ATL: KATIA - Hurricane - Discussion

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Re: ATL: KATIA - Models

#61 Postby Portastorm » Wed Sep 06, 2017 1:55 pm

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Re: ATL: KATIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#62 Postby SouthDadeFish » Wed Sep 06, 2017 1:56 pm

RL3AO wrote:184300 2154N 09502W 9216 00687 9973 +206 +202 133058 071 066 009 00

71kt FL winds. 69kt SFMR. Katia almost a hurricane too.


Yup. And with a very tight inner-core, it might continue the rapid intensification.
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#63 Postby BYG Jacob » Wed Sep 06, 2017 1:57 pm

RL3AO wrote:184300 2154N 09502W 9216 00687 9973 +206 +202 133058 071 066 009 00

71kt FL winds. 69kt SFMR. Katia almost a hurricane too.

69 knots is a hurricane right?
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#64 Postby KWT » Wed Sep 06, 2017 1:57 pm

Yeah people should not underestimate Katia, its not going to get much attention but I could easily see this peak as a 2/3 into Mexico. History shows us these storms coming in this part of the BoC often over perform!
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Recon

#65 Postby Extratropical94 » Wed Sep 06, 2017 1:58 pm

URNT15 KNHC 061858
AF308 0113A KATIA HDOB 26 20170906
184830 2206N 09449W 9242 00755 0076 +211 +174 155034 035 027 004 00
184900 2207N 09447W 9238 00762 0083 +203 +176 154033 034 024 002 00
184930 2208N 09446W 9248 00756 0087 +198 +178 155033 035 023 002 00
185000 2209N 09445W 9247 00759 0089 +197 +180 152031 033 022 001 00
185030 2211N 09443W 9252 00756 0088 +204 +182 155031 032 019 003 00
185100 2212N 09442W 9245 00763 0089 +209 +183 153030 031 021 002 00
185130 2213N 09441W 9244 00766 0092 +206 +185 152025 030 023 003 00
185200 2214N 09440W 9246 00766 0092 +208 +187 150024 025 024 004 00
185230 2215N 09438W 9240 00773 0096 +204 +188 154023 024 025 006 00
185300 2216N 09437W 9240 00775 0099 +201 +188 157023 023 025 006 00
185330 2217N 09436W 9249 00767 0102 +196 +187 155027 029 023 004 00
185400 2219N 09434W 9242 00775 0100 +203 +185 151027 029 022 002 00
185430 2220N 09433W 9243 00775 0101 +204 +184 156022 026 021 003 00
185500 2221N 09432W 9244 00776 0104 +197 +184 161019 021 021 003 00
185530 2222N 09431W 9244 00777 0105 +199 +184 153020 021 018 003 00
185600 2223N 09429W 9242 00778 0105 +201 +184 152021 022 020 003 00
185630 2224N 09428W 9246 00776 0106 +202 +184 156022 022 018 003 00
185700 2225N 09427W 9240 00781 0106 +205 +184 158024 025 020 002 00
185730 2227N 09425W 9248 00776 0107 +205 +185 158025 026 020 002 03
185800 2228N 09424W 9242 00782 0109 +205 +185 158025 026 021 002 00
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#66 Postby ColdMiser123 » Wed Sep 06, 2017 2:00 pm

BYG Jacob wrote:
RL3AO wrote:184300 2154N 09502W 9216 00687 9973 +206 +202 133058 071 066 009 00

71kt FL winds. 69kt SFMR. Katia almost a hurricane too.

69 knots is a hurricane right?


64 KT is the threshold for Category 1. Pressure falling too, extrapolated pressure was 2 mb down this pass compared to the previous run.
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#67 Postby BYG Jacob » Wed Sep 06, 2017 2:03 pm

ColdMiser123 wrote:
BYG Jacob wrote:
RL3AO wrote:184300 2154N 09502W 9216 00687 9973 +206 +202 133058 071 066 009 00

71kt FL winds. 69kt SFMR. Katia almost a hurricane too.

69 knots is a hurricane right?


64 KT is the threshold for Category 1. Pressure falling too, extrapolated pressure was 2 mb down this pass compared to the previous run.

So she's a hurricane now.
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#68 Postby Extratropical94 » Wed Sep 06, 2017 2:04 pm

BYG Jacob wrote:
ColdMiser123 wrote:
BYG Jacob wrote:69 knots is a hurricane right?


64 KT is the threshold for Category 1. Pressure falling too, extrapolated pressure was 2 mb down this pass compared to the previous run.

So she's a hurricane now.


She is.

13L KATIA 170906 1800 21.8N 95.2W ATL 65 992
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Recon

#69 Postby Extratropical94 » Wed Sep 06, 2017 2:09 pm

URNT15 KNHC 061908
AF308 0113A KATIA HDOB 27 20170906
185830 2229N 09423W 9241 00785 0109 +211 +185 158023 026 016 004 00
185900 2230N 09422W 9240 00788 0113 +203 +185 160018 020 016 004 00
185930 2231N 09420W 9249 00781 0115 +198 +185 156017 018 017 002 03
190000 2232N 09419W 9241 00789 0115 +202 +184 146015 016 018 001 00
190030 2233N 09418W 9242 00788 0117 +195 +184 145013 014 014 002 00
190100 2234N 09416W 9246 00785 0119 +193 +183 152013 014 015 001 00
190130 2236N 09415W 9241 00790 0117 +201 +183 149014 014 015 001 00
190200 2237N 09414W 9241 00790 0117 +203 +184 145013 014 014 003 00
190230 2238N 09413W 9244 00787 0117 +205 +184 137010 012 018 002 00
190300 2239N 09411W 9243 00789 0117 +205 +185 143011 011 017 001 00
190330 2240N 09410W 9248 00787 0119 +205 +186 150010 011 016 002 00
190400 2241N 09409W 9240 00794 0121 +200 +186 162010 011 016 003 00
190430 2242N 09408W 9244 00792 0123 +200 +186 155012 012 016 002 03
190500 2243N 09406W 9241 00794 0125 +194 +185 152012 013 014 002 00
190530 2244N 09405W 9241 00796 0124 +198 +184 155011 012 017 002 00
190600 2244N 09403W 9249 00788 0124 +200 +184 156011 012 017 002 00
190630 2245N 09401W 9241 00797 0124 +200 +183 157010 011 016 003 00
190700 2246N 09400W 9249 00789 0126 +200 +183 150010 011 016 003 00
190730 2246N 09358W 9241 00797 0126 +199 +182 150011 012 016 003 00
190800 2247N 09357W 9200 00835 0127 +194 +182 165010 011 022 002 03
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Recon

#70 Postby Extratropical94 » Wed Sep 06, 2017 2:18 pm

URNT12 KNHC 061911
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL132017
A. 06/18:41:10Z
B. 21 deg 49 min N
095 deg 05 min W
C. 925 mb 615 m
D. 56 kt
E. 179 deg 5 nm
F. 255 deg 64 kt
G. 179 deg 5 nm
H. EXTRAP 992 mb
I. 21 C / 766 m
J. 23 C / 765 m
K. 18 C / NA
L. OPEN SW
M. C6
N. 12345 / 9
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF308 0113A KATIA OB 08
MAX OUTBOUND AND MAX FL WIND 71 KT 033 / 6 NM 18:43:10Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 925 MB
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#71 Postby galaxy401 » Wed Sep 06, 2017 2:21 pm

Wow the Atlantic is really pumping all the energy. Six straight hurricanes now.

If Irma wasn't wrecking havoc right now, this storm and Jose would have gotten more attention on the board.
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#72 Postby Hurricaneman » Wed Sep 06, 2017 2:22 pm

galaxy401 wrote:Wow the Atlantic is really pumping all the energy. Six straight hurricanes now.

If Irma wasn't wrecking havoc right now, this storm and Jose would have gotten more attention on the board.

You're right and this could become a major and so could Jose, quite a season indeed
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Recon

#73 Postby Extratropical94 » Wed Sep 06, 2017 2:29 pm

Mission over.

URNT15 KNHC 061928
AF308 0113A KATIA HDOB 29 20170906
191830 2302N 09321W 5292 05426 0275 -027 //// 158022 022 026 005 01
191900 2304N 09320W 5182 05589 0286 -017 //// 151021 022 027 005 01
191930 2305N 09319W 5055 05791 0299 -040 //// 131023 024 028 005 05
192000 2307N 09318W 4915 06009 0315 -054 //// 133024 025 026 005 05
192030 2309N 09317W 4840 06130 0323 -040 //// 139020 022 026 005 01
192100 2311N 09316W 4763 06262 0331 -052 //// 143017 019 024 005 01
192130 2311N 09316W 4763 06262 0339 -046 //// 140019 020 026 005 01
192200 2314N 09314W 4608 06519 0344 -047 //// 140022 022 027 006 01
192230 2316N 09313W 4544 06620 0347 -036 -036 149023 023 028 006 00
192300 2318N 09312W 4475 06739 0356 -047 -047 148024 025 026 007 00
192330 2320N 09311W 4406 06858 0363 -054 -054 143025 027 024 007 00
192400 2322N 09310W 4344 06969 0372 -047 -047 138027 027 028 009 00
192430 2324N 09309W 4248 07141 0385 -084 //// 119024 027 030 010 01
192500 2325N 09308W 4184 07260 0396 -060 -060 140016 023 029 009 00
192530 2327N 09307W 4134 07354 0403 -060 -060 155017 019 029 008 00
192600 2329N 09306W 4105 07402 0406 -053 -053 171018 019 030 012 00
192630 2331N 09305W 4094 07420 0403 -065 -065 181019 021 034 013 00
192700 2333N 09304W 4094 07414 0399 -073 -073 173015 017 033 012 00
192730 2335N 09302W 4095 07412 0395 -067 -067 160018 019 031 011 00
192800 2337N 09301W 4097 07406 0395 -078 -078 160017 018 030 010 00
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Recon

#74 Postby Extratropical94 » Wed Sep 06, 2017 2:33 pm

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Re: ATL: KATIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#75 Postby bob rulz » Wed Sep 06, 2017 2:34 pm

Well this certainly snuck up on us.
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#76 Postby EquusStorm » Wed Sep 06, 2017 2:38 pm

One of the quickest from development of TD to hurricane that I can recall. Three active hurricanes at once with each potentially a major at some point, very rare indeed.
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#77 Postby BYG Jacob » Wed Sep 06, 2017 2:39 pm

EquusStorm wrote:One of the quickest from development of TD to hurricane that I can recall. Three active hurricanes at once with each potentially a major at some point, very rare indeed.

I'd put the odds of Katia and Jose being majors pretty high, they're both in environments more than good enough to harbor major hurricanes.
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#78 Postby Buck » Wed Sep 06, 2017 2:41 pm

I'm sure they will issue them at next advisory, but why aren't there already some TS watches at least? It seems like with its proximity to land, they'd at least rather be safe than sorry.
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#79 Postby 1900hurricane » Wed Sep 06, 2017 2:42 pm

Outflow actually ridiculous with Katia. The system already features dual outflow channels. The poleward one in particular is removing tons of mass.

Image
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Re: ATL: KATIA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#80 Postby BYG Jacob » Wed Sep 06, 2017 2:46 pm

1900hurricane wrote:Outflow actually ridiculous with Katia. The system already features dual outflow channels. The poleward one in particular is removing tons of mass.

Image

That is outstanding outflow, this will intensify very quickly.
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