WPAC: CHANTHU - Post-Tropical

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Re: WPAC: CHANTHU - Typhoon

#201 Postby doomhaMwx » Thu Sep 09, 2021 4:48 am

It looks like the current EWRC will take a while to finish, and MW shows another band to the north which may trigger another EWRC.

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Re: WPAC: CHANTHU - Typhoon

#202 Postby dexterlabio » Thu Sep 09, 2021 11:07 am

Based on latest IR, it seems Chanthu still likes a pinhole eye after a few EWRC.
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Re: WPAC: CHANTHU - Typhoon

#203 Postby Sciencerocks » Thu Sep 09, 2021 1:22 pm

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Re: WPAC: CHANTHU - Typhoon

#204 Postby Yellow Evan » Thu Sep 09, 2021 2:25 pm

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Nice small but non-pinhole eye.
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Re: WPAC: CHANTHU - Typhoon

#205 Postby Hayabusa » Thu Sep 09, 2021 2:53 pm

Still a spread in the near term then gets complex in the extended, possible Japan threat?
Will Taiwan finally get a typhoon hit for the first time in years?
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Re: WPAC: CHANTHU - Typhoon

#206 Postby Kingarabian » Thu Sep 09, 2021 3:37 pm

Euro shows this attaining a secondary peak as it approaches Taiwan.
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Re: WPAC: CHANTHU - Typhoon

#207 Postby aspen » Thu Sep 09, 2021 3:39 pm

The new eye is taking its time to clear. This will be a very close call for Luzon.
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Re: WPAC: CHANTHU - Typhoon

#208 Postby sikkar » Thu Sep 09, 2021 5:15 pm

Presentation improving with every frame, should peak next 6-12 hours.
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Re: WPAC: CHANTHU - Typhoon

#209 Postby aspen » Thu Sep 09, 2021 5:16 pm

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Re: WPAC: CHANTHU - Typhoon

#210 Postby Yellow Evan » Thu Sep 09, 2021 5:21 pm

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T6.5 again. May make another run at Cat 5 soon.
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Re: WPAC: CHANTHU - Typhoon

#211 Postby ThetaE » Thu Sep 09, 2021 5:35 pm

Dramatic satellite improvements in just the past hour as Chanthu finishes its ERC. Eye clearing out quickly after staying clouded over for a while.

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Re: WPAC: CHANTHU - Typhoon

#212 Postby ElectricStorm » Thu Sep 09, 2021 5:41 pm

This is gonna have to make a hard right soon or it's probably going to be a Cat 5 into Luzon
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Re: WPAC: CHANTHU - Typhoon

#213 Postby Hayabusa » Thu Sep 09, 2021 5:42 pm

First raw 7.0 from ADT
2021SEP09 221000 5.8 949.0 109.8 5.3 5.9 7.0 0.5T/hour ON OFF OFF OFF -8.00 -78.43 EYE 11 IR 59.1 17.07 -124.22 ARCHER HIM-8 27.5
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Re: WPAC: CHANTHU - Typhoon

#214 Postby aspen » Thu Sep 09, 2021 5:53 pm

Unfortunately, it seems that we’re about to see a Cat 5 landfall in Luzon in the next 12 hours. Chthulu is too far south and clearing its eye out too fast.
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Re: WPAC: CHANTHU - Typhoon

#215 Postby TorSkk » Thu Sep 09, 2021 5:56 pm

Nice DT7.5 now with the eye clearing out
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Re: WPAC: CHANTHU - Typhoon

#216 Postby Yellow Evan » Thu Sep 09, 2021 6:04 pm

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T7.5. WMG eye embedded in CMG.
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Re: WPAC: CHANTHU - Typhoon

#217 Postby Hayabusa » Thu Sep 09, 2021 6:12 pm

7.3
2021SEP09 223000 5.8 949.0 109.8 5.4 5.7 7.3 0.5T/hour ON OFF OFF OFF 8.95 -78.41 EYE 11 IR 59.1 17.06 -124.23 ARCHER HIM-8 27.5
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
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Re: WPAC: CHANTHU - Typhoon

#218 Postby ElectricStorm » Thu Sep 09, 2021 6:18 pm

aspen wrote:Unfortunately, it seems that we’re about to see a Cat 5 landfall in Luzon in the next 12 hours. Chthulu is too far south and clearing its eye out too fast.

Chthulu :lol:
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Re: WPAC: CHANTHU - Typhoon

#219 Postby Hurricane2021 » Thu Sep 09, 2021 6:48 pm

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Re: WPAC: CHANTHU - Typhoon

#220 Postby sikkar » Thu Sep 09, 2021 6:55 pm

Hurricane2021 wrote:A Recon is headed for Chanthu :eek: - http://tropicalwestpacific.com/recon/re ... page=sonde

Best news I heard today. When do they hit the center?
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