ATL: IRMA - Models

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meriland29
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1621 Postby meriland29 » Thu Aug 31, 2017 5:30 pm

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AxaltaRacing24
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1622 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Thu Aug 31, 2017 5:31 pm

Hard to ignore this westward trend
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1623 Postby meriland29 » Thu Aug 31, 2017 5:31 pm

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1624 Postby SunnyThoughts » Thu Aug 31, 2017 5:32 pm

908 mb, seriously? Cmonnn Mother Nature, we know you are powerful, just stop it.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1625 Postby meriland29 » Thu Aug 31, 2017 5:32 pm

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1626 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Aug 31, 2017 5:32 pm

SunnyThoughts wrote:908 mb, seriously? Cmonnn Mother Nature, we know you are powerful, just stop it.


908mb in the subtropical Atlantic seems unrealistic. The lowest pressure I can think of in that area is 930mb.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1627 Postby Hurricaneman » Thu Aug 31, 2017 5:33 pm

meriland29 wrote:Image

It's adjusting towards the Euro and it seems the Euro is adjusting north some so maybe Florida is where they meet
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1628 Postby meriland29 » Thu Aug 31, 2017 5:34 pm

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1629 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Aug 31, 2017 5:34 pm

Hurricaneman wrote:
meriland29 wrote:Image

It's adjusting towards the Euro and it seems the Euro is adjusting north some so maybe Florida is where they meet


That screams East Coast hit though...probably in the Mid-Atlantic somewhere. This setup seems Isabelish...
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1630 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Thu Aug 31, 2017 5:34 pm

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1631 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Aug 31, 2017 5:34 pm

Oh boy...this isn't pretty.

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1632 Postby ronjon » Thu Aug 31, 2017 5:35 pm

Going to go into NYC on this GFS run.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1633 Postby meriland29 » Thu Aug 31, 2017 5:35 pm

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1634 Postby KWT » Thu Aug 31, 2017 5:35 pm

Most models still have a threat to the USA, CMC and GFS are more of a E.coast/NE states threat, the ECM is obviously further south, but nothing I've seen tonight suggests this is going to be an obvious recurve away from the states.

Heading towards NE states this run, possibly a New York cane like the 38 cane track on this run?
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1635 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Thu Aug 31, 2017 5:36 pm

Staring right at Manhattan
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1636 Postby meriland29 » Thu Aug 31, 2017 5:37 pm

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1637 Postby SouthFLTropics » Thu Aug 31, 2017 5:37 pm

Ouch!

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1638 Postby AxaltaRacing24 » Thu Aug 31, 2017 5:37 pm

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1639 Postby gatorcane » Thu Aug 31, 2017 5:37 pm

The westward shifts with the GFS are not done. The fact it is now showing a cutoff low over the Eastern US suggests it is trending more toward the Euro.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Models

#1640 Postby meriland29 » Thu Aug 31, 2017 5:38 pm

AxaltaRacing24 wrote:Image



How big does that look in terms of dimensions, 600 miles in diameter + ?
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