ATL: MARIA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[northjaxpro]

This systems been moving west more so than a 280 bearing, this is worrisome of us in the windwards...what do you guys think of a possible impact and what strength?

If you are in the islands, prepare for the worst, and hope for the best. Always!!

[GCANE]

TROPICAL-CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT

[RL3AO]

TROPICAL-CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT



[img]http://i68.tinypic.com/2ii78l5.gif[/g]

Very timely...

[tolakram]

 https://twitter.com/DrRickKnabb/status/909116262701256704




Dr. Rick Knabb ✔ @DrRickKnabb
San Juan has a greater than 50/50 chance of winds of tropical storm force and greater than 10% chance of hurricane-force winds next 5 days.
2:06 PM - Sep 16, 2017

[RL3AO]

TD 15 looks very ominous on satellite. Looks like many past storms that intensified quickly.

[curtadams]

TD15 looks to be strengthening, but it looks like a strong low, not a strong TS. There's a big circulation, but not much going on in the center until the last hour or so. It looks to be starting a CDO right now, so I'd say it's a low-end TS (but strengthening).

[tolakram]

 https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/status/909118213887283200




Levi Cowan @TropicalTidbits
Saturday afternoon video update on Hurricane #Jose and Tropical Depression Fifteen (#Maria) https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/blog/20 ... s-to-land/ …
2:14 PM - Sep 16, 2017

[NotSparta]

AL, 15, 2017091618, , BEST, 0, 122N, 517W, 40, 1004, TS

13 named storms. Insane

[GCANE]

Large line of cumulus nimbus forming south of the MLC indicating increased lift due to increasing surface convergence.
Very likely surface winds are closed off now.

[tolakram]

source: http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=meso2-02-200-1-100

[Cerlin]

Wow, I expect that to become Maria very soon.

[marionstorm]

When will we know if this will be a threat to Florida peninsula?

[abajan]

Wow, I expect that to become Maria very soon.

Looks like it already is.

[MGC]

Yup, 15L looks close to TS intensity. Should be named later today if the organization trend continues. Its got the look.......MGC

[Aric Dunn]

Again.. i bet winds are into the 50s probably near 60. Especially given its forward motion.

[TJRE]

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... visir2.gif
https://goes.gsfc.nasa.gov/goescolor/go ... stfull.jpg

Sure looks like a candidate for Rapid Intensification...IMHO

http://hurricanes.wikia.com/wiki/Rapid_intensification

[Dave C]

source: http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=meso2-02-200-1-100

That ramped up quickly..... impressive,if this slows down we could really be in trouble.

[northjaxpro]

AL, 15, 2017091618, , BEST, 0, 122N, 517W, 40, 1004, TS

13 named storms. Insane

Well, apparently, Maria has been born!

[WeatherGuesser]

When will we know if this will be a threat to Florida peninsula?

Several days at least.

[northjaxpro]

Maria looks very impressive atm. Really intensifying steadily and has been all day.