ATL: IRMA - Models

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Agua
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#9661 Postby Agua » Fri Sep 08, 2017 2:00 pm

Take care Sanibel, and best of luck.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#9662 Postby NDG » Fri Sep 08, 2017 2:02 pm

Maineman wrote:
crownweather wrote:
Maineman wrote:

Yes, this is when you don't choose the custom map, but the state map. From there you can go into every county.


Is there a way to loop the maps Jack? I've looked around the site, but couldn't find an option.



Not yet. Content before wrapping until we are done. You can easily download and take a GIF program until then, please.


That's what I've been doing, and thank you for making this accessible to us!!!
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#9663 Postby Evil Jeremy » Fri Sep 08, 2017 2:05 pm



Let this image put to bed any talk that these westward shifts have put SE FL in 'the clear'. This will still cause widespread damage for everyone from Miami - Boca
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#9664 Postby syfr » Fri Sep 08, 2017 2:06 pm

Sanibel, post up your observations when you're able to on the other side of this mess.

Stay safe!
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#9665 Postby Bocadude85 » Fri Sep 08, 2017 2:06 pm

crownweather wrote:
Maineman wrote:



Yes, this is when you don't choose the custom map, but the state map. From there you can go into every county.


Is there a way to loop the maps Jack? I've looked around the site, but couldn't find an option.


How could these gusts possibly be correct? Over 100mph gusts in Palm Beach County with a landfall in Collier County?
Last edited by Bocadude85 on Fri Sep 08, 2017 2:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#9666 Postby Maineman » Fri Sep 08, 2017 2:06 pm

NDG wrote:
Maineman wrote:
crownweather wrote:
Is there a way to loop the maps Jack? I've looked around the site, but couldn't find an option.



Not yet. Content before wrapping until we are done. You can easily download and take a GIF program until then, please.


That's what I've been doing, and thank you for making this accessible to us!!!



Thanks, I've never understood why there should be secret areas with weather and safety, so here we go and it will stay like this. No teasing for later paywalls.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#9667 Postby Otown_Wx » Fri Sep 08, 2017 2:08 pm

northjaxpro wrote:NDG it looks like Irma's inner core is going to.move very near or right over Orlando, axcording to the 12Z EURO. Not good my friend. Not good for everyone in the state for that matter if EURO verifies.


I just noticed that. That will bring the strongest winds thru the metro area.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#9668 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 08, 2017 2:09 pm

Bocadude85 wrote:
How could these gusts possibly be correct? Over 100mph gusts in Palm Beach County with a landfall in Collier County?



Is this your first big landfalling hurricane? I assume because it's a BIG storm and will probably be high cat 3 or low cat 4 at landfall. With rain to mix the winds down these gusts seem about right.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#9669 Postby gatorcane » Fri Sep 08, 2017 2:11 pm

Bocadude85 wrote:
crownweather wrote:
Maineman wrote:

Yes, this is when you don't choose the custom map, but the state map. From there you can go into every county.


Is there a way to loop the maps Jack? I've looked around the site, but couldn't find an option.


How could these gusts possibly be correct? Over 100mph gusts in Palm Beach County with a landfall in Collier County?


125knot wind gusts in Palm Beach? Am I reading that right? :eek:
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#9670 Postby AdamFirst » Fri Sep 08, 2017 2:12 pm

tolakram wrote:
Bocadude85 wrote:
How could these gusts possibly be correct? Over 100mph gusts in Palm Beach County with a landfall in Collier County?



Is this your first big landfalling hurricane? I assume because it's a BIG storm and will probably be high cat 3 or low cat 4 at landfall. With rain to mix the winds down these gusts seem about right.


It's a sobering reminder for southeast Florida that while the core (eye) may now miss Miami-Dade, this storm is so large that it will be felt everywhere.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#9671 Postby PandaCitrus » Fri Sep 08, 2017 2:13 pm

12z HMON has shifted a lot west.

landfall Marco Island then into Punta Gorda , eye right over Tampa, then off shore Crystal River and landfall into Florida big bend.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... s=0&ypos=0
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#9672 Postby adam0983 » Fri Sep 08, 2017 2:14 pm

Any chance of a east shift of the track or is west and more west. We should be on better shape in Miami Fort Lauderdale Boca Raton west palm and Delray Beach now.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#9673 Postby Sanibel » Fri Sep 08, 2017 2:14 pm

syfr wrote:Sanibel, post up your observations when you're able to on the other side of this mess.

Stay safe!



This is the models thread...But I'll try to get video close to the eye...I've got a good camera...
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#9674 Postby Maineman » Fri Sep 08, 2017 2:15 pm

gatorcane wrote:
Bocadude85 wrote:
crownweather wrote:
Is there a way to loop the maps Jack? I've looked around the site, but couldn't find an option.


How could these gusts possibly be correct? Over 100mph gusts in Palm Beach County with a landfall in Collier County?


125knot wind gusts in Palm Beach? Am I reading that right? :eek:


We don't have knots as unit available yet. You can choose units and time zone with gear icon.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#9675 Postby Bocadude85 » Fri Sep 08, 2017 2:16 pm

tolakram wrote:
Bocadude85 wrote:
How could these gusts possibly be correct? Over 100mph gusts in Palm Beach County with a landfall in Collier County?



Is this your first big landfalling hurricane? I assume because it's a BIG storm and will probably be high cat 3 or low cat 4 at landfall. With rain to mix the winds down these gusts seem about right.


Strongest storm I've been through was Wilma but her eyewall went right over us, Frances and Jeanne missed us to the north.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#9676 Postby Jevo » Fri Sep 08, 2017 2:17 pm

adam0983 wrote:Any chance of a east shift of the track or is west and more west. We should be on better shape in Miami Fort Lauderdale Boca Raton west palm and Delray Beach now.


We can only interpret models.... Truth is. nobodyknows until the turn is made
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#9677 Postby BucMan2 » Fri Sep 08, 2017 2:18 pm

Thank you Mark!!
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#9678 Postby PandaCitrus » Fri Sep 08, 2017 2:19 pm

I think we'll know a lot based on how close Irma gets to Cuba. If Irma misses Cuba entirely, the eastern solutions are back on the table. A scrape of the eyewall on Cuba probably means the current forecast or close to it is on track. Extended time in Cuba means further west and risk of a FL Gulf Coast hugger.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#9679 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Fri Sep 08, 2017 2:21 pm

Looking at the 12z Euro it is def looking like it becomes an eastern lopsided storm once it turns north.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#9680 Postby SunnyThoughts » Fri Sep 08, 2017 2:23 pm

http://wsvn.com/on-air-live-stream/ Channel 7 out of Miami for those interested.
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