ATL: KIRK - Remnants - Discussion

[TheStormExpert]

Likely a tropical wave now.

 https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1044193650710917120

[Gustywind]

24/1145 UTC 9.9N 38.3W T2.0/2.0 KIRK

[TheStormExpert]

TS again per 12z Best Track.

Tropical Storm KIRK
As of 12:00 UTC Sep 24, 2018:

Location: 9.8°N 38.5°W
Maximum Winds: 35 kt Gusts: 45 kt
Minimum Central Pressure: 1007 mb
Environmental Pressure: 1010 mb
Radius of Circulation: 120 NM
Radius of Maximum Wind: 100 NM

[blp]

Well the NHC disagrees. Hmm.... maybe they pulled the trigger too soon.

BULLETIN
Remnants Of Kirk Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122018
1100 AM AST Mon Sep 24 2018

...KIRK NO LONGER HAS A CLOSED CIRCULATION...
...ADVISORIES ARE BEING DISCONTINUED...

[moja.ram]

The models NHC and Global + Hurricane Models (spaghetti models) show this storm being clear of Dominica Republic. I'll be leaving to the island early Friday, is Kirk something to worry about or does it seem the path is far enough that it will not affect the island. Eastern most tip of Dominica Republic. Thanks in advance people!

[NotSparta]

Especially appropriate

[moja.ram]

Nevermind, seems Kirk got suplexed. Poor fetus

[SconnieCane]

RIP Kirk(and 11), we hardly knew ye.

[TheStormExpert]

Another one bites the dust! Story of the season... Favorable Subtropical Atlantic, Unvaforable Tropical Atlantic. The SST Configuration early on was a good indicator of this too.

[Emmett_Brown]

Kirk actually looks better now on visible satellite now that he has dissipated. Looks can be deceiving!

[ScottNAtlanta]

I'm sorry...this aint over...I think this is coming back once it slows down. It doesnt look that bad on the floater.

[ScottNAtlanta]

That doesnt look like a wave to me

[SconnieCane]

LOL seems like NHC classification is about 12-24 hours behind the curve with both 11 and Kirk.

[MississippiWx]

So it’s now a wave when it looks the best of its life? Hmmmm.

[Aric Dunn]

THere was a brief few frames earlier of the center before convection begins building around it again. low level structure looks better today. convection is not 100 miles to the NW of the center lol but all around it. though it is still very popcorn like convection pretty typical of a fast moving system with dry air around. still very much closed and if it does slow down any it would have a better shot before the shear get it.

[OURAGAN]

I am missing something, on tropical digit and NRL MONTEREY, it is a tropical Storm again ?

[Aric Dunn]

Pretty clear. since then it has the best southerly and westerly inflow in its entire life with some clear low level curved cloud lines.

[ScottNAtlanta]

Pretty clear. since then it has the best southerly and westerly inflow in its entire life with some clear low level curved cloud lines.
https://image.ibb.co/j9WDHU/222233232.gif

https://image.ibb.co/mEmKrp/image.gif

Looking at WV, its not sucking in dry air anymore either. It is clearly pushing the dry air to the west

[cycloneye]

2 PM TWO:

A tropical wave, the remnants of Kirk, is located about 1400 miles
east of the Windward Islands. This system is producing showers and
thunderstorms along with winds to gale force over the northern
portion of the wave. Redevelopment of this system is possible over
the next few days until it encounters highly unfavorable
upper-level winds while it approaches the Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

[alienstorm]

Not DEAD at all.