ATL: MARIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Ian2401]

My eyes might be deceiving me, but it certainly looks like Jose has an Easterly component to it. Could this have an affect on Maria's eventual track?

[Aric Dunn]

Despite the dry and convection issues. it is likely already a hurricane.

[Alyono]

Looks like some dry air intrusion into the west side of the storm. That'll like!y mix out over the next 24 hrs as she builds a CDO. Its a temporary pause in development

shear. Clear as the outflow is again starting to expand to the west

[jlauderdal]

I'm located in the southwest of the island. It's been overcast for most of the morning with periodic light drizzle, but for the last 15 minutes or so, it's been raining heavily with gusty winds. Starting to let up now, but it's heavily overcast. Will keep you posted.

What type of preps did you take?

[Aric Dunn]

My eyes might be deceiving me, but it certainly looks like Jose has an Easterly component to it. Could this have an affect on Maria's eventual track?

It is definitely moving NNE at the moment. Im not sure it will be enough to fully lift out but could allow this loop to happen farther offshore. who knows at this point there is a lot of variables.

[Aric Dunn]

NASA Site is not updating for some reason but a curved band is building and trying to wrap around again. wont be able to sustain until that little bit of dry air works its way out.

[RT23]

I am also from Barbados and like abakan we appreciate the input always. I am also a volunteer with the emergency response mechanism. We use this a lot to stay abreast of the situation sin our radar has been non operational for most about a year. We are prepared but not activated as they expect minimal impact to Barbados. We are watchful under the circumstances. Thanks again guys

[abajan]

I'm located in the southwest of the island. It's been overcast for most of the morning with periodic light drizzle, but for the last 15 minutes or so, it's been raining heavily with gusty winds. Starting to let up now, but it's heavily overcast. Will keep you posted.

What type of preps did you take?

I hate to admit it, but I didn't make any type of preparations!

[Aric Dunn]

REcon is on the way

[RT23]

REcon is on the way

yup sure is and 40kt winds around 14.75 N 58.36 W, NW quad is active

[GCANE]

Looks like the convective cap broke just in time for recon to intercept.
Nice rotating eye-wall hot tower on the NW quad.

[Cerlin]

Thoughts and prayers are with everyone in Maria's path. As much as I love weather, I hate to see people get tormented like this with Irma and now Maria.

[Alyono]

recon already finding this a bit stronger than I thought

[joey]

keep watching the models then you look at the nhc cone and it shows maria in the hebert box as a major hurricane so for now ill have to go with the nhc forecast

[Aric Dunn]

Recon showing the obvious. that despite the appearance it is likely a hurricane and probably has been for the last 8 hours or so.. will know for sure in a 20 min or so.. or an hour..

[Gustywind]

Recon showing the obvious. that despite the appearance it is likely a hurricane and probably has been for the last 8 hours or so..

it's cat 1 cane already Aric?

[Aric Dunn]

Recon showing the obvious. that despite the appearance it is likely a hurricane and probably has been for the last 8 hours or so..

it's cat 1 cane already Aric?

we will find out soon for sure.. but looks like it..

[Gustywind]

Recon showing the obvious. that despite the appearance it is likely a hurricane and probably has been for the last 8 hours or so..

it's cat 1 cane already Aric?

we will find out soon for sure.. but looks like it..

oh no Maria may have sufficient time to have a steady intensification till the Leewards! Thanks Aric, so we have to prepared to a hurricane, oh boy!

[NDG]

NW quadrant, unflagged 60, 64 knot SFMR winds, I would go with 60 knots.

AF303 0115A MARIA HDOB 20 20170917
174730 1353N 05706W 6970 03096 9977 +103 +102 072053 054 053 008 00
174800 1352N 05705W 6970 03089 9986 +105 +105 074055 055 054 012 00
174830 1351N 05704W 6971 03084 9981 +105 +105 072053 056 063 015 03
174900 1350N 05703W 6967 03083 9978 +106 +106 075046 048 062 018 03
174930 1349N 05701W 6973 03071 9968 +114 +114 080055 059 060 023 00
175000 1348N 05700W 6964 03075 9955 +115 +115 080049 057 062 021 03
175030 1347N 05659W 6964 03061 9940 +121 +121 084046 051 062 022 03
175100 1345N 05659W 6970 03046 9903 +123 +123 073041 043 064 013 00

[Buck]

If this very high top new convection can push out that dry air (and I don't see why it wouldn't), I would expect some rapid intensification later today and tonight.