Big Easy Breeze wrote:Looks to be right on target relative to NHC forecast track. They really are amazing, in what they do.
I keep sayin...
ATL: NATE - Post Tropical - Discussion
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ozonepete
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion
I keep sayin...
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SeaBrz_FL
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion
A little late to post, but returning well-wishes to all those that sent me private messages before Irma and posted on the S2K forum.
I hate for anyone to have to get these systems, but I do know that my neighbors in the Redneck Riviera know how to plan and handle these storms better than anyone in the U.S. After Irma, there were a LOT of power/tree trim trucks with AL and MS tags here to help. FL will repay the favor and send whatever help you need.
Hunker down, stay safe, and best of luck to all you great people.
God bless -- SeaBrzJo (original FL Cracker)
I hate for anyone to have to get these systems, but I do know that my neighbors in the Redneck Riviera know how to plan and handle these storms better than anyone in the U.S. After Irma, there were a LOT of power/tree trim trucks with AL and MS tags here to help. FL will repay the favor and send whatever help you need.
Hunker down, stay safe, and best of luck to all you great people.
God bless -- SeaBrzJo (original FL Cracker)
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Donna/WPB 1960 - terrorized for life . Fourth of six generations living on the FL East Coast since the 50's.
. Fourth of six generations living on the FL East Coast since the 50's.
Re: ATL: NATE - Recon Data
000
URNT15 KNHC 072206
AF309 0916A NATE HDOB 23 20171007
215600 2855N 08943W 8430 01463 9970 +175 +164 047032 033 033 001 00
215630 2854N 08942W 8429 01459 9967 +175 +166 049032 033 034 001 00
215700 2853N 08940W 8429 01457 9963 +176 +168 051033 034 035 001 00
215730 2852N 08939W 8429 01455 9960 +178 +168 050033 034 038 000 00
215800 2852N 08937W 8428 01453 9956 +177 +171 047032 033 039 000 00
215830 2851N 08936W 8434 01442 9948 +180 +170 044031 032 039 000 00
215900 2850N 08934W 8426 01445 9944 +180 +171 043032 033 039 002 00
215930 2849N 08933W 8428 01440 9938 +183 +170 044032 033 041 001 00
220000 2848N 08931W 8430 01432 9931 +182 +171 042034 035 041 001 00
220030 2847N 08930W 8427 01429 9924 +185 +170 039036 037 042 001 00
220100 2846N 08928W 8435 01415 9914 +191 +169 040038 038 042 003 00
220130 2845N 08927W 8426 01416 9907 +189 +172 039039 040 042 002 00
220200 2844N 08925W 8429 01406 9899 +188 +177 034037 039 043 001 00
220230 2843N 08924W 8433 01395 9891 +185 +183 030035 038 043 001 01
220300 2842N 08922W 8420 01402 9877 +197 +180 020032 036 043 001 00
220330 2841N 08921W 8432 01382 9869 +199 +179 021033 033 038 001 00
220400 2840N 08919W 8430 01375 9859 +203 +176 017028 033 035 002 03
220430 2839N 08918W 8429 01369 9851 +199 +188 021024 026 031 002 00
220500 2838N 08916W 8433 01358 9844 +196 +194 011018 022 029 002 01
220530 2838N 08914W 8425 01362 9839 +195 +192 339014 017 024 000 03
$$
URNT15 KNHC 072206
AF309 0916A NATE HDOB 23 20171007
215600 2855N 08943W 8430 01463 9970 +175 +164 047032 033 033 001 00
215630 2854N 08942W 8429 01459 9967 +175 +166 049032 033 034 001 00
215700 2853N 08940W 8429 01457 9963 +176 +168 051033 034 035 001 00
215730 2852N 08939W 8429 01455 9960 +178 +168 050033 034 038 000 00
215800 2852N 08937W 8428 01453 9956 +177 +171 047032 033 039 000 00
215830 2851N 08936W 8434 01442 9948 +180 +170 044031 032 039 000 00
215900 2850N 08934W 8426 01445 9944 +180 +171 043032 033 039 002 00
215930 2849N 08933W 8428 01440 9938 +183 +170 044032 033 041 001 00
220000 2848N 08931W 8430 01432 9931 +182 +171 042034 035 041 001 00
220030 2847N 08930W 8427 01429 9924 +185 +170 039036 037 042 001 00
220100 2846N 08928W 8435 01415 9914 +191 +169 040038 038 042 003 00
220130 2845N 08927W 8426 01416 9907 +189 +172 039039 040 042 002 00
220200 2844N 08925W 8429 01406 9899 +188 +177 034037 039 043 001 00
220230 2843N 08924W 8433 01395 9891 +185 +183 030035 038 043 001 01
220300 2842N 08922W 8420 01402 9877 +197 +180 020032 036 043 001 00
220330 2841N 08921W 8432 01382 9869 +199 +179 021033 033 038 001 00
220400 2840N 08919W 8430 01375 9859 +203 +176 017028 033 035 002 03
220430 2839N 08918W 8429 01369 9851 +199 +188 021024 026 031 002 00
220500 2838N 08916W 8433 01358 9844 +196 +194 011018 022 029 002 01
220530 2838N 08914W 8425 01362 9839 +195 +192 339014 017 024 000 03
$$
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Re: ATL: NATE - Recon Data
Duplicate
Last edited by artist on Sat Oct 07, 2017 5:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: NATE - Recon Data
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M a r k
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion
No hurricane is good... but this could have been much much worse than a minimal hurricane... good ole dry air.
due north on this last pass
due north on this last pass
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion
What does recon actually support at this point? 75mph?
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion
PTPatrick wrote:What does recon actually support at this point? 75mph?
60kts so far, if I read this correctly.
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M a r k
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Re: ATL: NATE - Recon Data
000
URNT15 KNHC 072216
AF309 0916A NATE HDOB 24 20171007
220600 2838N 08912W 8424 01361 9839 +192 //// 277005 012 012 010 05
220630 2838N 08910W 8433 01348 //// +190 //// 149009 012 021 000 01
220700 2840N 08909W 8437 01347 9833 +205 +189 147019 020 020 000 03
220730 2839N 08908W 8426 01362 9835 +205 +183 165019 020 /// /// 03
220800 2838N 08908W 8408 01377 9832 +203 +184 171015 018 018 002 03
220830 2837N 08910W 8414 01369 //// +188 //// 176004 013 016 004 01
220900 2837N 08912W 8433 01351 //// +193 //// 316008 012 023 003 05
220930 2836N 08913W 8442 01349 //// +195 //// 306015 017 /// /// 05
221000 2834N 08912W 8448 01338 9838 +200 +192 280021 023 025 000 00
221030 2833N 08911W 8423 01365 9842 +193 +191 264025 027 026 001 01
221100 2832N 08909W 8422 01369 9843 +193 +192 255029 030 030 001 01
221130 2831N 08908W 8423 01372 //// +190 //// 252033 035 030 002 01
221200 2829N 08906W 8420 01380 9853 +195 +185 247040 041 034 003 00
221230 2828N 08905W 8430 01373 9859 +193 +186 239043 046 050 002 01
221300 2827N 08903W 8426 01386 //// +186 //// 238056 060 052 003 01
221330 2826N 08902W 8423 01396 //// +181 //// 241060 061 053 003 01
221400 2825N 08900W 8429 01401 //// +179 //// 238063 063 054 003 01
221430 2823N 08859W 8421 01417 9907 +181 +177 235062 064 056 002 00
221500 2822N 08858W 8428 01419 9916 +180 +171 230063 063 053 003 00
221530 2821N 08856W 8425 01427 9922 +183 +170 228062 063 052 001 00
$$
URNT15 KNHC 072216
AF309 0916A NATE HDOB 24 20171007
220600 2838N 08912W 8424 01361 9839 +192 //// 277005 012 012 010 05
220630 2838N 08910W 8433 01348 //// +190 //// 149009 012 021 000 01
220700 2840N 08909W 8437 01347 9833 +205 +189 147019 020 020 000 03
220730 2839N 08908W 8426 01362 9835 +205 +183 165019 020 /// /// 03
220800 2838N 08908W 8408 01377 9832 +203 +184 171015 018 018 002 03
220830 2837N 08910W 8414 01369 //// +188 //// 176004 013 016 004 01
220900 2837N 08912W 8433 01351 //// +193 //// 316008 012 023 003 05
220930 2836N 08913W 8442 01349 //// +195 //// 306015 017 /// /// 05
221000 2834N 08912W 8448 01338 9838 +200 +192 280021 023 025 000 00
221030 2833N 08911W 8423 01365 9842 +193 +191 264025 027 026 001 01
221100 2832N 08909W 8422 01369 9843 +193 +192 255029 030 030 001 01
221130 2831N 08908W 8423 01372 //// +190 //// 252033 035 030 002 01
221200 2829N 08906W 8420 01380 9853 +195 +185 247040 041 034 003 00
221230 2828N 08905W 8430 01373 9859 +193 +186 239043 046 050 002 01
221300 2827N 08903W 8426 01386 //// +186 //// 238056 060 052 003 01
221330 2826N 08902W 8423 01396 //// +181 //// 241060 061 053 003 01
221400 2825N 08900W 8429 01401 //// +179 //// 238063 063 054 003 01
221430 2823N 08859W 8421 01417 9907 +181 +177 235062 064 056 002 00
221500 2822N 08858W 8428 01419 9916 +180 +171 230063 063 053 003 00
221530 2821N 08856W 8425 01427 9922 +183 +170 228062 063 052 001 00
$$
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion
Pressure rose a bit, and no eyewall reported.
000
URNT12 KNHC 072222
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL162017
A. 07/22:08:40Z
B. 28 deg 37 min N
089 deg 10 min W
C. 850 mb 1283 m
D. 43 kt
E. 291 deg 13 nm
F. 038 deg 40 kt
G. 293 deg 16 nm
H. 983 mb
I. 18 C / 1525 m
J. 21 C / 1520 m
K. 19 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF309 0916A NATE OB 09
MAX FL WIND 78 KT 102 / 13 NM 20:48:30Z
MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 64 KT 138 / 24 NM 22:17:00Z
;
000
URNT12 KNHC 072222
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL162017
A. 07/22:08:40Z
B. 28 deg 37 min N
089 deg 10 min W
C. 850 mb 1283 m
D. 43 kt
E. 291 deg 13 nm
F. 038 deg 40 kt
G. 293 deg 16 nm
H. 983 mb
I. 18 C / 1525 m
J. 21 C / 1520 m
K. 19 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF309 0916A NATE OB 09
MAX FL WIND 78 KT 102 / 13 NM 20:48:30Z
MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 64 KT 138 / 24 NM 22:17:00Z
;
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M a r k
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Re: ATL: NATE - Recon Data
000
URNT15 KNHC 072226
AF309 0916A NATE HDOB 25 20171007
221600 2820N 08855W 8425 01434 9929 +181 +170 225063 063 051 002 00
221630 2819N 08854W 8426 01437 9935 +180 +170 225062 063 050 002 00
221700 2818N 08852W 8424 01447 9941 +173 +171 226063 064 050 003 01
221730 2817N 08851W 8423 01451 9949 +171 //// 224061 063 051 002 01
221800 2816N 08850W 8425 01453 9955 +174 +169 225060 061 050 003 00
221830 2815N 08849W 8428 01456 9961 +173 +169 224060 060 049 004 01
221900 2814N 08847W 8423 01464 9966 +175 +170 220059 060 049 001 00
221930 2812N 08846W 8417 01476 9969 +173 +169 217060 060 048 002 01
222000 2811N 08845W 8429 01464 //// +170 //// 213063 065 044 003 01
222030 2810N 08843W 8419 01478 //// +170 //// 213066 067 045 002 01
222100 2809N 08842W 8427 01474 9979 +174 +171 211065 066 043 004 00
222130 2808N 08841W 8422 01481 9982 +175 +169 212065 066 045 001 00
222200 2807N 08840W 8426 01478 9986 +175 +170 212064 065 043 002 00
222230 2806N 08839W 8429 01480 9987 +177 +166 213063 064 043 003 00
222300 2805N 08837W 8421 01492 9991 +177 +162 214063 064 042 003 00
222330 2804N 08836W 8424 01489 9993 +177 +165 215062 063 042 001 00
222400 2803N 08835W 8421 01495 9993 +181 +162 216062 062 039 002 00
222430 2802N 08834W 8424 01493 9994 +185 +161 218060 061 037 002 00
222500 2801N 08832W 8425 01495 0002 +175 +163 218060 060 038 002 00
222530 2801N 08832W 8425 01495 0006 +170 +167 219058 059 037 001 00
$
URNT15 KNHC 072226
AF309 0916A NATE HDOB 25 20171007
221600 2820N 08855W 8425 01434 9929 +181 +170 225063 063 051 002 00
221630 2819N 08854W 8426 01437 9935 +180 +170 225062 063 050 002 00
221700 2818N 08852W 8424 01447 9941 +173 +171 226063 064 050 003 01
221730 2817N 08851W 8423 01451 9949 +171 //// 224061 063 051 002 01
221800 2816N 08850W 8425 01453 9955 +174 +169 225060 061 050 003 00
221830 2815N 08849W 8428 01456 9961 +173 +169 224060 060 049 004 01
221900 2814N 08847W 8423 01464 9966 +175 +170 220059 060 049 001 00
221930 2812N 08846W 8417 01476 9969 +173 +169 217060 060 048 002 01
222000 2811N 08845W 8429 01464 //// +170 //// 213063 065 044 003 01
222030 2810N 08843W 8419 01478 //// +170 //// 213066 067 045 002 01
222100 2809N 08842W 8427 01474 9979 +174 +171 211065 066 043 004 00
222130 2808N 08841W 8422 01481 9982 +175 +169 212065 066 045 001 00
222200 2807N 08840W 8426 01478 9986 +175 +170 212064 065 043 002 00
222230 2806N 08839W 8429 01480 9987 +177 +166 213063 064 043 003 00
222300 2805N 08837W 8421 01492 9991 +177 +162 214063 064 042 003 00
222330 2804N 08836W 8424 01489 9993 +177 +165 215062 063 042 001 00
222400 2803N 08835W 8421 01495 9993 +181 +162 216062 062 039 002 00
222430 2802N 08834W 8424 01493 9994 +185 +161 218060 061 037 002 00
222500 2801N 08832W 8425 01495 0002 +175 +163 218060 060 038 002 00
222530 2801N 08832W 8425 01495 0006 +170 +167 219058 059 037 001 00
$
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Re: ATL: NATE - Recon Data
000
URNT12 KNHC 072227 CCA
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL162017
A. 07/22:08:40Z
B. 28 deg 37 min N
089 deg 10 min W
C. 850 mb 1283 m
D. 43 kt
E. 291 deg 13 nm
F. 038 deg 40 kt
G. 293 deg 16 nm
H. 983 mb
I. 18 C / 1525 m
J. 21 C / 1520 m
K. 19 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF309 0916A NATE OB 09 CCA
MAX FL WIND 78 KT 102 / 13 NM 20:48:30Z
MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 67 KT 135 / 35 NM 22:20:30Z
;
URNT12 KNHC 072227 CCA
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL162017
A. 07/22:08:40Z
B. 28 deg 37 min N
089 deg 10 min W
C. 850 mb 1283 m
D. 43 kt
E. 291 deg 13 nm
F. 038 deg 40 kt
G. 293 deg 16 nm
H. 983 mb
I. 18 C / 1525 m
J. 21 C / 1520 m
K. 19 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF309 0916A NATE OB 09 CCA
MAX FL WIND 78 KT 102 / 13 NM 20:48:30Z
MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 67 KT 135 / 35 NM 22:20:30Z
;
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Dean4Storms
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion
That was a NW to SE pass so I wouldn't expect the strongest winds found there.
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion
Ummm looking at radar looks like the center just jumped/reformed to the east under that convection.. interesting..
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion
Dean4Storms wrote:That was a NW to SE pass so I wouldn't expect the strongest winds found there.
they already went through the strongest part.. it is maybe 75mph right now..
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tolakram
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion
saved radar
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M a r k
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion
Aric Dunn wrote:Ummm looking at radar looks like the center just jumped/reformed to the easter under that convection.. interesting..
look at that center just getting pulle nearly due east and reforming.. crazyiness..
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Aric Dunn
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Re: ATL: NATE - Hurricane - Discussion
Better loop of it..
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I believe the sky is falling...
Re: ATL: NATE - Recon Data
000
URNT15 KNHC 072236
AF309 0916A NATE HDOB 26 20171007
222600 2759N 08830W 8421 01504 //// +167 //// 218057 057 036 002 01
222630 2758N 08829W 8424 01501 0010 +172 +167 216056 056 036 001 00
222700 2757N 08827W 8425 01503 0010 +177 +163 213054 055 035 001 00
222730 2756N 08826W 8426 01501 0009 +180 +161 212053 054 035 001 00
222800 2755N 08825W 8421 01512 0009 +185 +158 212052 053 035 002 00
222830 2754N 08824W 8424 01507 0010 +184 +160 213052 053 036 002 00
222900 2753N 08822W 8434 01499 0014 +177 +173 211051 053 038 002 01
222930 2752N 08821W 8419 01515 0017 +176 +169 213051 052 039 002 00
223000 2751N 08820W 8427 01508 0019 +174 +165 212050 051 038 001 00
223030 2750N 08819W 8425 01513 //// +168 //// 208045 048 037 002 01
223100 2749N 08818W 8424 01514 //// +169 //// 204047 048 037 001 01
223130 2748N 08816W 8426 01512 //// +166 //// 209046 048 036 005 01
223200 2747N 08815W 8422 01519 0038 +163 //// 208044 045 038 005 05
223230 2745N 08814W 8424 01517 0037 +166 //// 206043 044 038 006 01
223300 2744N 08813W 8429 01512 0025 +171 //// 206044 044 037 003 01
223330 2743N 08811W 8424 01519 //// +172 //// 207042 044 036 002 01
223400 2742N 08810W 8424 01520 0030 +172 +169 209042 043 035 001 01
223430 2741N 08809W 8424 01522 0031 +171 +169 208044 045 035 002 01
223500 2740N 08808W 8425 01521 //// +170 //// 206044 045 036 001 01
223530 2739N 08806W 8422 01526 //// +168 //// 205043 044 036 001 01
$$
;
URNT15 KNHC 072236
AF309 0916A NATE HDOB 26 20171007
222600 2759N 08830W 8421 01504 //// +167 //// 218057 057 036 002 01
222630 2758N 08829W 8424 01501 0010 +172 +167 216056 056 036 001 00
222700 2757N 08827W 8425 01503 0010 +177 +163 213054 055 035 001 00
222730 2756N 08826W 8426 01501 0009 +180 +161 212053 054 035 001 00
222800 2755N 08825W 8421 01512 0009 +185 +158 212052 053 035 002 00
222830 2754N 08824W 8424 01507 0010 +184 +160 213052 053 036 002 00
222900 2753N 08822W 8434 01499 0014 +177 +173 211051 053 038 002 01
222930 2752N 08821W 8419 01515 0017 +176 +169 213051 052 039 002 00
223000 2751N 08820W 8427 01508 0019 +174 +165 212050 051 038 001 00
223030 2750N 08819W 8425 01513 //// +168 //// 208045 048 037 002 01
223100 2749N 08818W 8424 01514 //// +169 //// 204047 048 037 001 01
223130 2748N 08816W 8426 01512 //// +166 //// 209046 048 036 005 01
223200 2747N 08815W 8422 01519 0038 +163 //// 208044 045 038 005 05
223230 2745N 08814W 8424 01517 0037 +166 //// 206043 044 038 006 01
223300 2744N 08813W 8429 01512 0025 +171 //// 206044 044 037 003 01
223330 2743N 08811W 8424 01519 //// +172 //// 207042 044 036 002 01
223400 2742N 08810W 8424 01520 0030 +172 +169 209042 043 035 001 01
223430 2741N 08809W 8424 01522 0031 +171 +169 208044 045 035 002 01
223500 2740N 08808W 8425 01521 //// +170 //// 206044 045 036 001 01
223530 2739N 08806W 8422 01526 //// +168 //// 205043 044 036 001 01
$$
;
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