ATL: HENRI - Remnants - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
hohnywx
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 508
Age: 34
Joined: Sun Jul 19, 2009 8:34 pm
Location: Hastings-on-Hudson, NY

Re: ATL: HENRI - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#141 Postby hohnywx » Wed Aug 18, 2021 10:20 am

0 likes   

SconnieCane
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 998
Joined: Thu Aug 02, 2018 5:29 pm
Location: Madison, WI

Re: ATL: HENRI - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#142 Postby SconnieCane » Wed Aug 18, 2021 10:28 am

Zonacane wrote:Henri could be the first major


...if Grace isn't.
0 likes   

shaneomac
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 43
Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2011 9:19 pm

Re: ATL: HENRI - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#143 Postby shaneomac » Wed Aug 18, 2021 10:53 am

Good chance it can get to a cat 1-2 , i do think it can still go out to sea but the chance is there for it come farther west ..
0 likes   

User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8818
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: ATL: HENRI - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#144 Postby aspen » Wed Aug 18, 2021 11:00 am

Looks like there’s still a developing eyewall, as of an 11z microwave pass:
Image

The experimental intensity estimate puts this as a 65 kt Cat 1 hurricane:
https://rammb-data.cira.colostate.edu/t ... 2108181500
0 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.

Hurricane Mike
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 644
Joined: Tue Apr 10, 2018 7:44 am

Re: ATL: HENRI - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#145 Postby Hurricane Mike » Wed Aug 18, 2021 11:02 am

Video Update on Henri (and Grace, obviously)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R67ab3KoUJc
0 likes   

Sciencerocks
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9154
Age: 39
Joined: Thu Jul 06, 2017 1:51 am

Re: ATL: HENRI - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#146 Postby Sciencerocks » Wed Aug 18, 2021 11:28 am

Image
2 likes   

User avatar
ColdMiser123
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 904
Age: 29
Joined: Mon Sep 26, 2016 3:26 pm
Location: Northeast US

Re: ATL: HENRI - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#147 Postby ColdMiser123 » Wed Aug 18, 2021 12:39 pm

Wish we had current recon data, appears to be the beginning of a mid-level eye on visible satellite imagery.

Image
7 likes   
B.S., M.S., Meteorology & Atmospheric Science

User avatar
Zonacane
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 361
Joined: Tue Aug 03, 2021 2:23 pm

Re: ATL: HENRI - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#148 Postby Zonacane » Wed Aug 18, 2021 12:41 pm

Henri clearing out his eye, likely a category 2 at this point.
1 likes   

User avatar
Kingarabian
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15979
Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
Location: Honolulu, Hawaii

Re: ATL: HENRI - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#149 Postby Kingarabian » Wed Aug 18, 2021 12:48 pm

MSM is going to have a field day with this one if it manages to point at NJ or NY.
3 likes   
RIP Kobe Bryant

User avatar
Kingarabian
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15979
Joined: Sat Aug 08, 2009 3:06 am
Location: Honolulu, Hawaii

Re: ATL: HENRI - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#150 Postby Kingarabian » Wed Aug 18, 2021 12:49 pm

Looks like it's trying to clear an eye for sure. That's despite the shear/sheared look.
0 likes   
RIP Kobe Bryant

User avatar
Stormybajan
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 448
Joined: Thu May 20, 2021 3:21 pm
Location: Windward Islands

Re: ATL: HENRI - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#151 Postby Stormybajan » Wed Aug 18, 2021 12:57 pm

I spy with my little eye...Hurricane Henri
2 likes   
Sad West Indies and Manchester United fan ⚽️

User avatar
Nimbus
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5300
Joined: Mon Jul 19, 2004 10:54 am

Re: ATL: HENRI - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#152 Postby Nimbus » Wed Aug 18, 2021 12:59 pm

You can see the digging trough to the northeast of Henri in the water vaper imagery that missed. Two strengthening storms are likely to change the upper air steering forecast if they were not modeled at the correct initial intensity.
0 likes   

User avatar
Zonacane
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 361
Joined: Tue Aug 03, 2021 2:23 pm

Re: ATL: HENRI - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#153 Postby Zonacane » Wed Aug 18, 2021 1:07 pm

The towers going off in the eastern wall are obscuring the eye on IR and VIS
0 likes   

User avatar
CyclonicFury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2025
Age: 26
Joined: Sun Jul 02, 2017 12:32 pm
Location: NC
Contact:

Re: ATL: HENRI - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#154 Postby CyclonicFury » Wed Aug 18, 2021 1:08 pm

18/1731 UTC 29.8N 67.1W T4.0/4.0 HENRI -- Atlantic
1 likes   
NCSU B.S. in Meteorology Class of 2021. Tropical weather blogger at http://www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145277
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: HENRI - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#155 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 18, 2021 1:10 pm

1 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: HENRI - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#156 Postby tolakram » Wed Aug 18, 2021 1:16 pm

Interesting upper level interaction between Henri and to some extent the outflow of Grace.

Image
2 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Iceresistance
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9288
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Oct 10, 2020 9:45 am
Location: Tecumseh, OK/Norman, OK

Re: ATL: HENRI - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#157 Postby Iceresistance » Wed Aug 18, 2021 1:19 pm

tolakram wrote:Interesting upper level interaction between Henri and to some extent the outflow of Grace.

https://i.imgur.com/lhnafEO.gif


I was thinking that the ULL SW of Henri might force the system to travel further west, like another ULL did to Dorian in 2019, by hooking it towards The Bahamas . . .
0 likes   
Bill 2015 & Beta 2020

Winter 2020-2021 :cold:

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted.

Winter posts are focused mainly for Oklahoma & Texas.

Take any of my forecasts with a grain of salt, refer to the NWS, SPC, and NHC for official information

Never say Never with weather! Because ANYTHING is possible!

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 20009
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: HENRI - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#158 Postby tolakram » Wed Aug 18, 2021 1:23 pm

Henri is supposed to be heavily sheared today from the north, but I'm wondering if the extra heat getting wrapped around that ULL might put Henri in a more favorable environment. It's really right in between the flows at the moment. I'm not a forecaster, so it's just a guess.
1 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Zonacane
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 361
Joined: Tue Aug 03, 2021 2:23 pm

Re: ATL: HENRI - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#159 Postby Zonacane » Wed Aug 18, 2021 1:25 pm

tolakram wrote:Henri is supposed to be heavily sheared today from the north, but I'm wondering if the extra heat getting wrapped around that ULL might put Henri in a more favorable environment. It's really right in between the flows at the moment. I'm not a forecaster, so it's just a guess.

Given the consistent, explosive convective bursts I'd say Henri found a sweet spot.
2 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145277
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: HENRI - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#160 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 18, 2021 1:25 pm

Great news that recon will go starting on Thursday. See the complete TCPOD at the Henri Recon Thread
1 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here


Return to “2021”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest