ATL: ELSA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[aspen]

Elsa is tracking right over the Volcano in St Vincent

https://i.imgur.com/uUek3bM.jpg

If there’s any good news, that might disrupt the core, but the island is small and Elsa is moving fast so it won’t be over it for long.

[BYG Jacob]

Probably 55-60kts now:

02/0530 UTC 12.2N 57.1W T3.5/3.5 ELSA -- Atlantic

almost certainly ..

pulse down has begun ... 12 more hours pulse back up.. ( assuming environment remains conducive) eye begins to show up on visible as a wobbling dark spot.

fun fun..

Not for me. Lots of reports of blown off roofs. For a while (especially around 7:45 am), I thought I would lose mine too. Scary as heck, man!

How much warning did y'all have a hurricane would be bowling through?

[AutoPenalti]

Elsa is tracking right over the Volcano in St Vincent

https://i.imgur.com/uUek3bM.jpg

If there’s any good news, that might disrupt the core, but the island is small and Elsa is moving fast so it won’t be over it for long.

Doubtful, La Soufrière peaks at 4,000ft above sea level, Pico Duarte peaks at above 10,000ft.

[Shell Mound]

 https://twitter.com/WxPatel/status/1410973477843177473

[SunnyThoughts]

This is going to be a major hurricane isn't it

Not sure about a major, but my goodness, just the fact we have a hurricane on 7/2 in this area of the Atlantic is just amazing. Hope it isnt a precursor to the rest of the season.

[kevin]

Elsa is tracking right over the Volcano in St Vincent

https://i.imgur.com/uUek3bM.jpg

If there’s any good news, that might disrupt the core, but the island is small and Elsa is moving fast so it won’t be over it for long.

Doubtful, Volcano peaks at 4,000ft above sea level, Pico Duarte peaks at above 10,000ft.

Also due to its speed the core of Elsa will pass over the peaks in a matter of (tens of) minutes so I'm not sure there would even be enough time to significantly disrupt it.

[Sanibel]

I don't know if this means anything but there is a slightly perceptible coolness to the air here on Sanibel Island that bespeaks less than prime tropical potential...That of course doesn't mean the system won't bring its own tropical air mass with it...

[Weatherboy1]

Wouldn’t be surprised if NHC ups its conservative longer-term intensity forecasts … and with the future path likely to show a FL peninsula landfall … attitudes around here to shift quickly today. IOW, topping off the gas tank and doing other prep stuff just in case!

[psyclone]

I'm really itching for the advisory and it's not early as it often is...

[Buck]

Wow it’s very rare for an advisory to be late.

[AutoPenalti]

Huh, 11am advisory hasn't updated yet. Strange.

[BYG Jacob]

I'm really itching for the advisory and it's not early as it often is...

I imagine Elsa has caused quite a kerfuffle this morning

[Shell Mound]

 https://twitter.com/TylerMyNBC5/status/1410977165752029192

[presidentofyes12]

11am advisory:

...CENTER OF ELSA PASSING NEAR ST. VINCENT AND ST. LUCIA... ...HURRICANE CONDITIONS SPREADING THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...

No change in wind speed

Edit: The storm is now projected to intensify to 80 mph in 12 hours, before it weakens back down into a 75 mph hurricane and then a TS

[lando]

11 am adv
995mb, crawling at a snails pace of 29 mph

[Hurricaneman]

I'm really itching for the advisory and it's not early as it often is...

I imagine Elsa has caused quite a kerfuffle this morning

Been a long time since I’ve seen that word but it’s very fitting as this seems to be intensifying faster than thought even by the experts

[AutoPenalti]

NHC forecasting unfavorable conditions in the GoM.

[Chemmers]

Hopefully the next recon will be able to give us a true Measurement of Elsa strength finger crossed, thinking might see an eye trying to pop out in the next 6 hour or so

[StPeteMike]

NHC forecasting unfavorable conditions in the GoM.

Not bashing the NHC…. I’ll just wait and watch.

[msbee]

Elsa is tracking right over the Volcano in St Vincent

https://i.imgur.com/uUek3bM.jpg

So sad for the people in St Vincent. Double whammy!