ATL: BARRY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Innotech]

fairly constant wind now

[TheAustinMan]

If the hurricane upgrade is noted in the advisory, it's definitely of the more borderline cases I've seen:

• 61.6 kt sustained, gusting to 73.9 kt north of Eugene Island at a height of 4 meters, though this is also higher than nearby stations.
• 63 kt SFMR from recon, with peak flight-level winds at 840hPa of 72 kt.
• Surface dropsonde measurement of 54 kt, though the average of the lowest 150 meters was 71 kt and an average of 65 kt across the entirety of the drop from 840hPa aloft to surface.

Doesn't make a whole lot of difference either way as gusty winds are already making their way inland, and hurricane-force winds, if they exist, probably drop below hurricane-force within a few hundred meters of the relatively unpopulated coast, if not less. Rainfall remains by and large the main threat.

[Bunkertor]

If the hurricane main threat.

Hey there, AustinMan

[Frank P]

still watching the LLC that RECON perhaps suggested was the landfall in Vermillion... its looks like it is racing off to the northwest.. if it starts turning back to the SW and back into the convection then I'll be pissed... but since that's been Barry history of development it would not surprise me... back to watching satellite loops... the overall mass of convection off the east and southeast of that LLC appears not to be moving at all... imo

[Steve]

Not much to report in New Orleans. It’s breezy and cloudy with winds coming out of the SSW I think this morning. They were east yesterday and south last night. We got a couple decent bands overnight with some winds in the 30s and moderate rain but not much. Mobile and south toward Dauphin Island look to get the most rain this am. We will have to see how things evolve later today with the rain shield and training. Probably close to DMIN or so as some cloud tops have been warming. Next pulse up should give us a look at who, if anyone, is going to get the training as it lifts up slowly.

[Frank P]

convection at the moment looking to be weakening somewhat looking at the IR loops...

[Condor]

still watching the LLC that RECON perhaps suggested was the landfall in Vermillion... its looks like it is racing off to the northwest.. if it starts turning back to the SW and back into the convection then I'll be pissed... but since that's been Barry history of development it would not surprise me... back to watching satellite loops... the overall mass of convection off the east and southeast of that LLC appears not to be moving at all... imo

Need a couple more frames, but looks like it might be moving back to the SW

[BRweather]

Looking at the area being marked center, it looks like it is moving NNW on visible. Looks like you can see a small area of clearing through the cirrus clouds and that area does not have much westward movement.

[Frank P]

still watching the LLC that RECON perhaps suggested was the landfall in Vermillion... its looks like it is racing off to the northwest.. if it starts turning back to the SW and back into the convection then I'll be pissed... but since that's been Barry history of development it would not surprise me... back to watching satellite loops... the overall mass of convection off the east and southeast of that LLC appears not to be moving at all... imo

Need a couple more frames, but looks like it might be moving back to the SW

this might be premature speculation on my part but the more I look the vis sat loops and the overall structure of the LLC cloud circulation.... I think this just might be the final and official LLC of Barry... I sure hope so...

[ColdMiser123]

ATCF has 65 KT for 12:00 UTC.

Very borderline between 60 and 65 KT, and I'm sure a more detailed post season analysis will reveal whether Barry did officially make hurricane status or not.

It looked like recon may have just missed peak intensity, since the LLC was already interacting with land at that point the center fix over Vermilion Bay was obtained.

[ava_ati]

Anyone from Mobile on here? They've just been getting hammered for hours.

[tropicwatch]

Seeing reports of water going over Levees in Plaquemine Parish.

[GCANE]

Pressures rising all stations around Barry.
To the east, stations reporting rapid rise.

[GCANE]

Recon: 998.8 mb
All indications Barry is beginning to weaken.

[Aric Dunn]

Luckily it never got its act together. So at least there is that.

[Bamagirl2408]

Anyone from Mobile on here? They've just been getting hammered for hours.

I am in Mobile/Grand Bay. Light breeze bit heavy rains. Heavy flooding Dauphin Island/ Causeway closed. port of Mobile closed (Carnival Fantasy is rockin and a rollin near South of the Bay. Mobile Bay has experienced higher wind gust. A 60mph gust reported downtown Brookley Field. Local mets think rainfall will be over 5”

[sphelps8681]

Water rising in Ventican Isles. https://www.facebook.com/fox8nolaweathe ... __tn__=K-R

Slidell, LA flooding. https://www.facebook.com/wdsutv/posts/10156144643966987

[Bamagirl2408]

Anyone from Mobile on here? They've just been getting hammered for hours.

I am in Mobile/Grand Bay. Light breeze bit heavy rains. Heavy flooding Dauphin Island/ Causeway closed. port of Mobile closed (Carnival Fantasy is rockin and a rollin near South of the Bay. Mobile Bay has experienced higher wind gust. A 60mph gust reported downtown Brookley Field. Local mets think rainfall will be over 5”

[GCANE]

Cloud tops rapidly warming on IR

[ava_ati]

Recon: 998.8 mb
All indications Barry is beginning to weaken.

Be interesting how fast it takes on extratropical characteristics once it is fully onshore, could really make a difference on who sees the most rain.