ATL: ZETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Hypercane_Kyle]

This should put to sleep any thoughts of a threat to Florida. Enjoy the rainy wx.

https://twitter.com/tropicaltidbits/status/1320136141547491329?

Nothing about that tweet implies there's no threat to Florida. Please don't put words in Levi's mouth.

[SFLcane]

This should put to sleep any thoughts of a threat to Florida. Enjoy the rainy wx.

https://twitter.com/tropicaltidbits/status/1320136141547491329?

Nothing about that tweet implies there's no threat to Florida. Please don't put words in Levi's mouth.

Confidence is actually quite which is what I am implying. Again as the trough lifts high pressure will build near FL and push the storm into the Gulf unfortunately again.

[sphelps8681]

This should put to sleep any thoughts of a threat to Florida. Enjoy the rainy wx.

https://twitter.com/tropicaltidbits/status/1320136141547491329?

Nothing about that tweet implies there's no threat to Florida. Please don't put words in Levi's mouth.

But nothing in his tweet says it will affect S. Florida. But they do have greater confidence it will be toward the Yucatan. We just have to wait and see. It is of course 2020.

[Blown Away]

The convection is diminishing around the LLC near 18.9N/83.1W and exploding over the MLC to the SE.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... t=vis-swir

[wxman57]

Consensus shifted from east of Mobile Bay to clipping SE LA and inland into MS. However, I don't buy the GFS (weak and very far west) and the Euro has a history of being too far west this season. Won't be surprised if the NHC track shifts east of LA over the next few days. South Florida, I think you're in the clear. Florida Panhandle - not in the clear.

[Hypercane_Kyle]

This should put to sleep any thoughts of a threat to Florida. Enjoy the rainy wx.

https://twitter.com/tropicaltidbits/status/1320136141547491329?

Nothing about that tweet implies there's no threat to Florida. Please don't put words in Levi's mouth.

But nothing in his tweet says it will affect S. Florida. But they do have greater confidence it will be toward the Yucatan. We just have to wait and see. It is of course 2020.

Maybe not South Florida, but the Panhandle is definitely at threat from this system.

[hurricanehunter69]

moist air approaching from the north and west. And very tropical air approaching from the south. That dry air in the gulf doesn't stand a chance. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=c ... =undefined

[NXStumpy_Robothing]

moist air approaching from the north and west. And very tropical air approaching from the south. That dry air in the gulf doesn't stand a chance. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=c ... =undefined

Mid-level water vapor, which is generally a better indicator of dry air that is able to infiltrate the circulations of tropical cyclones, tells a little different story. A link to it is here: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=c ... =undefined

Note how entrenched the air is, and considering the forecasted movement of the shortwave troughs, a robust system with a well-defined moisture pocket is going to be needed in order to avoid dry air invasions. Over the next couple of days, the generally moisture-heavy Caribbean will likely inhibit any attempted dry air intrusions in the meantime, but once 28 leaves that area, it's going to need to be a well-defined system if it wants to hang on to its strength and not succumb to the influence of the dry air sitting over the Gulf of Mexico.

[cp79]

Just crazy how every time a storm forms in the Carib this year, HP is over Florida blocking any storm from going there. Just sounds like a broken record this season.

[3090]

Just crazy how every time a storm forms in the Carib this year, HP is over Florida blocking any storm from going there. Just sounds like a broken record this season.

You should be glad if you are a resident of Florida, unless you enjoy destruction, loss of power, loss of life...etc., not to mention all of the inconveniences of missing work and so on. But whatever.

[Blown Away]

Just crazy how every time a storm forms in the Carib this year, HP is over Florida blocking any storm from going there. Just sounds like a broken record this season.

Hurricanes seem to move in bunches year to year... It is the Central Gulf Coast turn this year...

[Aric Dunn]

LLC and MLC appear stacked. LLC looks to have migrated SE a little more.

towers on radar are rotating around. probably be Zeta by next recon.

[crimi481]

Drifted south a bit. If it stays there longer than forecast, and makes it to gulf, should go NE more when trough comes. Ya think?
Not a pro

[ClarCari]

LLC and MLC appear stacked. LLC looks to have migrated SE a little more.

towers on radar are rotating around. probably be Zeta by next recon.

https://i.ibb.co/ftwxjnD/ezgif-com-gif-maker-25.gif

When Spot the Eye man Aric Dunn says it’s stacked best believe him

[Blown Away]

Drifted south a bit. If it stays there longer than forecast, and makes it to gulf, should go NE more when trough comes. Ya think?
Not a pro

Yeah, you can see the convection moving S and consolidating near where the MLC was earlier... I think any delays leaving the Caribbean will result in more E influence on track...

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... product=ir

[Aric Dunn]

LLC and MLC appear stacked. LLC looks to have migrated SE a little more.

towers on radar are rotating around. probably be Zeta by next recon.

https://i.ibb.co/ftwxjnD/ezgif-com-gif-maker-25.gif

When Spot the Eye man Aric Dunn says it’s stacked best believe him

that little void though is not an eye.. lol just noting the towers

[aspen]

If TD28/Zeta acts like Gamma and Delta and begins a phase of extremely rapid intensification tomorrow once the MLC and LLC are firmly stacked, this might have a chance of becoming yet another October major, and could generate another 10-15 ACE like Delta or Epsilon.

[ClarCari]

LLC and MLC appear stacked. LLC looks to have migrated SE a little more.

towers on radar are rotating around. probably be Zeta by next recon.

https://i.ibb.co/ftwxjnD/ezgif-com-gif-maker-25.gif

When Spot the Eye man Aric Dunn says it’s stacked best believe him

that little void though is not an eye.. lol just noting the towers

I know! I was referring that you know how to spot a LLC like a needle in a haystack!! haha

[Blown Away]

When Spot the Eye man Aric Dunn says it’s stacked best believe him

that little void though is not an eye.. lol just noting the towers

I know! I was referring that you know how to spot a LLC like a needle in a haystack!! haha

If we are still going with the 8pm position of 18.9N/83.1W it is almost completely void of convection... That big convection burst is centered @17.9N/82.7W... Recon would be nice...

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/sat ... t=vis-swir

[cycloneye]

Up to 30 kts.

28L TWENTY-EIGHT 201025 0000 18.9N 83.1W ATL 30 1004