ATL: ETA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Nuno]

I'm confident that Miami will be under a hurricane watch by tomorrow afternoon. Possibly a hurricane warning by Sunday. No school.

I’m guessing you haven’t seen the latest 12z GFS yet?

One model run doesn't atomically mean it should be completely trusted like you seem to be doing. Wait for other models runs before making such quick judgments.

People will never learn. Need to see what the rest of the 12z suite says, and see if such trends continue at 18z.

[underthwx]

Looks like ETA is getting better organized....again....all yall in Florida be prepared my friends....can anyone tell me when ETA was first designated a depression?....it's been so long now, I can't remember...

[AutoPenalti]

Going into the weekend, as a Miami teacher, I just want to know if school will be cancelled on Monday! LOL

I'm confident that Miami will be under a hurricane watch by tomorrow afternoon. Possibly a hurricane warning by Sunday. No school.

I’m guessing you haven’t seen the latest 12z GFS yet?

I highly doubt the NHC will base the intensity off a run, there needs to be consistency. Which we had none of as of now.

[Cat5James]

After 3 consecutive runs of the GFS showing a borderline hurricane, lets not all harp on one weak run as the end all be all...

[ObsessedMiami]

I’m guessing you haven’t seen the latest 12z GFS yet?

One model run doesn't atomically mean it should be completely trusted like you seem to be doing. Wait for other models runs before making such quick judgments.

People will never learn. Need to see what the rest of the 12z suite says, and see if such trends continue at 18z.

People? Or that person?

[TheStormExpert]

I'm confident that Miami will be under a hurricane watch by tomorrow afternoon. Possibly a hurricane warning by Sunday. No school.

I’m guessing you haven’t seen the latest 12z GFS yet?

I highly doubt the NHC will base the intensity off a run, there needs to be consistency. Which we had none of as of now.

I’m waiting to see what the rest of the 12z suite shows, especially the Euro before breathing easier.

[TheStormExpert]

Eta is a weaker shell of itself. Currently looks like an elongated mess when looking at visible satellite loops.

[caneseddy]

Going into the weekend, as a Miami teacher, I just want to know if school will be cancelled on Monday! LOL

I'm confident that Miami will be under a hurricane watch by tomorrow afternoon. Possibly a hurricane warning by Sunday. No school.

I’m guessing you haven’t seen the latest 12z GFS yet?

Or maybe because he is not basing it off on one run like some here are.

Like others have said- One run does not make a trend. Last night and this morning there was a borderline hurricane into south Florida and this run shows a nothingburger. Can it happen? Sure it can, just as easily as the next run can go back to a hurricane. Recon this afternoon will be key

Right now it’s a mess but that was expected; these things take time to consolidate. Let’s see what happens when r recon flies in

[Iceresistance]

Wrong mission type?

AF300 Mission #7 into INVEST

[TheProfessor]

Eta is a weaker shell of itself. Currently looks like an elongated mess when looking at visible satellite loops.

https://s8.gifyu.com/images/24E417B3-6E88-46BB-81CF-A6743BF2A4FC.gif

It just got off a 2-3 day trek over mountains, I'm not exactly sure what you expect it to look like at this point. Now that it's off the coast, the next 24 hours will be important to see if there's any time of consolidation, if at all.

[hurricanehunter69]

Definitely looks better on Mimic than it does visible satellite. It appears to be starting to spin faster too. I would expect visible to start looking much better soon. Also, the environment looks rather decent...http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/m ... anim=html5

[AnnularCane]

Looks like ETA is getting better organized....again....all yall in Florida be prepared my friends....can anyone tell me when ETA was first designated a depression?....it's been so long now, I can't remember...

5 pm on Halloween.

I had to double check the time but the date was easy to remember.

[SFLcane]

Going into the weekend, as a Miami teacher, I just want to know if school will be cancelled on Monday! LOL

I'm confident that Miami will be under a hurricane watch by tomorrow afternoon. Possibly a hurricane warning by Sunday. No school.

You heard it here first folks! Buckle up SFL

[FireRat]

Going into the weekend, as a Miami teacher, I just want to know if school will be cancelled on Monday! LOL

I'm confident that Miami will be under a hurricane watch by tomorrow afternoon. Possibly a hurricane warning by Sunday. No school.

Wow 57, rarely see you this gung-ho about a hurricane, definitely gets my attention! Thanks for the heads up, I will let my folks down there know about this possible storm because I'm sure most have their backs turned on the tropics with the election going on. Gonna be quite a weather surprise and yeah, some will likely lose power. A strong TS or Cat 1 is more than enough for significant impacts and floods down in South FL. I remember when Katrina ran over Miami-Dade as a Cat 1 and caused lots of power outages and tree damage.

[Blown Away]

I'm confident that Miami will be under a hurricane watch by tomorrow afternoon. Possibly a hurricane warning by Sunday. No school.

I’m guessing you haven’t seen the latest 12z GFS yet?

I highly doubt the NHC will base the intensity off a run, there needs to be consistency. Which we had none of as of now.

Models have been in the 980-995 for many runs, decent consistency IMO.

[zeehag]

eta the storm that keeps on giving.. my fla peeps in boats have hunkered already pre last cane and are waiting their doom.. hopefully this is a dudly not a reality. most of these peeps were squawking before the storm hurt the central american coast.
watching it closely for them.

[TheStormExpert]

Going into the weekend, as a Miami teacher, I just want to know if school will be cancelled on Monday! LOL

I'm confident that Miami will be under a hurricane watch by tomorrow afternoon. Possibly a hurricane warning by Sunday. No school.

What about Broward and Palm Beach counties?

[SFLcane]

Going into the weekend, as a Miami teacher, I just want to know if school will be cancelled on Monday! LOL

I'm confident that Miami will be under a hurricane watch by tomorrow afternoon. Possibly a hurricane warning by Sunday. No school.

What about Broward and Palm Beach counties?

Pretty confident if issued that from broward down to the keys a hurricane watch will be needed.

[TheProfessor]

Going into the weekend, as a Miami teacher, I just want to know if school will be cancelled on Monday! LOL

I'm confident that Miami will be under a hurricane watch by tomorrow afternoon. Possibly a hurricane warning by Sunday. No school.

What about Broward and Palm Beach counties?

A watch (If NHC pulls the trigger on hurricane watches) for Broward and PB may come later (Though they may group Dade and Broward together) both the HMON and HWRF were further north this run, if that trend continues then we will see more shifts in the TVCN as well as the NHC track and watches will have to be issued further north.

[Iceresistance]

AF300 is inside Eta.