ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[gfsperpendicular]

That big ol triangular eye is wobbling towards the coast at an alarming rate...

[p1nheadlarry]

That big ol triangular eye is wobbling towards the coast at an alarming rate...

Illuminati confirmed

[NDG]

These Dorian-spawned tornadoes look really intense. Some of them could be EF3+

https://twitter.com/WeatherNation/status/1169606092445274113

I don't understand why these tornadoes are so intense. Usually tropical tornadoes are very weak EF0s or EF1s.

One thing is that there is more CAPE over the Carolina coast and plenty of vertical wind shear.

Yeah, very unusual to see so large tornadoes & water spouts in a tropical system

[tolakram]

Live visible

https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&z=3&im=28&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&sec=conus&p%5B0%5D=band_02&x=6398.8359375&y=4486.87939453125

floater
https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&z=2&im=18&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&sec=mesoscale_01&p%5B0%5D=band_02&x=773.4247856140137&y=1114.4539184570312

[bjackrian]

Charleston airport currently reporting 35 kt sustained gusting as high as 48 kt.

KCHS 051415Z AUTO 35035G48KT 1 3/4SM R15/4000VP6000FT +RA BR SCT010 OVC017 23/22 A2933 RMK AO2 PK WND 36048/1413 VIS 1 1/4V2 1/2 P0010 T02330222 $

[Aric Dunn]

buoy just about in the center is down to 959mb

[NDG]

Buoy 41004 is now in the eye, winds way down, pressure down to 960 mb, air temp up to 80.1F with 100% humidity

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page. ... tion=41004

Conditions at 41004 as of
(9:50 am EDT)
1350 GMT on 09/05/2019:
Unit of Measure: Time Zone:
Click on the graph icon in the table below to see a time series plot of the last five days of that observation.

5-day plot - Wind Direction Wind Direction (WDIR): ESE ( 110 deg true )
5-day plot - Wind Speed Wind Speed (WSPD): 27.2 kts
5-day plot - Wind Gust Wind Gust (GST): 38.9 kts
5-day plot - Wave Height Wave Height (WVHT): 21.3 ft
5-day plot - Dominant Wave Period Dominant Wave Period (DPD): 11 sec
5-day plot - Average Period Average Period (APD): 8.0 sec
5-day plot - Mean Wave Direction Mean Wave Direction (MWD): SSE ( 148 deg true )
5-day plot - Atmospheric Pressure Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 28.36 in
5-day plot - Air Temperature Air Temperature (ATMP): 80.1 °F
5-day plot - Water Temperature Water Temperature (WTMP): 82.4 °F
5-day plot - Dew Point Dew Point (DEWP): 80.1 °F
5-day plot - Heat Index Heat Index (HEAT): 87.4 °F
5-day plot - Wind Speed at 10 Meters Wind Speed at 10 meters (WSPD10M): 29.1 kts
5-day plot - Wind Speed at 10 Meters Wind Speed at 20 meters (WSPD20M): 31.1 ktss

[northjaxpro]

MB may just barely escape a direct hit. Wilmington will not be so lucky however.

Judging by the latest satellite and radar, I'd say Myrtle Beach is about to be hammered. Hopefully those in vulnerable areas along the coast took the evacuation orders seriously!

Yes, keep all in prayer there and up through the N.C. Coast.

[SunnyThoughts]

https://wcti12.com/watch Live from emerald isle where the tornado destroyed so many rv's

[supercane4867]

Looks like the center is finally start turning NE, also there's a tornadic squall line approaching NC

[plasticup]

Live visible

https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&z=3&im=28&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&sec=conus&p%5B0%5D=band_02&x=6398.8359375&y=4486.87939453125

floater
https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&z=2&im=18&ts=1&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&map=1&lat=0&opacity%5B0%5D=1&hidden%5B0%5D=0&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&sec=mesoscale_01&p%5B0%5D=band_02&x=773.4247856140137&y=1114.4539184570312

Such a weird-looking storm - huge deep eye, solid convection. I can't remember the last time I saw one like this.

[wx98]

Looks like the center is finally start turning NE, also there's a tornadic squall line approaching NC

https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/6bf2c80604b5cabefd5c001598e6c2a471ab9e0a1c69dfcee369e1cd026d5f69.gif

It’s like it’s trying to fake out SC and turn northeast at the last second...

[JBCycloneStan]

With that big dry slot on the west side, this is starting to look like a big comma storm. Still a lot of cold cloud tops surrounding the eye, but hopefully the dry air intrusion will start to take its toll.

[supercane4867]

Interesting flying pattern...

[1900hurricane]

Reminds me of the eyewall passes they did in Matthew '16. Might be a similar research mission.

[p1nheadlarry]

NHC keeps official track offshore. I still think it landfalls.

[supercane4867]

NHC keeps official track offshore. I still think it landfalls.

Looks like the track takes it right over OBX. Doesn't make any difference anyway, eyewall will be onshore in most part of NC

[jlauderdal]

Looks like the center is finally start turning NE, also there's a tornadic squall line approaching NC

https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/6bf2c80604b5cabefd5c001598e6c2a471ab9e0a1c69dfcee369e1cd026d5f69.gif

its done everything but landfall in the united states, amazing

[p1nheadlarry]

NHC keeps official track offshore. I still think it landfalls.

Looks like the track takes it right over OBX. Doesn't make any difference anyway, eyewall will be onshore in most part of NC

The H at 24 hrs looks like it is over, but the forecast discussion doesn't say so. They still haven't changed the discussion where they leave room for it to be a possibility however

[Buck]

NHC keeps official track offshore. I still think it landfalls.

Looks like the track takes it right over OBX. Doesn't make any difference anyway, eyewall will be onshore in most part of NC

Looks to me like they have it over the OBX as well.