ATL: NANA - Remnants - Discussion

[us89]

If that's the case I wouldn't even rule out a possible major given the low shear and +30C SSTs in that area.

[wxman57]

Perhaps a Cat 8?

[HurricaneEnzo]

Yep this is escalating quickly. OHC definitely isn't going to be a problem for this one. These waters are mostly untapped for the better part of a decade. At least it is trucking along.

[GCANE]

Pinhole #2

[Aric Dunn]

Perhaps a Cat 8?

its 2020.. now you are catching on..

[drezee]

Hello Nana!

I would rather Omar...but ok

[NDG]

This is not same Caribbean from years past, I can only imagine how October will be

[aspen]

I didn’t check this thread for a mere 20 minutes, and now recon is showing a 45-55 kt tropical storm. That escalated quickly...

[xironman]

SHIP has always been bullish on this strengthening, so maybe a win there for it. Looks to miss Honduras, people in Belize should keep an eye out.

[TheStormExpert]

This is not same Caribbean from years past, I can only imagine how October will be

Florida is going to have some problems come October if conditions remain favorable!

[tailgater]

Pressure was only 1004 mb. So maybe not a hurricane yet. But who knows 2020

[Aric Dunn]

Just for fun.. here is OSCAT..

waiting to see if ASCAT is even close.. not likely.

[AnnularCane]

I didn’t check this thread for a mere 20 minutes, and now recon is showing a 45-55 kt tropical storm. That escalated quickly...

See what happens when you leave the forum for even a minute to live your life?

[jaguars_22]

So this storm will most likely continue to head west? Nothing turning it northward correct?

[HurricaneEnzo]

Not often you come right out of the gate as a 45-55kts system. Only problem it seems it is going to have is the rate of speed at which it is moving. There has been a little bit of SAL out ahead of this area moving in conjunction with it but probably won't cause a whole lot of issues as it looks to be moving out of the way.

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/s ... plit&time=

[tropicwatch]

The NHC has upgraded the watches to warnings but no official name as of yet.

[wxman57]

So this storm will most likely continue to head west? Nothing turning it northward correct?

Correct. High pressure dominates the Gulf to its north. It's Belize-bound then dissipating over Guatemala or southern Mexico.

[aspen]

Nana already has a tiny and well-defined core, and it still has 48 hours over 29-30C waters. Based on the NHC’s first discussion, Nana will encounter a moderately favorable environment, with moderate shear and a bit of dry air here and there. A hurricane is looking pretty likely at this point, and a RI phase is possible if the core can remain intact.

[us89]

Pressure was only 1004 mb. So maybe not a hurricane yet. But who knows 2020

Core is so small with such a tight pressure gradient that it wouldn’t surprise me if they missed the lowest pressures.

[galaxy401]

We hava Nana!

Tropical Storm Nana Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162020
1205 PM EDT Tue Sep 01 2020

...POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE STRENGTHENS TO TROPICAL STORM NANA...

Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft data indicate that the
potential tropical cyclone has become Tropical Storm Nana. The
maximum winds are estimated to be 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher
gusts. A special advisory will be issued to update the forecast
within the hour.

SUMMARY OF 1205 PM AST...1605 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.5N 77.7W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SW OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
$$
Forecaster Blake/Stewart