ATL: SALLY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[cheezyWXguy]

The center is right between the two large towers on radar and satellite. very deep convection building right now on the south side.

https://i.ibb.co/NYyz1zW/5.gif

That's a meso. Unless it brings a low to the surface, which is entirely possible I guess?

Meso’s aren’t 50 miles across, but I suspect it probably is in mid levels and trying to drill down. Llc could be close to aligned with it though

[cfisher]

If that monstrosity of a tower is able to wrap around the core..

[GCANE]

That tower a couple hours ago kicked it off.

[edu2703]

 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1305481634037329920

[Aric Dunn]

hmmm winds are 10 to 20 kts in that heavy tower ?? per recon..

there has to be some sort of relocation happening.

[cfisher]

hmmm winds are 10 to 20 kts in that heavy tower ?? per recon..

there has to be some sort of relocation happening.

They didn't fly through the tower due to the absurd updrafts/turbulence.

 https://twitter.com/TheSteveCop/status/1305481237331677185

[Aric Dunn]

hmmm winds are 10 to 20 kts in that heavy tower ?? per recon..

there has to be some sort of relocation happening.

They didn't fly through the tower due to the absurd updrafts/turbulence.

https://twitter.com/TheSteveCop/status/1305481237331677185?s=20

Still should not be 10 to 20 kts in that area lol

[GCANE]

Quite a bit lower FL winds than surface.
They are at 850mb.
Indicates strong downdraft from the tower.

[cfisher]

hmmm winds are 10 to 20 kts in that heavy tower ?? per recon..

there has to be some sort of relocation happening.

They didn't fly through the tower due to the absurd updrafts/turbulence.

https://twitter.com/TheSteveCop/status/1305481237331677185?s=20

Still should not be 10 to 20 kts in that area lol

Eh, I'm more interested to see if this thing can power through the shear and wrap.

[GCANE]

That warm-core feature on IR, next to the Hot Tower, is getting bigger and warmer.

[us89]

Extrapolated surface pressure is still just 998 mb. I really thought that would be lower after the convective blowups last night.

That said, that NW quad has a very broad TS wind field. This is going to be a storm where you definitely don’t have to be close to the center to see impacts.

[cheezyWXguy]

The llc could be consolidating under the mlc. Radar velocities suggest that mlc is tightening up

[Dean4Storms]

It’s westward movement is just enough right now to induce some weak shear keeping it from getting aligned 100%, when it slows or turns northward that will change.

[Aric Dunn]

Those light winds to the NE of the recon fix under that very pronounced Circ just above the surface on radar.. indicated a likely relocation of the center is ongoing.

that is a huge swath of light winds where it should not be. Relocation or getting pulled ENE in that white circ possibly

[DestinHurricane]

Those light winds to the NE of the recon fix under that very pronounced Circ just above the surface on radar.. indicated a likely relocation of the center is ongoing.

that is a huge swath of light winds where it should not be. Relocation or getting pulled ENE in that white circ possibly

https://i.ibb.co/BrJ4vKX/Capture.png

I imagine this could have some small implications on the track.

[hipshot]

Very interesting look on visible this morning.

https://whirlwind.aos.wisc.edu/~wxp/goes16/grb/meso_vis_sqrt/meso1_30.html

Is the LLC at the center of that expanding cloud deck. If so, it looks pretty symmetrical to me at the moment in that image.

[ronyan]

Those light winds to the NE of the recon fix under that very pronounced Circ just above the surface on radar.. indicated a likely relocation of the center is ongoing.

that is a huge swath of light winds where it should not be. Relocation or getting pulled ENE in that white circ possibly

https://i.ibb.co/BrJ4vKX/Capture.png

I just saw a tweet from Levi Cowan pointing out the same, may be the start of something.

[edu2703]

 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1305486318919614464

[cfisher]

:eyes-emoji:

[SconnieCane]

This is certainly one of the oddest storms I've ever tracked, in keeping with 2020's record. With hints of a small, tight core developing as it emerged from Florida, I was expecting it to stack and deepen quickly once the shear abated. Instead it is behaving more like Ike, which had a flat, broad pressure gradient after having its core tore up by Cuba and took a long time to get it back together, but this storm had no such prolonged interaction with mountainous terrain.