ATL: LAURA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Hurricaneman]

Definitely moving NNW now

That’s the MLC and it’s moving towards the LLC near the Mona Passage

[eastcoastFL]

PR radar for link for Laura:
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/~mnissenbaum/RadarArchive/TJUA/loop.html

So are there multiple competing rotations? To the east of the ascat center there is a pretty strong rotation on radar

On radar we're seeing mostly the mid-level rotation. The low-level rotation is displaced from the mid-level currently (ASCAT shows the low-level vorticity).

Thanks. I’m trying to match it up on visible but I’m having a hard time. I thought I saw the llc on visible where the nhc has it and then convection blew up over it and I lost it.

[eastcoastFL]

Looking at the mass as whole on radar it appears headed due west

[CaribJam]

How is Laura affecting our friends in Puerto Rico?

Stay safe everyone who is in the path of this storm (and I recognize that the exact path is unknown at this time).

[St0rmTh0r]

Definitely moving NNW now

That’s the MLC and it’s moving towards the LLC near the Mona Passage

Yea I thought so thanks for confirming

[St0rmTh0r]

That’s starting to look like a real storm on radar. I don’t think this one is going to die out

Looking at this loop the LLC is south of Puerto rico unless that's the MLC but it looks like a LLC just popped underneath

One which one are you looking at. I see what seems to be 2 rotations south of PR with the strongest along 66w and 17.5n

Correction on that LLC near mona passage that's the MLC south of PR same area your talking about

[IsabelaWeather]

saved loop

https://i.imgur.com/GQpSBNa.gif

I'm thinking on driving down to Cabo Rojo and see it. But I am not sure if the storm will go NW... Not sure what to do lol

[cjrciadt]

saved loop

https://i.imgur.com/GQpSBNa.gif

I'm thinking on driving down to Cabo Rojo and see it. But I am not sure if the storm will go NW... Not sure what to do lol

Could it stall in the striaghts and then bounce due N due to weakness?

[eastcoastFL]

Is it my eyes, it looks like storms are trying to wrap around the mlc

[eastcoastFL]

Convection really deepening SW of PR blow up of pink cloud tops on IR

[Sanibel]

The main question is will the islands force the center to jump north seeking water?...

[USTropics]

So are there multiple competing rotations? To the east of the ascat center there is a pretty strong rotation on radar

On radar we're seeing mostly the mid-level rotation. The low-level rotation is displaced from the mid-level currently (ASCAT shows the low-level vorticity).

Thanks. I’m trying to match it up on visible but I’m having a hard time. I thought I saw the llc on visible where the nhc has it and then convection blew up over it and I lost it.

You can just make out some of the low-level flow on the mesoscale satellite loops, a crude outline:


Here is a quick radar overlay to show the displacement currently:

[cycloneye]

The Cayey doppler radar in the central mountains of PR just had a 62 mph gust.

[Blown Away]

saved loop

https://i.imgur.com/GQpSBNa.gif

That’s starting to look like a real storm on radar. I don’t think this one is going to die out

Looking at this loop the LLC is south of Puerto rico unless that's the MLC but it looks like a LLC just popped underneath

The 12z HWRF 6hrs is almost spot on where the COC is moving on radar.

[cp79]

It needs to pull up north fast or else it’s got a battle on its hands. Those mountains are no joke. They took Erika and 2015 and beat the crap out of it. Same with Debby in 2000....and those were a lot stronger than this. So I’m not convinced with these models that this thing survives if it takes the long track over the GA. A short track skirting it to the north and it can.

[HurricaneEnzo]

Interesting...

Sent from my SM-N986U1 using Tapatalk

[blp]

No doubt now the MLC is rotating around and will eventually win out and be the dominant one once the llc crashes and burns over DR. HWRF scenario playing out quite excellent right now.

[alienstorm]

60 MPH winds coming in with MLC as it comes ashore.

[ElectricStorm]

It needs to pull up north fast or else it’s got a battle on its hands. Those mountains are no joke. They took Erika and 2015 and beat the crap out of it. Same with Debby in 2000....and those were a lot stronger than this. So I’m not convinced with these models that this thing survives if it takes the long track over the GA. A short track skirting it to the north and it can.

I've seen some posters on here say that if it is more disorganized then the center can relocate over water more easily

[tolakram]

saved loop