ATL: ALBERTO - Post-Tropical

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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Models

#2181 Postby N2FSU » Sun May 27, 2018 1:33 pm

That’s a helluva slowdown. 18 hours later for a landfall 75 miles further west. 4mph?
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2182 Postby NDG » Sun May 27, 2018 1:38 pm

sittingduck wrote:
NDG wrote:My tweet from Venice Beach

Oh you are at the south jetty. surprised there weren’t any surfers out. Did you see some on the north side?


They are on the north side of jetty because the current is going from south to north.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2183 Postby psyclone » Sun May 27, 2018 1:49 pm

Glorious sun has popped out...the cure for cabin fever is a trip to the beach.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2184 Postby Usf11 » Sun May 27, 2018 1:54 pm

Rain has picked up in Tampa
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2185 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun May 27, 2018 2:14 pm

Last few images on 1km visible look like it has started to wabble more to left now. convection continues to try and wrap around. slowly getting better organized.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2186 Postby Frank P » Sun May 27, 2018 2:21 pm

well I can say the western half of Alberto is impressive and at the best it's ever looked at the moment, big feeder band setting up on the western half as indicated on the sat loops..
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2187 Postby NDG » Sun May 27, 2018 2:28 pm

I have to say that my friends at family joining me at Venice Beach were impressed with my forecast to them that the wx was going to be nice & sunny this afternoon at the beach. Just a little breezy and the gulf is fairly rough.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2188 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun May 27, 2018 2:32 pm

Wunderground composite radar loop from the 3 radars shows the progress of the convection wrapping around.

https://www.wunderground.com/wundermap? ... mm=0&hur=0
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2189 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 27, 2018 2:32 pm

Looks very good in this loop.It takes a few seconds for the image to open.

Image
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2190 Postby weathermimmi » Sun May 27, 2018 2:49 pm

Just breezy in Fort Walton Beach between Pensacola & Panama City , not sure if we will only have west side of storm or not, I guess it depends if it keeps going North or not. Last info sees like it was coming a bit sooner that they anticipated. The radar looks NNW to me.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2191 Postby NDG » Sun May 27, 2018 2:51 pm

Zoomed in satellite loop, convection trying to wrap around.

Image
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2192 Postby DestinHurricane » Sun May 27, 2018 2:54 pm

Model consensus has shifted a tad to the west at 18Z, I would expect NHC track to follow at 5PM EST advisory.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2193 Postby NotSparta » Sun May 27, 2018 2:55 pm

NDG wrote:Zoomed in satellite loop, convection trying to wrap around.

[img]https://i.imgur.com/O0sUCgT.gif[img]


At the end of the loop you can see a hook as it wraps, that's pretty cool looking
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2194 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 27, 2018 2:55 pm

Moving NW in that loop.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2195 Postby BobHarlem » Sun May 27, 2018 2:55 pm

Looking at the SFWMD radar image (one with the track superimposeD) it looks like Alberto has veered well west of the official track see http://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images ... gif?100610
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2196 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun May 27, 2018 2:58 pm

BobHarlem wrote:Looking at the SFWMD radar image (one with the track superimposeD) it looks like Alberto has veered well west of the official track see http://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images ... gif?100610


forgot about that loop. you can clearly see it veering to the wnw ish the last hour or so.. and convection coming up the east side.
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2197 Postby Ivanhater » Sun May 27, 2018 3:02 pm

Definitely west side of the track
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2198 Postby Kazmit » Sun May 27, 2018 3:07 pm

First it was going east of forecast, and now it's heading more west of forecast. :lol:
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2199 Postby weathermimmi » Sun May 27, 2018 3:07 pm

DestinHurricane wrote:Model consensus has shifted a tad to the west at 18Z, I would expect NHC track to follow at 5PM EST advisory.


can you share the link to them?
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Re: ATL: ALBERTO - Sub-Tropical Storm

#2200 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sun May 27, 2018 3:14 pm

What effect does Alberto moving more west now than expected have on rainfall across the peninsula? Does the center moving farther make a difference in this scenario? It looks like it's just going to keep drawing feeder bands out of the FL straits.
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