bit SW of the forecast track.
Major implications for LI and NYC

[drezee]

 https://twitter.com/andretrotter/status/1428696390633357312

[tolakram]

Henri floater https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso2-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

[GCANE]

Lightning encroaching to the center fix from the SW.
Could be a sign that stacking is improving.

[ScottNAtlanta]

Dropsonde just came back 63kts at surface

[weathaguyry]

Dropsonde has 63kts at the surface.

[kevin]

Dropsonde has 63kts at the surface.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_AF304-0408A-HENRI_dropsonde3_20210820-1154.png

Oh wow, that's stronger than I expected. Considering that the dropsonde probably didn't perfectly hit the highest winds area I think it's reasonable to argue that there is a section of Henri with 65 kt winds. Even though I of course won't blame NHC for keeping it at 60 kt if recon itself can't conclusively find evidence of 65+ kt winds.

[ElectricStorm]

Dropsonde has 63kts at the surface.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_AF304-0408A-HENRI_dropsonde3_20210820-1154.png

Oh wow, that's stronger than I expected. Considering that the dropsonde probably didn't perfectly hit the highest winds area I think it's reasonable to argue that there is a section of Henri with 65 kt winds. Even though I of course won't blame NHC for keeping it at 60 kt if recon itself can't conclusively find evidence of 65+ kt winds.

A lot of times those dropsondes will measure a gust instead of the true sustained winds. That might be the case here.

[ScottNAtlanta]

Not a word about this in the NY Times online.

[Category5Kaiju]

I feel like ABC, NBC, FOX, and CNN (you know, the major news organizations) won’t be covering this storm until tomorrow or so. Yeah, I do find it strange that there has not been much mention of this in major news

[ScottNAtlanta]

I feel like ABC, NBC, FOX, and CNN (you know, the major news organizations) won’t be covering this storm until tomorrow or so. Yeah, I do find it strange that there has not been much mention of this in major news

I worry that some people wont know to prepare

[Hypercane_Kyle]

I feel like ABC, NBC, FOX, and CNN (you know, the major news organizations) won’t be covering this storm until tomorrow or so. Yeah, I do find it strange that there has not been much mention of this in major news

Not many people follow the major news organizations these days, especially for tropical weather info. Social media is usually how people hear about storms. I used to live in Providence, RI and the people I know up there seem fully aware of it.

[aspen]

Recon center fix looks west of the 5am NHC forecast, judging by the 8am advisory. This, along with the 6z model runs, could shift the 11am cone into Long Island and Connecticut. Just great.

[tolakram]

Either we're screaming about too much coverage or not enough.

[ChrisH-UK]

Henri seems to be tilted a bit. This is Henri seen from GEOS-16 using the Band 5 Snow/Ice, the low level clouds appear white and the higher level clouds appear grey. As you can see the lower white clouds are rotating around near the northern edge of the upper clouds.

Source - https://col.st/JCdYw

[ScottNAtlanta]

Recon is measuring 1000mb and not even close to the center yet on this pass

[ScottNAtlanta]

 https://twitter.com/AndyHazelton/status/1428698357996851203