#22 Postby CyclonicFury » Thu Sep 05, 2019 7:52 pm
SHIPS still showing a very favorable environment.
* ATLANTIC 2019 SHIPS INTENSITY FORECAST *
* IR SAT DATA AVAILABLE, OHC AVAILABLE *
* INVEST AL942019 09/06/19 00 UTC *
TIME (HR) 0 6 12 18 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120
V (KT) NO LAND 20 21 22 24 27 34 45 56 64 73 78 87 90
V (KT) LAND 20 21 22 24 27 34 45 56 64 73 78 87 90
V (KT) LGEM 20 20 21 23 24 28 33 40 48 58 69 82 93
Storm Type TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP TROP
SHEAR (KT) 6 4 2 3 2 9 8 8 3 2 2 1 2
SHEAR ADJ (KT) -3 -2 -3 -3 -2 -2 -6 -5 -4 -3 -3 1 0
SHEAR DIR 96 100 116 158 131 77 79 83 124 114 149 358 177
SST (C) 27.2 27.4 27.7 28.1 27.9 27.7 27.7 28.0 28.0 28.2 29.0 29.1 28.9
POT. INT. (KT) 127 130 134 139 136 134 134 138 138 140 152 153 149
ADJ. POT. INT. 124 127 131 137 134 131 132 136 136 139 151 151 143
200 MB T (C) -53.1 -53.4 -53.5 -53.3 -53.4 -53.7 -53.7 -53.9 -53.7 -54.0 -53.9 -53.8 -53.9
200 MB VXT (C) 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2
TH_E DEV (C) 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 9
700-500 MB RH 61 60 60 60 61 62 61 60 58 58 57 54 52
MODEL VTX (KT) 7 6 6 6 7 6 7 7 6 8 7 8 8
850 MB ENV VOR 24 22 31 36 44 44 45 47 40 45 37 27 7
200 MB DIV -2 9 20 9 -4 7 -13 4 14 -5 21 7 38
700-850 TADV 2 3 2 1 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 0
LAND (KM) 624 763 902 1042 1181 1461 1741 1980 1737 1493 1306 1147 1048
LAT (DEG N) 14.6 14.8 14.9 15.0 15.0 14.9 14.7 14.4 14.1 13.6 13.3 13.1 13.2
LONG(DEG W) 23.3 24.6 25.9 27.2 28.5 31.1 33.7 36.5 39.1 41.7 44.0 46.1 47.8
STM SPEED (KT) 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 11 10 7
HEAT CONTENT 7 12 14 12 9 10 14 15 20 25 35 39 45
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NCSU B.S. in Meteorology Class of 2021. Tropical weather blogger at
http://www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.