ATL: GORDON - Post-Tropical

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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1221 Postby MississippiWx » Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:41 pm

Blinhart wrote:What is the possibility of this having a CoC relocation further SW???


Zero. All of the convection is weighted east. A relocation southwest would be out of any convection, and not possible unless there is a huge blowup of convection there.
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Recon

#1222 Postby artist » Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:44 pm

URNT15 KNHC 040442
AF305 0307A GORDON HDOB 47 20180904
043230 2729N 08420W 8425 01603 0145 +160 //// 112039 040 042 006 01
043300 2728N 08421W 8430 01598 0146 +165 +165 110039 041 044 006 03
043330 2726N 08422W 8423 01603 0140 +164 //// 120037 041 045 006 01
043400 2725N 08424W 8426 01597 0133 +166 +166 117038 039 045 007 00
043430 2724N 08425W 8429 01594 0136 +164 //// 113039 041 042 006 01
043500 2723N 08426W 8425 01595 0136 +165 +165 116041 043 040 007 00
043530 2722N 08428W 8426 01592 0133 +163 +163 115043 045 041 007 00
043600 2721N 08429W 8429 01587 0129 +161 +161 115045 045 043 007 00
043630 2719N 08430W 8424 01590 0130 +161 +161 110046 047 047 013 03
043700 2718N 08432W 8423 01586 0127 +167 +167 110049 051 049 025 03
043730 2717N 08433W 8441 01562 0123 +169 +169 112051 052 051 034 00
043800 2716N 08434W 8425 01581 0122 +167 +167 103048 050 054 027 00
043830 2715N 08436W 8419 01582 0114 +173 +173 108053 057 056 023 03
043900 2713N 08437W 8440 01555 0113 +175 +175 111051 053 049 018 00
043930 2712N 08439W 8402 01590 0104 +178 +178 119047 053 053 017 03
044000 2711N 08440W 8430 01551 0091 +179 +179 117043 045 051 010 03
044030 2710N 08441W 8421 01554 0077 +176 //// 102035 042 051 008 05
044100 2708N 08442W 8430 01538 //// +183 //// 099025 031 045 004 01
044130 2707N 08442W 8428 01537 //// +186 //// 104017 021 029 001 01
044200 2705N 08442W 8429 01537 0037 +199 +181 105008 015 023 001 03
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Recon

#1223 Postby artist » Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:46 pm

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Re: ATL: GORDON - Recon

#1224 Postby artist » Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:56 pm

URNT15 KNHC 040452
AF305 0307A GORDON HDOB 48 20180904
044230 2704N 08443W 8426 01540 0039 +199 +169 102002 005 019 002 00
044300 2702N 08443W 8430 01542 0050 +191 +169 287015 028 018 002 03
044330 2701N 08444W 8426 01548 0054 +191 +170 294011 028 031 005 00
044400 2701N 08446W 8428 01551 0060 +189 +179 308012 015 032 006 00
044430 2701N 08448W 8423 01559 0065 +185 +179 334018 019 034 003 00
044500 2701N 08449W 8426 01560 0068 +187 +182 337024 025 033 002 00
044530 2701N 08451W 8434 01558 0082 +175 //// 350021 023 032 003 01
044600 2701N 08453W 8429 01567 0086 +175 +167 002023 024 029 003 01
044630 2702N 08455W 8421 01579 0089 +180 +163 005023 024 030 001 00
044700 2702N 08456W 8425 01577 0094 +177 +164 015025 026 030 001 00
044730 2702N 08458W 8426 01579 0100 +174 +166 021024 025 028 002 00
044800 2702N 08500W 8424 01583 0101 +174 +164 024025 026 029 001 00
044830 2702N 08502W 8426 01583 0108 +168 +163 028023 025 029 002 00
044900 2702N 08504W 8429 01582 0108 +170 +160 028021 022 028 001 00
044930 2702N 08506W 8425 01586 0107 +168 +165 029025 026 028 002 01
045000 2702N 08507W 8422 01590 //// +160 //// 030025 026 027 002 01
045030 2702N 08509W 8426 01588 //// +160 //// 030026 028 028 001 01
045100 2702N 08511W 8426 01589 //// +160 //// 033022 024 027 001 01
045130 2702N 08513W 8422 01594 0119 +160 +158 042020 021 027 001 01
045200 2702N 08515W 8427 01589 //// +157 //// 042023 025 026 001 01
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1225 Postby MississippiWx » Mon Sep 03, 2018 11:59 pm

MississippiWx wrote:Recon is going to come in for at least one more pass soon. We will see if the convection over the center has helped lower pressures again.


Recon shows a 3-4mb drop in pressure between passes. The blow-up of convection right over the center has done some work. Has to persist and grow to keep strengthening.
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Recon

#1226 Postby artist » Tue Sep 04, 2018 12:00 am

311
URNT11 KNHC 040435
97779 04190 30280 83809 15300 12045 15//9 /2568
RMK AF305 0307A GORDON OB 27
NE INBOUND
;
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Recon

#1227 Postby artist » Tue Sep 04, 2018 12:07 am

URNT15 KNHC 040502
AF305 0307A GORDON HDOB 49 20180904
045230 2702N 08517W 8431 01587 0123 +156 +153 046020 025 023 003 01
045300 2702N 08519W 8428 01589 0122 +161 +149 040019 020 024 002 00
045330 2702N 08521W 8429 01589 0122 +163 +146 041019 019 026 001 00
045400 2702N 08522W 8429 01590 0124 +161 +150 045019 019 025 001 00
045430 2702N 08524W 8425 01593 0125 +159 +150 044019 019 023 001 00
045500 2702N 08526W 8426 01593 0123 +161 +149 043021 022 023 001 00
045530 2702N 08528W 8426 01592 0123 +161 +153 047020 021 023 001 00
045600 2702N 08530W 8425 01594 0125 +161 +153 045023 023 022 001 00
045630 2702N 08530W 8425 01594 0124 +162 +149 046022 023 023 001 00
045700 2702N 08534W 8425 01595 0125 +161 +135 047020 021 024 000 00
045730 2702N 08536W 8430 01589 0126 +162 +140 045020 021 022 001 00
045800 2702N 08536W 8430 01589 0124 +161 +156 052020 020 020 001 00
045830 2703N 08539W 8428 01593 //// +160 //// 054019 020 021 001 01
045900 2703N 08541W 8425 01596 //// +156 //// 054020 021 020 001 01
045930 2703N 08543W 8425 01596 0127 +161 +157 053020 021 018 002 00
050000 2703N 08545W 8424 01598 0127 +160 +157 050020 021 019 002 00
050030 2703N 08547W 8428 01594 0125 +161 +158 056020 021 018 002 01
050100 2703N 08549W 8429 01592 0125 +165 +155 054023 024 019 001 00
050130 2703N 08551W 8424 01599 0126 +159 +158 058022 023 021 001 01
050200 2703N 08553W 8430 01593 //// +154 //// 060021 023 018 001 01
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Recon

#1228 Postby artist » Tue Sep 04, 2018 12:11 am

912
URNT12 KNHC 040508
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL072018
A. 04/04:42:40Z
B. 27.06 deg N 084.71 deg W
C. 850 mb 1467 m
D. 1004 mb
E. NA
F. NA
G. NA
H. 54 kt
I. 034 deg 14 nm 04:38:00Z
J. 107 deg 57 kt
K. 032 deg 12 nm 04:38:30Z
L. 31 kt
M. 204 deg 1 nm 04:43:00Z
N. 286 deg 28 kt
O. 204 deg 1 nm 04:43:00Z
P. 17 C / 1530 m
Q. 20 C / 1529 m
R. 16 C / NA
S. 1345 / 8
T. 0.02 / 2 nm
U. AF305 0307A GORDON OB 28
MAX FL WIND 57 KT 032 / 12 NM 04:38:30Z
LAST WIND REPORTED 120 DEG 04 KT ON CENTER DROPSONDE AT 17M ABOVE SFC
;
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1229 Postby tailgater » Tue Sep 04, 2018 12:11 am

Another little jog to the west northwest again.
The over radar signature is improving. Still plenty of time wash out or blow up, maybe both. Wind field definitely expanding.
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1230 Postby stormhunter7 » Tue Sep 04, 2018 12:11 am

Anyone have last dropsonde data? Is that 73kts at surface (1007mb)?

*Correction... Drop 14..one before eye drop
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Recon

#1231 Postby artist » Tue Sep 04, 2018 12:14 am

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Re: ATL: GORDON - Recon

#1232 Postby artist » Tue Sep 04, 2018 12:15 am

URNT15 KNHC 040512
AF305 0307A GORDON HDOB 50 20180904
050230 2703N 08555W 8425 01598 //// +153 //// 058024 025 020 003 01
050300 2703N 08557W 8426 01596 //// +155 //// 060021 022 024 001 01
050330 2703N 08559W 8424 01600 0131 +158 +154 060021 022 021 002 00
050400 2703N 08601W 8426 01598 0131 +160 +156 054020 021 019 001 00
050430 2703N 08602W 8426 01598 //// +156 //// 053020 020 019 001 01
050500 2703N 08604W 8425 01598 //// +155 //// 056021 021 019 000 01
050530 2703N 08606W 8433 01592 //// +155 //// 059021 021 019 000 05
050600 2704N 08607W 8383 01642 0132 +152 +146 067022 024 016 001 01
050630 2704N 08607W 8383 01642 0132 +144 //// 069022 025 018 001 01
050700 2708N 08610W 7826 02225 0119 +136 +114 061019 020 018 000 00
050730 2709N 08611W 7401 02692 0111 +113 +092 054020 021 021 000 00
050800 2711N 08612W 7020 03133 0104 +093 +060 044021 022 020 000 00
050830 2713N 08613W 6693 03527 0091 +078 +036 047018 021 018 001 00
050900 2714N 08614W 6398 03897 0087 +060 +017 038017 018 018 000 00
050930 2716N 08615W 6133 04243 0082 +039 +007 046017 018 016 001 00
051000 2717N 08616W 5891 04568 0079 +019 -008 050017 018 017 001 00
051030 2719N 08617W 5648 04908 0063 +007 -046 041019 021 017 000 00
051100 2721N 08619W 5431 05220 0263 -007 -070 047021 022 016 001 00
051130 2722N 08620W 5247 05497 0281 -024 -077 061017 019 018 000 00
051200 2724N 08621W 5090 05737 0296 -039 -090 069016 016 018 000 00
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1233 Postby artist » Tue Sep 04, 2018 12:18 am

stormhunter7 wrote:Anyone have last dropsonde data? Is that 73kts at surface (1007mb)?

*Correction... Drop 14..one before eye drop

Yep-

1010mb (Surface) Unavailable
1007mb 50° (from the NE) 73 knots (84 mph)
1005mb 60° (from the ENE) 62 knots (71 mph)
1002mb 70° (from the ENE) 59 knots (68 mph)
965mb 85° (from the E) 60 knots (69 mph)
959mb 85° (from the E) 56 knots (64 mph)
951mb 90° (from the E) 56 knots (64 mph)
943mb 90° (from the E)
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1234 Postby MississippiWx » Tue Sep 04, 2018 12:19 am

stormhunter7 wrote:Anyone have last dropsonde data? Is that 73kts at surface (1007mb)?

*Correction... Drop 14..one before eye drop


Impressive winds on the dropsonde. This could be approaching hurricane strength after all. The pressure on the dropsonde was also 1002mb.
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Recon

#1235 Postby artist » Tue Sep 04, 2018 12:20 am

UZNT13 KNHC 040507
XXAA 54058 99272 70846 08174 99010 25001 ///// 00085 24202 07558
92767 21202 09550 85499 184// 11056 88999 77999
31313 09608 80438
61616 AF305 0307A GORDON OB 30
62626 MXWNDBND LST WND 020 MBL WND 08058 AEV 33652 DLM WND 09553
007841 WL150 07059 094 REL 2723N08461W 043844 SPG 2724N08466W 044
141 =
XXBB 54058 99272 70846 08174 00010 25001 11850 184// 22841 174//
21212 00010 ///// 11007 05073 22005 06062 33002 07059 44965 08560
55959 08556 66951 09056 77943 09049 88879 11054 99873 10046 11861
11055 22853 11051 33850 11056 44841 11057
31313 09608 80438
61616 AF305 0307A GORDON OB 30
62626 MXWNDBND LST WND 020 MBL WND 08058 AEV 33652 DLM WND 09553
007841 WL150 07059 094 REL 2723N08461W 043844 SPG 2724N08466W 044
141 =
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1236 Postby Ian2401 » Tue Sep 04, 2018 12:20 am

Anyone got a working satellite link? Tropical Tidbits data source is down
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1237 Postby artist » Tue Sep 04, 2018 12:22 am

Ian2401 wrote:Anyone got a working satellite link? Tropical Tidbits data source is down

https://www.sfwmd.gov/weather-radar/cur ... llite-loop
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1238 Postby Hurricaneman » Tue Sep 04, 2018 12:22 am

MississippiWx wrote:
stormhunter7 wrote:Anyone have last dropsonde data? Is that 73kts at surface (1007mb)?

*Correction... Drop 14..one before eye drop


Impressive winds on the dropsonde. This could be approaching hurricane strength after all. The pressure on the dropsonde was also 1002mb.


It’s got quite the high pressure for a strong tropical storm/minimal hurricane but that’s probably because of the higher than normal environmental pressures
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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1239 Postby artist » Tue Sep 04, 2018 12:27 am

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Re: ATL: GORDON - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1240 Postby MississippiWx » Tue Sep 04, 2018 12:28 am

For once, the cloud tops are colder over the center than in the cluster of storms to the south and east. Convergence may finally be maximized at the center.
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