ATL: SALLY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8819
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1601 Postby aspen » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:19 am

I think a Cat 2+ is now firmly back on the table, due to that explosive hot tower (it’s so large it should be called a hot fortress) and how the models have pushed back landfall time quite a lot. It’s possible Sally could remain in the Gulf for another 36-48 hours!
5 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.
Top
User avatar
Buck
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1173
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:04 pm
Location: Atlanta, GA

Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1602 Postby Buck » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:22 am

RL3AO wrote:The current visible satellite Loop is a perfect example of the atmosphere being a fluid. A rapidly Rising thunderstorm hit the boundary that is the tropopause and it could only spread outward with gravity ways and all that. What a beautiful image.


Wow, just incredible. Saved that image!
4 likes   
Top
User avatar
tailgater
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3339
Joined: Sun Jul 11, 2004 9:13 pm
Location: St. Amant La.

Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1603 Postby tailgater » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:25 am

Still a good bit of shear hitting it, notice how to COD doesn’t expand much on the western side of the storm. It would have to continue to blow up to fight it off. Which is possible.
1 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1604 Postby northjaxpro » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:27 am

Buck wrote:
RL3AO wrote:The current visible satellite Loop is a perfect example of the atmosphere being a fluid. A rapidly Rising thunderstorm hit the boundary that is the tropopause and it could only spread outward with gravity ways and all that. What a beautiful image.


Wow, just incredible. Saved that image!


Yes it is a breath taking image to behold.
3 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
Top
ClarCari
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 579
Joined: Thu Aug 13, 2020 11:02 am

Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1605 Postby ClarCari » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:29 am

Buck wrote:
RL3AO wrote:The current visible satellite Loop is a perfect example of the atmosphere being a fluid. A rapidly Rising thunderstorm hit the boundary that is the tropopause and it could only spread outward with gravity ways and all that. What a beautiful image.


Wow, just incredible. Saved that image!

Is it cool if you can post it in this thread please!? I can’t find a place for visible satellite that’s not spotty. :oops: All I saw was one frame of a very pretty blowup in the center! :eek:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
tailgater
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3339
Joined: Sun Jul 11, 2004 9:13 pm
Location: St. Amant La.

Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1606 Postby tailgater » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:31 am

Guessing pressure will be down to 996mb this pass
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
TJRE
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 188
Joined: Sun Jun 02, 2013 9:04 am
Location: New Jersey

Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1607 Postby TJRE » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:31 am

ClarCari wrote:
Buck wrote:
RL3AO wrote:The current visible satellite Loop is a perfect example of the atmosphere being a fluid. A rapidly Rising thunderstorm hit the boundary that is the tropopause and it could only spread outward with gravity ways and all that. What a beautiful image.


Wow, just incredible. Saved that image!

Is it cool if you can post it in this thread please!? I can’t find a place for visible satellite that’s not spotty. :oops: All I saw was one frame of a very pretty blowup in the center! :eek:


https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=s ... =undefined
1 likes   
Top
ClarCari
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 579
Joined: Thu Aug 13, 2020 11:02 am

Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1608 Postby ClarCari » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:36 am

TJRE wrote:
ClarCari wrote:
Buck wrote:
Wow, just incredible. Saved that image!

Is it cool if you can post it in this thread please!? I can’t find a place for visible satellite that’s not spotty. :oops: All I saw was one frame of a very pretty blowup in the center! :eek:


https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=s ... =undefined

Thank you!

Amazing...It’s like a nuclear explosion. Absolutely beautiful and terrifying.....
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
tropicwatch
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3391
Age: 61
Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
Location: Panama City Florida
Contact:
Contact tropicwatch

Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1609 Postby tropicwatch » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:39 am

Might be an illusion but it looks like an eye might be trying to pop out.
https://www.rainviewer.com/weather-radar-map-live.html
0 likes   
Tropicwatch


Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
Top
User avatar
FLpanhandle91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1033
Age: 34
Joined: Mon Sep 13, 2010 3:50 pm
Location: Fort Walton Beach, FL

Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1610 Postby FLpanhandle91 » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:40 am

Center relocation?!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
MississippiWx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1699
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2010 1:44 pm
Location: Hattiesburg, Mississippi

Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1611 Postby MississippiWx » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:40 am

And the center has relocated to The northeast under the intense convection.
0 likes   
This post is not an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of MississippiWx and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
tropicwatch
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3391
Age: 61
Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
Location: Panama City Florida
Contact:
Contact tropicwatch

Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1612 Postby tropicwatch » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:40 am

Based on where the HH is headed, looks like Sally took a wobble to the northeast.
1 likes   
Tropicwatch


Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
Top
cfisher

Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1613 Postby cfisher » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:40 am

FLpanhandle91 wrote:Center relocation?!

Looks like it based on Recon's path.
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
MississippiWx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1699
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2010 1:44 pm
Location: Hattiesburg, Mississippi

Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1614 Postby MississippiWx » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:41 am

panamatropicwatch wrote:Based on where the HH is headed, looks like Sally took a wobble to the northeast.


Definitely a relocation, not a wobble.
3 likes   
This post is not an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of MississippiWx and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21238
Age: 42
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:
Contact Aric Dunn

Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1615 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:42 am

Hey look if reformed to the ENE>. go figure :P

now the track changes will get interesting
Last edited by Aric Dunn on Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:43 am, edited 1 time in total.
6 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
Top
User avatar
DestinHurricane
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 935
Joined: Tue May 01, 2018 8:05 am
Location: New York, NY

Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1616 Postby DestinHurricane » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:43 am

Looks like the center relocation Aric was talking about has happened. Aric nailed it.
7 likes   
Michael 2018
Top
cfisher

Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1617 Postby cfisher » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:43 am

Aric Dunn wrote:Hey look if reformed to the ENE>. go figure :P

lol, this one's going nuclear
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 15446
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1618 Postby NDG » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:43 am

Recon shows that the LLC moved back east towards the MLC.
0 likes   
Top
bella_may
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 908
Joined: Wed Dec 22, 2010 2:13 pm
Location: SE Mississippi coast

Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1619 Postby bella_may » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:46 am

Eerily quiet here in southeast Mississippi this morning. Even some sun peaking through lol
1 likes   
Top
User avatar
kevin
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2587
Age: 26
Joined: Wed Aug 28, 2019 4:35 am

Re: ATL: SALLY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1620 Postby kevin » Mon Sep 14, 2020 8:46 am

Sally is really taking off, really didn't expect it to do so well considering how it looked ~6 hours ago. Not that it looked bad, but I didn't expect it to look this good now.

2 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2020”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 15 guests