ATL: THREE - Remnants - Discussion

[GCANE]

I can easily see this running thru the strait and into the GOM in two days.

[northjaxpro]

I can easily see this running thru the strait and into the GOM in two days.

I agree. It appears the ridge will be strong enough to keep 94L moving w- w/nw into extreme South Florida into the Southeast Gulf of Mexico by mid- week.

[Hurricaneman]

I can easily see this running thru the strait and into the GOM in two days.

I agree. It appears the ridge will be strong enough to keep 94L moving w/w/nw into extreme South Florida into the Southeast Gulf of Mexico.

If somehow this develops a good analog could be Gordon just last year including location

[northjaxpro]

I can easily see this running thru the strait and into the GOM in two days.

I agree. It appears the ridge will be strong enough to keep 94L moving w/w/nw into extreme South Florida into the Southeast Gulf of Mexico.

If somehow this develops a good analog could be Gordon just last year including location

You could be on to something. It would depend on strength and orientation of the ridge for it to be similar in path. But, definitely possible, IF this goes on to develop.

[AdamFirst]

Don’t see much more than a rainmaker for this system, mostly due to shear and dry air

Looking to be a pretty potent rainmaker statewide, actually, with the setup that I saw (atmospheric river and whatnot)

[ScottNAtlanta]

It definitely has low level spin going on. It will slow down some as it gets close to the Straits of FL and there could be some piling up of the low level flow which will lead to convergence.

[sunnyday]

When should we know when to what type of weather and when to expect it?

[Aric Dunn]

It definitely has low level spin going on. It will slow down some as it gets close to the Straits of FL and there could be some piling up of the low level flow which will lead to convergence.

Yeppers... moisture increases and it will slow down. if it can keep the convection pulsing for the next 12 to 24hrs to keep the organization then it will have a decent shot.

[ScottNAtlanta]

You have to be very watchful of these little systems that are able to persist. They can blow up when they find the right conditions if they make it.

[stormlover2013]

Shouldn’t the cold front pick this up

[northjaxpro]

You have to be very watchful of these little systems that are able to persist. They can blow up when they find the right conditions if they make it.

Yes sir indeed. I am really watching closely to see if convection maintains or persists throughout the day. That alone will indicate a lot to me in terms of the atmosphere moistening around the invest. Shear will not be an issue starting this evening with this system for the next 2-3 days. I am giving 94L a pretty decent chance of developing if convection can maintain next 12-24 hours.

[Aric Dunn]

this is What is was moving into yesterday ...very dry air and it maintained and well organized a little more despite it.



Vs. what it is moving into today. much more moisture ahead of it. So we will see what happens over night. until then expect periodic pulses to the convection.

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/1152989026023903232

[NDG]

Levi beat me to it. Not quite closed but definitely a sharp trough, better defined than what it was 24 hrs ago. Also it has picked up some speed this morning.

[Aric Dunn]

Levi beat me to it. Not quite closed but definitely a sharp trough, better defined than what it was 24 hrs ago. Also it has picked up some speed this morning.

https://i.imgur.com/iGdmXF1.png

yeah figured it was not quite closed at the surface do to its forward motion. but just one burst of convection and thats all it would take.

[Aric Dunn]

Speaking of bursts of convection is this upcoming burst going to a bigger .... There is a lot more low level inflow on sat on the SE and NE quads..

[Aric Dunn]

anyone else notice all the mid and upper level clouds expanding westward faster than the low level circ is moving.. thats new.

[Nimbus]

Its so dry when it comes through you could be laying on Higgs beach in Key West and wonder why the southern breeze was stronger than usual.

[GCANE]

Front is forecast to become stationary in the GOM Thursday.
Need to watch if this slows down as it moves west.

[Aric Dunn]

Front is forecast to become stationary in the GOM Thursday.
Need to watch if this slows down as it moves west.

yeah if it stalls father north than this will make it farther west ..