ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[sbcc]

https://twitter.com/MelindaDeslatte/status/1298802131466674178

I'm sorry to say it, but when I read this, all I can think of is that is at least 150 dead for this storm.

That town is an RV park with a bank and a post office. not good.

Found some pics of Cameron Parish after Rita: https://the-reaction.blogspot.com/2005/09/hurricane-rita-cameron-parish.html

[TheStormExpert]

Does it really matter at this point if its classified a cat 5? To the American people who are about to experience this are not going to be arguing about a 5 or 10 mph difference

Won’t make a difference what so ever! Still would be interesting regardless since we just saw Cat.5 Michael slam the FL Panhandle in October 2018.

[Kazmit]

https://twitter.com/MelindaDeslatte/status/1298802131466674178

I'm sorry to say it, but when I read this, all I can think of is that is at least 150 dead for this storm.

That town is an RV park with a bank and a post office. not good.

On the town’s Wikipedia page it says “Elevation: 3 feet”

[GeneratorPower]

Interestingly, the long forecasted weakening as a result of shear right before landfall by the models did not materialize. It's there, but it did nothing to impede the progress of Laura this evening. Consistently remained 150 mph.

Hispaniola did nothing either.

[DestinHurricane]

"Officials said at least 150 people refused pleas to leave and planned to weather the storm in everything from elevated homes to recreational vehicles in coastal Cameron Parish, which could be completely covered by ocean water."

Recreational vehicles!! Well Darwinism has to take its course I guess.

[cfisher]

I think given the storm's history, being the first Cat 5 landfall classified pre-landfall would be kinda cool. But no big deal either way

[wx98]

Interestingly, the long forecasted weakening as a result of shear right before landfall by the models did not materialize. It's there, but it did nothing to impede the progress of Laura this evening. Consistently remained 150 mph.

Usually only land, cold water, or extremely strong mid-level shear can disrupt systems at this intensity it seems.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Fresh dropsonde found 142 knots on the surface. Much more convincing than the last one, IMO. We'll see what the NHC decides.

[us89]

142 kt dropsonde

[mrbagyo]

Cameron should be a no mans land right now.

[Highteeld]

[eastcoastFL]

https://twitter.com/MelindaDeslatte/status/1298802131466674178

I'm sorry to say it, but when I read this, all I can think of is that is at least 150 dead for this storm.

Kinda had the same thought. Some poor soul will survive and have to relive it all the time. Just very poor judgement. They do these evacs for a reason.

[FLpanhandle91]

What now?

[eastcoastFL]

https://i.imgur.com/UlrBpd7.png

What am I looking at?

[Highteeld]

https://i.imgur.com/UlrBpd7.png

What am I looking at?

Calcasieu Pass weather station

[wx98]

Fresh dropsonde found 142 knots on the surface. Much more convincing than the last one, IMO. We'll see what the NHC decides.

https://i.imgur.com/iXCoMxA.png

I believe a 155 mph landfall intensity at ~935 mbar looks about right, but who knows...

[Highteeld]

What now?
https://i.ibb.co/XzG6PSH/recon-AF300-2513-A-LAURA-dropsonde11-20200827-0349.png

That may just do it. At minimum, it will create a lifelong amount of bickering by weather weenies if not upgraded.

[Beef Stew]

All indications are that's a clean drop, too.

[eastcoastFL]

Jeff has 100k viewers right now. His intensity is a good match for Laura and he looks like he’s in a good spot for when it heats up. Wish I could keep my eyes open long enough to watch.

[AxaltaRacing24]

All indications are that's a clean drop, too.

i'm not critical of the nhc, but this storm feels like it is a category 5 based on evidence.