ATL: IOTA - Remnants - Discussion

[GCANE]

I hope that's the beginning of a moat, NE of the CoC.
Need to see if Recon reports a RH measurement of 26% or higher in the eye at 700mb.

https://i.imgur.com/Ll3xg6u.png

Shows better on this one

[supercane4867]

I believe this will be the shortest S2k thread for a Category 5 storm that impacts land since 2005:

Lorenzo '19: 29 pages
Emily '05: 45 pages
Rita '05: 53 pages
Iota '20: 66 pages
Katrina '05: 111 pages
Maria '17: 153 pages
Michael '18: 219 pages
Wilma '05: 282 pages
Ivan '04: 352 pages
Matthew '16: 546 pages
Irma '17: 622 pages

(Isabel '03 did not have a contemporaneous thread, or if it did, it is now deleted.)

Really tells you most folks really have been stressed out of this season...

[galaxy401]

Had a feeling I would wake up to a Category 5. Unbelievable that this happened on November 16. This is going to be terrible for the people in Iota's path.

[GCANE]

Could be starting to see leveling off in intensification.
The core continuous to warm, BUT the cold pool has significantly warmed.

https://i.imgur.com/3dQxev2.gif

https://i.imgur.com/rX6GlEQ.gif

https://i.imgur.com/pNB0nMc.gif

ADT thinks so

[Iceresistance]

I hope that's the beginning of a moat, NE of the CoC.
Need to see if Recon reports a RH measurement of 26% or higher in the eye at 700mb.

https://i.imgur.com/Ll3xg6u.png

Shows better on this one

https://i.imgur.com/NwCGasu.png

Does that mean that a EWRC is possible now?

[MGC]

November 16th and Cat-5 hurricane don't mix. Impressive indeed. Lets pray for an eyewall replacement and knock those winds down a category or two....MGC

[aspen]

Could be starting to see leveling off in intensification.
The core continuous to warm, BUT the cold pool has significantly warmed.

https://i.imgur.com/3dQxev2.gif

https://i.imgur.com/rX6GlEQ.gif

https://i.imgur.com/pNB0nMc.gif

ADT thinks so

https://i.imgur.com/7sWinWA.gif

I don’t think this has truly leveled off just yet. The eye has become much clearer and better defined since the previous flight left, so Iota has probably dropped another couple of mbar. However, based on what you’ve been posting, I do believe it will slow down/halt eventually.

[wxman57]

OK, 2020, you've made your point. You can end now. Ready to put this season to bed and take the rest of the year off (comp days + vacation days = I'm done for 2020).

Have to watch for a brief Kappa forming north of Colombia late this week.

[Iceresistance]

IR is still showing a CAT 5



Eye Temperture is now up to +25C

[Nuno]

Pretty remarkable that we have a category five so late in the season. Maybe the 2nd one of the season...

[supercane4867]

Could be starting to see leveling off in intensification.
The core continuous to warm, BUT the cold pool has significantly warmed.

https://i.imgur.com/3dQxev2.gif

https://i.imgur.com/rX6GlEQ.gif

https://i.imgur.com/pNB0nMc.gif

ADT thinks so

https://i.imgur.com/7sWinWA.gif

I don’t think this has truly leveled off just yet. The eye has become much clearer and better defined since the previous flight left, so Iota has probably dropped another couple of mbar. However, based on what you’ve been posting, I do believe it will slow down/halt eventually.

A concentric structure doesn't necessarily mean the intensification have really come to a halt. It's merely a precursor for leveling off soon or later.

[Iceresistance]

Recon is getting closer to Iota

[supercane4867]

New hot tower visible in the southern eyewall

[Kazmit]

I'm always a fan of the wide shot.

[DestinHurricane]

IR is still showing a CAT 5

https://www.weathernerds.org/satellite/sessions/GOES16_1km_ir_202011161605_12.50_14.50_-83.00_-80.75_ir1_ltng16_hgwy_warn_weathernerds.png

Eye Temperture is now up to +25C

What do you mean IR is showing cat 5? You talking about ADT??

[Iceresistance]

Lot's of lightning inside Iota, especially on the West side

[Iceresistance]

IR is still showing a CAT 5

https://www.weathernerds.org/satellite/sessions/GOES16_1km_ir_202011161605_12.50_14.50_-83.00_-80.75_ir1_ltng16_hgwy_warn_weathernerds.png

Eye Temperture is now up to +25C

What do you mean IR is showing cat 5? You talking about ADT??

I was meaning that it's still very strong

[DestinHurricane]

IR is still showing a CAT 5

https://www.weathernerds.org/satellite/sessions/GOES16_1km_ir_202011161605_12.50_14.50_-83.00_-80.75_ir1_ltng16_hgwy_warn_weathernerds.png

Eye Temperture is now up to +25C

What do you mean IR is showing cat 5? You talking about ADT??

I was meaning that it's still very strong

You can't really tell intensity by just looking at IR. Dvorak is a good estimate, recon is best. But an IR image in no way confirms that this is a cat 5.

[Iceresistance]

What do you mean IR is showing cat 5? You talking about ADT??

I was meaning that it's still very strong

You can't really tell intensity by just looking at IR. Dvorak is a good estimate, recon is best. But an IR image in no way confirms that this is a cat 5.

I forgot that, and speaking of which, what is the latest numbers for Dvorak intensity?

[USTropics]

Recon mission #07 (AF304) is all systems go, approaching first pass soon: