PandaCitrus wrote:Wow, if this goes into the gulf and hits the panhandle and misses the entire Florida peninsula to the west. That would be something.
No evidence to suggest this.
ATL: IRMA - Models
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FLpanhandle91
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
No evidence to suggest this.
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PandaCitrus
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
No evidence yet but every euro shifts west. It's the trend.
At 48 hours, it looks like it's off the coast around Ft. Myers or a landfall? I need to see higher res.
At 48 hours, it looks like it's off the coast around Ft. Myers or a landfall? I need to see higher res.
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FLpanhandle91
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
T+48 slightly offshore (West) of Naples wow.
Last edited by tallywx on Sat Sep 09, 2017 1:03 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
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PandaCitrus
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Still off the coast. Tremendous surge potential on the east side and higher winds. Bad. Everyone needs to hope Cuba takes Irma down to a Cat 3 and she can't recover.
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bamajammer4eva
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
PandaCitrus wrote:Wow, if this goes into the gulf and hits the panhandle and misses the entire Florida peninsula to the west. That would be something.
News here said tonight that models showed the N Gulf is protected by upper level system so it has to go east of that
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Bad run for Naples/Cape Coral[/quote]
Yep, horrific. Another West shift and Tampa could be in trouble.
Yep, horrific. Another West shift and Tampa could be in trouble.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
FLpanhandle91 wrote:
Bad run for Naples/Cape Coral
is that still looking bad for se fl at that stage
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Jevo
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
I think at the most you may see a .5 shift in track either way.. Storm core is back over the water. I'm eager to see if it makes the first forecast point. We have no clue which model verifies until the turn begins... Wobble watching has become turn watching.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Most of the intensification is occurring after it hits Key West in the EC run
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floridasun78
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Eye looks to come in around Captiva Island. T+54 has the eye over Sarasota. This is a significant shift west.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
floridasun78 wrote:so look good for east coast not getting heart of storm
Except now Key West-Naples-Ft.Myers-Sarasota all get the eyewall.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Center passes over Tampa and Crystal River and just east of Perry. Farthest west run yet.
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PandaCitrus
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FLpanhandle91
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
tallywx wrote:floridasun78 wrote:so look good for east coast not getting heart of storm
Except now Key West-Naples-Ft.Myers-Sarasota all get the eyewall.
Yep. Miami is a large metro area, but the angle of approach on this coast would be much worse in regards to surge and the strongest winds of the storm being on shore.
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PandaCitrus
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models
Good Lord. This is the worst case scenario for the west coast of Florida.
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