ATL: IOTA - Remnants - Discussion

[supercane4867]

Continues to impress

[underthwx]

One of the planes hit a bird?

Yes the flight earlier today that eventually measured a cat 5 winds hit a bird during take-off so they had to switch planes. That's why that mission was delayed by ~1 hour.

I was wondering why there were 2 mission 6s listed on tropical tidbits. I thought they just got the flight number wrong or something

I heard that too about the birdstrike....friend of mine told me...

[aspen]

The eye is cooling a bit on IR imagery, indicating that a slight weakening trend might be starting. Iota is probably a high end Cat 4 by now.

[hurricaneCW]

Eye looks more symmetrical than ever. I really doubt this has weakened much. Maybe it's a tad weaker at 155mph but that's it.

[ElectricStorm]

Final recon mission not all that far away now

[wx98]

Final recon mission not all that far away now

Should be there in about an hour.

[supercane4867]

New microwave pass. No ERC whatsoever

[Jr0d]

It is November 16th and we have the strongest storm of the year...this is just insane.

I can only hope those in harm's way have heard the warnings and taken taken measures to save lives. The wind, surge, flood and landslide threat for Iota is off the scale. The US has never faced a storm that had this much catastrophic potential.

[ElectricStorm]

Convection warming a little on the east side but the eye is very symmetrical now. I'm thinking recon finds a similar storm to the last pass. 135-140kts, similar pressure

[aspen]

New microwave pass. No ERC whatsoever

https://i.imgur.com/eGlccZ6.jpg

Maybe there was an eyewall meld that just finished up. That would explain the now-gone concentric eyewalls and the slight cooling of the eye.

[supercane4867]

Long IR loop. Eye shape is actually much better now than this morning, except cooler overall

[EquusStorm]

Might not be a C5 landfall but as far as I know could set the pressure record for landfall in Nicaragua at least. Super impressive.

[Comradez]

Seems like god really does not want the city of Puerto Cabezas to exist...

[supercane4867]

Sunsetting over Iota. Landfall should occur in the next few hours

[sikkar]

Notable warming of convection on the east side although the eye is as symmetric as ever. Maybe it's colder waters or shear? Still a monster cane regardless.

[Craters]

I was laying in this exact same position on my right side of my body, in this exact same spot on my exact same couch, drinking the same exact beer watching this IR for Eta two weeks ago thinking it was finally it for the most part this season...

Life is strange yall.

I'm guessing that's a pretty flat beer by now...

[Andy_L]

Where is the latest recon? Getting close??

[ColdMiser123]

Notable warming of convection on the east side although the eye is as symmetric as ever. Maybe it's colder waters or shear? Still a monster cane regardless.

Coldest convection is now firing on the downshear side of the storm (western semicircle), so this combined with the slightly cooler eye suggests that this is probably a Category 4 now.

Regardless of exact intensity, this is a catastrophic event unfolding for Nicaragua.

[NDG]

New recon shows winds in the northern eyewall have come down some, pressure up maybe a mb or two.

[aspen]

The N quadrant is unusually weak — 120/125 kt FL, and only 90/95 kt SFMR. Recon also wasn’t able to get the lowest pressure, although it’s still in the high 910s.