ATL: EDOUARD - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: FIVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#61 Postby Kazmit » Sat Jul 04, 2020 10:01 am

No watches or warnings? This must be a really small storm. :lol:
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Re: ATL: FIVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#62 Postby toad strangler » Sat Jul 04, 2020 10:12 am

 http://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1279432391845543936


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Re: ATL: FIVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#63 Postby toad strangler » Sat Jul 04, 2020 10:14 am

2005 in a league of it's own


 http://twitter.com/splillo/status/1279432804439191552


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Re: ATL: FIVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#64 Postby toad strangler » Sat Jul 04, 2020 10:37 am

 http://twitter.com/DrRickKnabb/status/1279438393206812673


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Re: ATL: FIVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#65 Postby toad strangler » Sat Jul 04, 2020 10:42 am

 http://twitter.com/splillo/status/1279437645135753218


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Re: ATL: FIVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#66 Postby TheStormExpert » Sat Jul 04, 2020 10:45 am

Yeah the first five storms this year formed in the Subtropics. Not to mention all of the first five storms in 2005 affected land, with three being hurricanes, and two major hurricanes. Not much comparison.
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Re: ATL: FIVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#67 Postby AnnularCane » Sat Jul 04, 2020 10:56 am

So far this is seeming to be one of those seasons where almost everything that wants to develop does though.
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Re: ATL: FIVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#68 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Sat Jul 04, 2020 11:07 am



...and I still argue that Emily 2005 should have retired the name Emily. If you reference it this much it should have been the last one
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Re: ATL: FIVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#69 Postby Ubuntwo » Sat Jul 04, 2020 11:13 am

TheStormExpert wrote:Yeah the first five storms this year formed in the Subtropics. Not to mention all of the first five storms in 2005 affected land, with three being hurricanes, and two major hurricanes. Not much comparison.

Cristobal formed robustly in the tropics.
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Re: ATL: FIVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#70 Postby Shell Mound » Sat Jul 04, 2020 11:13 am


The second NS in 1961 did not form prior to 2 September, yet the season ended up with five majors, including Carla and Hattie.
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Re: ATL: FIVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#71 Postby Hammy » Sat Jul 04, 2020 12:09 pm

TheStormExpert wrote:Yeah the first five storms this year formed in the Subtropics. Not to mention all of the first five storms in 2005 affected land, with three being hurricanes, and two major hurricanes. Not much comparison.


Cristobal formed around 20N.
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Re: ATL: FIVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#72 Postby chaser1 » Sat Jul 04, 2020 12:16 pm

I'm leaning toward thinking that Edouard will become just organized enough to bring risk of beach umbrella damage risk to Bermuda from northerly gusts as it's passing late tonight/early Sunday.
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Re: ATL: FIVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#73 Postby Hurricane Jed » Sat Jul 04, 2020 12:28 pm

TheStormExpert wrote:Yeah the first five storms this year formed in the Subtropics. Not to mention all of the first five storms in 2005 affected land, with three being hurricanes, and two major hurricanes. Not much comparison.


Last time I checked the Bay of Campeche wasn’t located in the subtropics.
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Re: ATL: FIVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#74 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Sat Jul 04, 2020 12:32 pm



I don't think this statistic holds much weight, IMO. Most storms before July 15th are very low ACE scoring storms. We've just happened to have a very active early season.
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Re: ATL: FIVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#75 Postby Hammy » Sat Jul 04, 2020 12:48 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:


I don't think this statistic holds much weight, IMO. Most storms before July 15th are very low ACE scoring storms. We've just happened to have a very active early season.


Not only do I call into question anything before the reliable satellite era, as coverage was spotty before 1966, but the longer it takes to get five storms the higher the ACE will be in the first place in most cases because of when they're forming.
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Re: ATL: FIVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#76 Postby toad strangler » Sat Jul 04, 2020 1:43 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:


I don't think this statistic holds much weight, IMO. Most storms before July 15th are very low ACE scoring storms. We've just happened to have a very active early season.


Agree, it's just a cool factoid to post. Point of reference so to speak. Not every post of mine has season cancel or hyperactive overtones :lol:
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Re: ATL: FIVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#77 Postby aspen » Sat Jul 04, 2020 1:45 pm

Not looking very good...I’m starting to doubt this will get named today.
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Re: ATL: FIVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#78 Postby plasticup » Sat Jul 04, 2020 1:52 pm

Kazmit wrote:No watches or warnings? This must be a really small storm. :lol:

Very unusual to see the forecast for a TS landfall in <18 hours and still no Warning. Feels like the forgot that there is more than fish out here.
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Re: ATL: FIVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#79 Postby TheStormExpert » Sat Jul 04, 2020 1:54 pm

Hammy wrote:
TheStormExpert wrote:Yeah the first five storms this year formed in the Subtropics. Not to mention all of the first five storms in 2005 affected land, with three being hurricanes, and two major hurricanes. Not much comparison.


Cristobal formed around 20N.

My mistake! :oops:
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Re: ATL: FIVE - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#80 Postby TheStormExpert » Sat Jul 04, 2020 2:02 pm

AnnularCane wrote:So far this is seeming to be one of those seasons where almost everything that wants to develop does though.

Of course for now it’s been quantity over quality. But that’s to be expected for barely over a month into the season.
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