ATL: IDA - Remnants - Discussion

[kevin]

Hurricane Ida is here and way sooner than expected. It seems like the stars are aligned to give Ida every single favorable characteristic: Nora won't be a problem, it'll go exactly over the warmest waters, low shear forecast, landfall over what's basically the flattest area in the entire Caribbean. It has all the ingredients to become one of the infamous big ones. Is there anything I've forgotten about that might be able to put a lid on Ida?

[Iceresistance]

Latest Tropical Tidbits on Hurricane Ida

[youtube]https://youtu.be/7y-lpFQ-XLs[/youtube]

[Shell Mound]

 https://twitter.com/burgwx/status/1431305879945572354

[Kazmit]

This morning the NHC had this at 40kts... it’s now ~70kts. That’s a 30kt intensification in 8 hours, which is three times faster than the MINIMUM rate of rapid intensification. Insane.

[Stormgodess]

Y'all some in my area of SE Louisiana, because we are bit inland and between New orleans and Baton Rouge... Just arent getting it!

I dont think in my lifetime that we've had a storm that is more worse case scenerio for us than this one. So nothing to compare it to in order to give them a visual understanding.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Hurricane Ida is here and way sooner than expected. It seems like the stars are aligned to give Ida every single favorable characteristic: Nora won't be a problem, it'll go exactly over the warmest waters, low shear forecast, landfall over what's basically the flattest area in the entire Caribbean. It has all the ingredients to become one of the infamous big ones. Is there anything I've forgotten about that might be able to put a lid on Ida?

If Ida develops an inner core too quickly, it could be a hinderance to intensification past Cuba, as Ida's old inner core could be in a war with the inner one before reaching the loop current.

[Fancy1001]

Hurricane Ida is here and way sooner than expected. It seems like the stars are aligned to give Ida every single favorable characteristic: Nora won't be a problem, it'll go exactly over the warmest waters, low shear forecast, landfall over what's basically the flattest area in the entire Caribbean. It has all the ingredients to become one of the infamous big ones. Is there anything I've forgotten about that might be able to put a lid on Ida?

An Eyewall replacement cycle, and/or time. That’s basically all.

[poof121]

When they will start ordering evacuations for New Orleans and SE Louisiana?

Mayor said mandatory evacuation outside hurricane protection levees in Orleans parish. Voluntary for everyone else.

[dexterlabio]

Hurricane Ida is here and way sooner than expected. It seems like the stars are aligned to give Ida every single favorable characteristic: Nora won't be a problem, it'll go exactly over the warmest waters, low shear forecast, landfall over what's basically the flattest area in the entire Caribbean. It has all the ingredients to become one of the infamous big ones. Is there anything I've forgotten about that might be able to put a lid on Ida?

If Ida develops an inner core too quickly, it could be a hinderance to intensification past Cuba, as Ida's old inner core could be in a war with the inner one before reaching the loop current.

The most favorable condition could allow a seamless eyewall meld within a short span of time. I'm afraid we might see this kind of thing with Ida, which only happens in historic powerful cyclones. I mean just look at the low VWS and very high OHC in the gulf, it's like history is already being made here.

[ConvergenceZone]

I'm starting to wonder if a Cat 4 is possible at this point! Crazy!!!!!!

[Shell Mound]

I'm starting to wonder if a Cat 4 is possible at this point! Crazy!!!!!!

Cat 4 was possible yesterday. Cat 5 is possible as of today.

[HurricaneEnzo]

Hurricane Ida is here and way sooner than expected. It seems like the stars are aligned to give Ida every single favorable characteristic: Nora won't be a problem, it'll go exactly over the warmest waters, low shear forecast, landfall over what's basically the flattest area in the entire Caribbean. It has all the ingredients to become one of the infamous big ones. Is there anything I've forgotten about that might be able to put a lid on Ida?

I'm not sure if dry air is in the forecast but if there is it's a possible inhibitor. Ida is also moving pretty quickly but will probably still have more than enough time to bomb out if other conditions are optimal.

[Iceresistance]

Hurricane Ida is here and way sooner than expected. It seems like the stars are aligned to give Ida every single favorable characteristic: Nora won't be a problem, it'll go exactly over the warmest waters, low shear forecast, landfall over what's basically the flattest area in the entire Caribbean. It has all the ingredients to become one of the infamous big ones. Is there anything I've forgotten about that might be able to put a lid on Ida?

If Ida develops an inner core too quickly, it could be a hinderance to intensification past Cuba, as Ida's old inner core could be in a war with the inner one before reaching the loop current.

The most favorable condition could allow a seamless eyewall meld within a short span of time. I'm afraid we might see this kind of thing with Ida, which only happens in historic powerful cyclones. I mean just look at the low VWS and very high OHC in the gulf, it's like history is already being made here.

Could Ida have the potential to become the 2nd ever GoM storm to have a pressure below 900 MB? (Rita in 2005 was 895 MB)

[skyline385]

I'm starting to wonder if a Cat 4 is possible at this point! Crazy!!!!!!

Cat 4 is very possible since we have models running off old data giving out 115-120kt runs already

[grapealcoholic]

I'm starting to wonder if a Cat 4 is possible at this point! Crazy!!!!!!

A Cat 4 is almost directly forecast

[tolakram]

Levi's latest report.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7y-lpFQ-XLs

Hover over the youtube tag, it tells you how to post. Share from the YT page, and copy that link.

[Fancy1001]

The I storms always end up being extremely forgettable or extremely horrific. There are very few that are in between. I’m pretty sure it’s obvious which side Ida is going to fall into.

[AxaltaRacing24]

We are going to be at least 9/4/2 going into September. That is insane.

[grapealcoholic]

Probably closing in on sub 980 now

[Kazmit]

We are going to be at least 9/4/2 going into September. That is insane.

That would have been an average season 30 years ago.