ATL: HANNA - Remnants - Discussion

[hurricaneCW]

If it continues to get organized today then we may have Hannah by tonight or early tomorrow morning.

Will in all likelihood set another early storm record.

[Aric Dunn]

I thought there was supposed to be a recon mission this morning?

Yeah, I think I read they were supposed to take off at 5:45?

that was a NOAA flight. apparently it got canceled.

but the AF plane is almost there now.

[catskillfire51]

I thought there was supposed to be a recon mission this morning?

Yeah, I think I read they were supposed to take off at 5:45?

I see they are in the air now, I thought i saw 4:45 but hopefully soon we will get a better idea of TD8

[Aric Dunn]

I thought there was supposed to be a recon mission this morning?

Yeah, I think I read they were supposed to take off at 5:45?

I see they are in the air now, I thought i saw 4:45 but hopefully soon we will get a better idea of TD8

Should have a center pass in the next two sets.

[tropicwatch]

Yeah, I think I read they were supposed to take off at 5:45?

I see they are in the air now, I thought i saw 4:45 but hopefully soon we will get a better idea of TD8

Should have a center pass in the next two sets.

Good indication that it is getting better organized with the HH finding steadily increasing easterly winds as it approaches.

[SoupBone]

this is coming together quite nicely.

nice MLC over top of the LLC convection building.

I would not go with global models on this one either..

For what exactly? Trajectory/landfall, intensity?

There have been very minimal changes to our internal path in several days, I'm curious what you're referring.

[GCANE]

That ULL over FL and the TUTT to its east are starting to combine.
A poleward outflow channel could develop after all.

[wxman57]

I think we can toss out that 125kt SFMR wind...

[Aric Dunn]

recon will find the center right about here.

[Stormcenter]

Not looking so hot this morning on sat.
Again hard to make out a center or motion.

[stormlover2013]

Not looking so hot this morning on sat.
Again hard to make out a center or motion.

It loooks way better, don’t know what ur looking at

[GCANE]

Convection appears to be lightening up a bit.
Maybe they'll be able to sample the wind field better this time.

[Stormcenter]

Not consolidated at all and no clear center.

Not looking so hot this morning on sat.
Again hard to make out a center or motion.

It loooks way better, don’t know what ur looking at

[Aric Dunn]

Not consolidated at all and no clear center.

Not looking so hot this morning on sat.
Again hard to make out a center or motion.

It loooks way better, don’t know what ur looking at

Ummmm yes it has and yes it does..

[wxman22]

Not looking so hot this morning on sat.
Again hard to make out a center or motion.

Um its a tropical depression it can only look so good...

[Aric Dunn]

Center is definitely farther east and under the convection.. pretty much right where I circled above.

plane slightly missed center

[Stormcenter]

Hey it’s only my opinion. Not hating on the thing. Lol

Not looking so hot this morning on sat.
Again hard to make out a center or motion.

Um its a tropical depression it can only look so good...

[Aric Dunn]

Interesting.. per recon looks like the center has reformed even farther east into the convection. which makes sense larger burst of convection

[wxman57]

Crosshairs mark the recon-found center. Convection has been decreasing in the area over the last few hours. Buoys have yet to report even 20kt winds nearby. It's still a rather disorganized depression, but at least it does have convection in the area of the LLC today. I see NHC bumped landfall winds to 45 kts, which matches my forecast. Landfall between Matagorda Bay & Corpus Christi Saturday morning. They copied my track.

[Aric Dunn]

even more interesting.. looks like a couple vorts but there is one well to the SE in the ver deep convection.

if that takes over then it is in prime location for momentum transfer and help with deepening.