ATL: THREE - Remnants - Discussion

[boca]

Their is s trough over us now which caused a thunderstorm last night that kept me up at 2am and if 94L can tap into this air it may get take off.

[AnnularCane]

Well! This was a little unexpected. I have to admit I'm still a bit skeptical at this point. But I guess this is yet another example of just how full of surprises the tropics can be.

[smithtim]

Like I said.. as it approaches the bahamas.. dont count it out.

Yeah spot on bro... I think all of that been living Florida long time always have sudden nightmares of Andrew anytime see anything around that area. Of course seriously doubt this storm will be like that but def gotta keep close eye on! I wouldn't rule out strong depression maybe even TS for sFLa early next week. At minimum some "tropicalish" weather down there. I'm hoping not to bad as the wife & her family have a flight out of MIA on Tuesday for island vacation they've been looking forward to for long time. They booked thinking things don't really ramp up till aug-sept but looks like the norm is becoming earlier and earlier

[wxman57]

Plotted a surface map in the region - pressure around 1018mb. Moderate wind shear and dry air surrounding it at all levels. No model support. A 20% chance may be a bit generous. Still, should keep an eye on any disturbance in that area.

[shiny-pebble]

Did this split off from 93L? Weren't models hinting at this a week ago or is this a different wave?

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[boca]

Did this split off from 93L? Weren't models hinting at this a week ago or is this a different wave?

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It was the northern part of 93L from days ago.

[chaser1]

Plotted a surface map in the region - pressure around 1018mb. Moderate wind shear and dry air surrounding it at all levels. No model support. A 20% chance may be a bit generous. Still, should keep an eye on any disturbance in that area.

Seems to be moving along swiftly to the west at a decent clip and adding to the net shear. Could be a tip off of something similar to approach from the East or ESE about a month from now though

[Aric Dunn]

Plotted a surface map in the region - pressure around 1018mb. Moderate wind shear and dry air surrounding it at all levels. No model support. A 20% chance may be a bit generous. Still, should keep an eye on any disturbance in that area.

Seems to be moving along swiftly to the west at a decent clip and adding to the net shear. Could be a tip off of something similar to approach from the East or ESE about a month from now though

Speaking of which.. mentioned this earlier. as it approaches Florida/ the straights it will slow down and the induced shear from the forward motion will lower and that is when I think it will make a run. so sometime tomorrow as it moves into higher moisture and lower relative shear.

[BobHarlem]

This, Barry, and the newish system over in the north Gulf (which has the hook look also) probably are just indicators on how closely we'll need to be monitoring home brew stuff this year. I just don't think any of the current stuff will get going.

[AutoPenalti]

There’s dry air on all levels, how is this even churning convection?

[wxman57]

There’s dry air on all levels, how is this even churning convection?

Dry air surrounding it.

[TheStormExpert]

Here are all the factors contributing to why we shouldn't expect development.

 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1152929960744640518

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/1152951877652426752

[northjaxpro]

Hello gang. I just want to clarify this as I am seeing this already
for.just a few of you..

It is the Florida Straits, not Straights. This drives me crazy.

OK . Now back to 94L watching....

[Hurricaneman]

Don’t see much more than a rainmaker for this system, mostly due to shear and dry air

[AutoPenalti]

There’s dry air on all levels, how is this even churning convection?

Dry air surrounding it.

Yeah, but it’s still interesting that it’s popping convection above its apparent LLC.

[Aric Dunn]

Hello gang. I just want to clarify this as I am seeing this already
for.just a few of you..

It is the Florida Straits, not Straights. This drives me crazy.

OK . Now back to 94L watching....

nooooooo lol

[Aric Dunn]

Here are all the factors contributing to why we shouldn't expect development.

https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1152929960744640518

Hey look Eddy growth.. lol

[northjaxpro]

Sorry about that Aric . It was driving me crazy a bit there, especially living down here in the peninsula. We have to keep it good on here. Lol.. Hey I did not call you out specifically by name initially though...

[Aric Dunn]

Sorry about that Aric . It was driving me crazy a bit there, especially living down here in the peninsula. We have to keep it good on here. Lol.. Hey I did not call you out specifically by name initially though...

haha its all good. I am not the best speller in the world that is for sure.. and my auto correct likes straight .. lol