ATL: LORENZO - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: LORENZO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#81 Postby northjaxpro » Tue Sep 24, 2019 9:20 pm

TallyTracker wrote:It’s not impossible Lorenzo might be upgraded to hurricane within the hour with the increasing CDO organization in the past couple of hours. :D


Yeah I agree. I just edited my post to account for the rapid organization Lorenzo appears to be undergoing right now. He is quite the tropical cyclone!! He is really going to be an extremely large and powerful one that is for sure!!
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Re: ATL: LORENZO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#82 Postby TallyTracker » Tue Sep 24, 2019 9:40 pm

northjaxpro wrote:
TallyTracker wrote:It’s not impossible Lorenzo might be upgraded to hurricane within the hour with the increasing CDO organization in the past couple of hours. :D


Yeah I agree. I just edited my post to account for the rapid organization Lorenzo appears to be undergoing right now. He is quite the tropical cyclone!! He is really going to be an extremely large and powerful one that is for sure!!


Advisory is out at 70 mph. Will have to wait to tomorrow for the upgrade! I guess I’m kinda excited about a major hurricane in the middle of nowhere! It’s been too long since we had one of those!
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Re: ATL: LORENZO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#83 Postby hurricanes1234 » Tue Sep 24, 2019 9:44 pm

Lorenzo is young and in love. :)

https://imgur.com/a/HEwtPOy
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Re: ATL: LORENZO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#84 Postby 1900hurricane » Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:00 pm

Probably the most -80ºC tops I've seen in the NAtl in a while.
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Re: ATL: LORENZO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#85 Postby hurricanes1234 » Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:09 pm

1900hurricane wrote:Probably the most -80ºC tops I've seen in the NAtl in a while.


And especially this far east as well. :double:
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Re: ATL: LORENZO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#86 Postby Ptarmigan » Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:14 pm

I would not be surprised that Lorenzo ends up being a Category 4 or 5 hurricane.
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Re: ATL: LORENZO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#87 Postby StruThiO » Tue Sep 24, 2019 10:57 pm

I'd say the ceiling for this is probably a cat 5.
Image
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Re: ATL: LORENZO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#88 Postby HurricaneAndre2008 » Tue Sep 24, 2019 11:03 pm

Tropical Storm 13L

UW-CIMSS Automated Satellite-Based
Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT)
Version 9.0

Current Intensity Analysis



UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 9.0
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 25 SEP 2019 Time : 024500 UTC
Lat : 13:11:07 N Lon : 32:20:33 W


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
4.2 / 985.0mb/ 69.8kt
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Re: ATL: LORENZO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#89 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Tue Sep 24, 2019 11:31 pm

Oh man, this is going to be an *epic* CV storm.

Image
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Re: ATL: LORENZO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#90 Postby EquusStorm » Wed Sep 25, 2019 1:20 am

Absolutely headed for category four in a couple days. This is coming together scary fast tonight. At least this one isn't pointed toward land like the absurd number of recent ones have been.
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Re: ATL: LORENZO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#91 Postby Astromanía » Wed Sep 25, 2019 2:02 am

I wonder if this could be stronger than Dorian. Even when it doesn't seem like that, a category 5 its still a real possibility
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Re: ATL: LORENZO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#92 Postby HurricaneAndre2008 » Wed Sep 25, 2019 2:04 am

LORENZO, AL, L, , , , , 13, 2019, HU, O, 2019091812, 9999999999, , 027, , , 3, WARNING, 3, AL132019
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Re: ATL: LORENZO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#93 Postby HurricaneAndre2008 » Wed Sep 25, 2019 2:08 am

ATLANTIC 2019 SHIPS INTENSITY FORECAST *
* IR SAT DATA AVAILABLE, OHC AVAILABLE *
* LORENZO AL132019 09/25/19 06 UTC *

TIME (HR) 0 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120
V (KT) NO LAND 70 77 84 90 97 104 105 102 100 91 88 82 81
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Re: ATL: LORENZO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#94 Postby abajan » Wed Sep 25, 2019 3:25 am

Astromanía wrote:I wonder if this could be stronger than Dorian. Even when it doesn't seem like that, a category 5 its still a real possibility

Like I stated a while back, we've already seen the strongest hurricane for this season in Dorian. Getting to Cat5 is hard enough. Getting well into Cat5 territory like Dorian did is very rare. I think Lorenzo will peak around 145 mph.
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Re: ATL: LORENZO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#95 Postby northjaxpro » Wed Sep 25, 2019 3:31 am

Looks like Lorenzo has been upgraded to hurricane status. He is well on its way to becoming the third major of this season.
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Re: ATL: LORENZO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#96 Postby northjaxpro » Wed Sep 25, 2019 3:44 am

abajan wrote:
Astromanía wrote:I wonder if this could be stronger than Dorian. Even when it doesn't seem like that, a category 5 its still a real possibility

Like I stated a while back, we've already seen the strongest hurricane for this season in Dorian. Getting to Cat5 is hard enough. Getting well into Cat5 territory like Dorian did is very rare. I think Lorenzo will peak around 145 mph.



I think Lorenzo will not get to 180 mph level like Dorian. But, I think there is a slight, remote chance he can challenge to attain Cat 5, which would be mind blowing nonetheless.

He will definitely be a top ended solid Cat 4 without question!!
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Re: ATL: LORENZO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#97 Postby HurricaneAndre2008 » Wed Sep 25, 2019 3:58 am

LORENZO BECOMES THE FIFTH ATLANTIC HURRICANE OF THE SEASON... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY THURSDAY...
5:00 AM AST Wed Sep 25
Location: 13.6°N 33.9°W
Moving: WNW at 17 mph
Min pressure: 988 mb
Max sustained: 80 mph
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Re: ATL: LORENZO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#98 Postby Astromanía » Wed Sep 25, 2019 4:01 am

abajan wrote:
Astromanía wrote:I wonder if this could be stronger than Dorian. Even when it doesn't seem like that, a category 5 its still a real possibility

Like I stated a while back, we've already seen the strongest hurricane for this season in Dorian. Getting to Cat5 is hard enough. Getting well into Cat5 territory like Dorian did is very rare. I think Lorenzo will peak around 145 mph.


Yep, and considering where this is developing compared to Dorian is very hard to achieve that, Dorian is clearly the strongest one of this season on intensity and treatening to land, but anyway I like to be optimistic with fishing cyclones :lol:, why we can´t have tons of powerful sea hurricanes bringing a lot of ACE without making damage to land and atchieve records :lol: :lol: , I think this is how ATL works, that's why I prefer watching EPAC cyclones even when this season has been a really dissapoint
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Re: ATL: LORENZO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#99 Postby Astromanía » Wed Sep 25, 2019 4:06 am

Something for sure, Lorenzo will be a better looking cyclone compared to Dorian :lol: :lol:, it will become one of the most beautiful hurricanes in ATL in all its expected life
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Re: ATL: LORENZO - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#100 Postby DioBrando » Wed Sep 25, 2019 4:08 am

Astromanía wrote:Something for sure, Lorenzo will be a better looking cyclone compared to Dorian :lol: :lol:, it will become one of the most beautiful hurricanes in ATL in all its expected life

Will I become annular or somethin'?
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