ATL: NANA - Remnants - Discussion

[SconnieCane]

Has been upgraded to TD 16 in best track for ATCF:

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AL, 16, 2020090112,   , BEST,   0, 160N,  768W,  35, 1005, LO,  34, NEQ,   70,    0,    0,   70, 1011,  120,  70,   0,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,    SIXTEEN, D,  0,    ,    0,    0,    0,    0, genesis-num, 033, TRANSITIONED, alB92020 to al162020, DISSIPATED, al162020 to al992020, TRANSITIONED, alC92020 to al162020,

PTC. Not yet a tropical cyclone.

[tailgater]

A little farther west than I thought. I’d still be surprised if recon finds a closed CoC

[Aric Dunn]

surprised they just did not wait the extra 45 min for recon.

[Aric Dunn]

very interesting with those two building towers south of the main curved band ...

[GCANE]

I hope recon sticks around for a while.
Strong towers tracking into a large and deepening theta-e ridge

[Laminar]

I hope recon sticks around for a while.
Strong towers tracking into a large and deepening theta-e ridge

https://i.imgur.com/0QQHI5H.png

Hey I can see my house from there...urgh.

[ConvergenceZone]

I hope that the rest of this month and next month continue to just have low end tropical storms. At least the explosion of strong storms isn’t happening like I was scared it would. Laura was enough! Hopefully the weaker storm trend will continue

[Aric Dunn]

[TheStormExpert]

So I wonder if this will ever get a name?

[Laminar]

Any thoughts on possible gains in latitude? Even an Earl level hit took all of our docks and dive shops in ‘16. We are three weeks away from opening for tourism since shutting down in March...

They lifted our lockdown at midnight so that the ferries can start evac runs to the mainland today for those living in wooden houses at sea level (Ie most of our town). It’s a mess with COVID at the same time. Need recon to get in there already...!

[aspen]

PTC-16 will only have another 48-ish hours over water before making landfall in Belize. However, it’s already in good shape, so I think this could become a minimum of a moderate (45-55 kt) tropical storm. This will depend on whether recon finds a closed TS or a still-developing but strong wave.

[Argcane]

What is that little swirl to the SE of the system? 14°N 75°W approx. May that be the LLC?

[ScottNAtlanta]

The last couple of frames it looks closed off to me, but it is flying to the west

[ScottNAtlanta]

Recon is getting pretty close now. Wont be long

[MarioProtVI]

What is that little swirl to the SE of the system? 14°N 75°W approx. May that be the LLC?

http://img.gustfront.com.ar/rep/2009/goes16_vis_16l_202009011115.gif

Looks like an old dying vort it had earlier — clouds motions suggest developing one is further up near the convection.

[tailgater]

Recon is getting pretty close now. Wont be long

What altitude are they flying on this mission?

[Aric Dunn]

They didnt say

PTC..


"NHC will initiate advisories on the low pressure area south of Jamaica at 11 AM EDT (1500 UTC). "

[AnnularCane]

That's weird, don't they usually say what they're going to be called? Maybe they don't know yet?

[aspen]

Recon is descending down to operational altitude. It shouldn’t be long before it does its first pass.

[Visioen]

You know who predicted this would still be a wave? Models did

same models predicted laura and marco and almost every other system this not to develop until they were force fed that it was there.

I know I know, just trying to bring some nuance to the discussion. I felt like why not say it when they are right...