ATL: CINDY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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slamdaddy
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1401 Postby slamdaddy » Wed Jun 21, 2017 5:36 am

Hope she dries up completely and just goes away, 4.42" of rain here at Gautier, MS so far.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1402 Postby OuterBanker » Wed Jun 21, 2017 6:31 am

Really not much to Cindy. But as I watched the coverage on the Today show I started to wonder which causes more damage. The actual weather conditions or network hype.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1403 Postby rolltide » Wed Jun 21, 2017 6:41 am

Just checked the rain gauge and here in west Pensacola we have a storm total of just over 7 inches of rain and it's pouring again. Also just had a confirmed tornado just to our east at Eglin AFB. The ride to work should be interesting.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm

#1404 Postby caneman » Wed Jun 21, 2017 6:43 am

stormreader wrote:
caneman wrote:Am I missing something? All I see in the gulf is just a giant naked swirl almost completely devoid of thunderstorms? How is this 60 mph?


You're right cane man. It's not very impressive is it? But major storms don't happen very often. This is just your run of the mill kind of thing. Like a lot if things, it's pretty much overrated. Don't blame you for feeling that way. Sometimes it takes years for really important systems to appear. Louisiana had a 500 year flood just last year. Are you aware of that? 25-30 inches of rain in 48 hours. But many never heard much about it. Didn't have a name. God bless! Hope you never have to experience what's real, and not just the usual reports from websites.


It's not that I feel any way. Just pure observation. Living on the West coast of Florida, I've experienced many storms especially of the flooding variety. T.S. Debby nearly put us completely under water. T.S. Colin gave us 12 inches of rain while T.S Hermaine.dropped nearly 22 inches of rain. Floooding was everywhere snd they both occurred just last year. I never said this wasnt a rain producer. I questioned if it should even be named last night based on obvious obs and looking at NHC reports this morning, it looks like they do too.
Last edited by caneman on Wed Jun 21, 2017 6:59 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1405 Postby CYCLONE MIKE » Wed Jun 21, 2017 6:55 am

This should be called subtropical storm IMO. Naked swirl, dying convection displaced well to the east. Amazing that this is only 200 some miles south of LA coast and almost everyone south of I-10 is dry. Kind of get how people feel up in the northeast when they have that big noreaster and get completely dry slotted.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1406 Postby RL3AO » Wed Jun 21, 2017 6:57 am

Could even argue for post-tropical at this point. NHC could still issue advisories.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1407 Postby tropicwatch » Wed Jun 21, 2017 6:59 am

CYCLONE MIKE wrote:This should be called subtropical storm IMO. Naked swirl, dying convection displaced well to the east. Amazing that this is only 200 some miles south of LA coast and almost everyone south of I-10 is dry. Kind of get how people feel up in the northeast when they have that big noreaster and get completely dry slotted.


Dry south of I-10 are you kidding me. I'm in Panama City and have had over 4 inches of rain. Plenty of other people south of I-10 have had that much if not more.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Models

#1408 Postby RL3AO » Wed Jun 21, 2017 7:02 am

Last 6 runs of the GFS have been quite consistent.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1409 Postby TexasF6 » Wed Jun 21, 2017 7:22 am

Cindy has a vigorous COC and is adding convection. She's making at run at Galveston, IMO. Bears watching atm....
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1410 Postby sphelps8681 » Wed Jun 21, 2017 7:25 am

Do you think she can intensify anymore?
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Models

#1411 Postby sphelps8681 » Wed Jun 21, 2017 7:30 am

Looking at the spaghetti models looks as though the HWRF has shifted west a little.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1412 Postby tropicwatch » Wed Jun 21, 2017 7:32 am

Not looking like Cindy is in any hurry. Might be another stationary situation again. 8-)

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=gulf-07-24-1
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1413 Postby TexasF6 » Wed Jun 21, 2017 7:36 am

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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1414 Postby creole_lady » Wed Jun 21, 2017 7:42 am

Getting take shelter in Slidell, La Tornado Warning. My phone and TV both. It's near by.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1415 Postby Rocketman » Wed Jun 21, 2017 7:46 am

Just drove west from Biloxi to Stennis Space Center (LA/MS line). Traffic was light, moderate rain. Looking at satellite, looks like that dry air mass on the west side of Cindy has finally wrapped around to her south, hopefully giving us a much needed break from the rain. Can't say as much for the FL panhandle. Looks like they're still getting drenched.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1416 Postby TheStormExpert » Wed Jun 21, 2017 7:52 am

I doubt Cindy is a tropical cyclone anymore. Obviously the Euro's crazy idea on it's 12z run yesterday of showing a borderline hurricane was overdone.

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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1417 Postby Blow_Hard » Wed Jun 21, 2017 7:57 am

Rocketman wrote:Just drove west from Biloxi to Stennis Space Center (LA/MS line). Traffic was light, moderate rain. Looking at satellite, looks like that dry air mass on the west side of Cindy has finally wrapped around to her south, hopefully giving us a much needed break from the rain. Can't say as much for the FL panhandle. Looks like they're still getting drenched.



Yep..I'm in my office on PC Beach and it's coming down in buckets right now...
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1418 Postby RL3AO » Wed Jun 21, 2017 8:12 am

TheStormExpert wrote:I doubt Cindy is a tropical cyclone anymore. Obviously the Euro's crazy idea on it's 12z run yesterday of showing a borderline hurricane was overdone.

[imghttps://gifyu.com/images/IMG_7408.gif[/img]


True, but I also think there were some false assumptions on here that low 990s mb would be a near hurricane. It's currently at 996mb. Not hard to imagine that some sustained convection near the center could have brought it down to near 990.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Models

#1419 Postby TheStormExpert » Wed Jun 21, 2017 8:13 am

At this point no matter where the center comes ashore it won't matter since all the convention is removed several hundred miles away from the center to the north and east.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1420 Postby tropicwatch » Wed Jun 21, 2017 8:16 am

RL3AO wrote:
TheStormExpert wrote:I doubt Cindy is a tropical cyclone anymore. Obviously the Euro's crazy idea on it's 12z run yesterday of showing a borderline hurricane was overdone.

[imghttps://gifyu.com/images/IMG_7408.gif[/img]


True, but I also think there were some false assumptions on here that low 990s mb would be a near hurricane. It's currently at 996mb. Not hard to imagine that some sustained convection near the center could have brought it down to near 990.


Latest vortex message puts pressure at 995mb.
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