ATL: JOSE - Post Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: JOSE - Hurricane - Discussion

#141 Postby northjaxpro » Fri Sep 08, 2017 10:15 am

My God. This situation right now is a complete nightmare for everyone on the Leeeard Islands!! Prayers go out for all down there!!
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Hurricane - Discussion

#142 Postby EyELeSs1 » Fri Sep 08, 2017 10:21 am

Is it me or does Jose look like he's still rapidly intensifying? The eye has totally cleared out now... Concerned here in Antigua!

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Last edited by EyELeSs1 on Fri Sep 08, 2017 10:24 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Hurricane - Discussion

#143 Postby OntarioEggplant » Fri Sep 08, 2017 10:24 am

EyELeSs1 wrote:Is it me or does Jose look like he's still rapidly intensifying? The eye has totally cleared out now... Concerned here in Antigua!


It probably still is. Fortunately recon is still out there to confirm this
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Hurricane - Discussion

#144 Postby znel52 » Fri Sep 08, 2017 10:25 am

EyELeSs1 wrote:120730 1615N 05620W 6977 02713 9534 +136 +127 138114 134 149 012 03
120800 1616N 05619W 6994 02773 9674 +101 //// 136140 146 148 017 05

doesn't this translate to around 160-165 mph at surface???

Still evacuating Barbuda...


They are flagged as suspect probably rain contaminated or something. The '03' and '05' on the end mean data is suspect. It if is good data it will have '00' at end.
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Hurricane - Discussion

#145 Postby weathaguyry » Fri Sep 08, 2017 10:41 am

Is there any chance that he could reach Cat 5 status before weakening?
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Hurricane - Discussion

#146 Postby bg1 » Fri Sep 08, 2017 10:42 am

Well, that was a shock! :double:
Have we ever had two hurricanes of 150+mph at the same time?
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Hurricane - Discussion

#147 Postby znel52 » Fri Sep 08, 2017 10:46 am

weathaguyry wrote:Is there any chance that he could reach Cat 5 status before weakening?


It doesn't have far to go and continues to look better so I would say it has a decent shot.
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Hurricane - Discussion

#148 Postby Extratropical94 » Fri Sep 08, 2017 10:47 am

bg1 wrote:Well, that was a shock! :double:
Have we ever had two hurricanes of 150+mph at the same time?


No. Actually, we've only had two simultaneous 4's at the same time twice! 1926 with Hurricanes Four and Seven and 2010 with Igor and Julia. So that's a first :eek:
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Hurricane - Discussion

#149 Postby plasticup » Fri Sep 08, 2017 10:59 am

weathaguyry wrote:Is there any chance that he could reach Cat 5 status before weakening?


Yes. The official forecast is 150 mph. Category 5 is 156 mph, so definitely possible.

Barbuda could get hit with two Category 5 hurricanes in the same week. This is unbelievable...
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Hurricane - Discussion

#150 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Sep 08, 2017 11:03 am

plasticup wrote:
weathaguyry wrote:Is there any chance that he could reach Cat 5 status before weakening?


Yes. The official forecast is 150 mph. Category 5 is 156 mph, so definitely possible.

Barbuda could get hit with two Category 5 hurricanes in the same week. This is unbelievable...


That would be almost unheard of even in the western Pacific - forget in the Atlantic.
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Hurricane - Discussion

#151 Postby Kenderkin17 » Fri Sep 08, 2017 11:05 am

Pure speculation here, but what is the chance that Irma's wake leaves a trough which pulls Jose in right behind her?
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Hurricane - Discussion

#152 Postby Ntxw » Fri Sep 08, 2017 11:08 am

Satellite presentation wise of the three active storms, Jose is probably the best presentation in my view going through RI. All three hurricanes, unfortunately, beeline for land one way or another.

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Re: ATL: JOSE - Hurricane - Discussion

#153 Postby Langinbang187 » Fri Sep 08, 2017 11:26 am

Jose is definitely looking more impressive than Irma right about now. Wasn't expecting to be saying that until Irma made landfall.
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Hurricane - Discussion

#154 Postby plasticup » Fri Sep 08, 2017 11:29 am

Kenderkin17 wrote:Pure speculation here, but what is the chance that Irma's wake leaves a trough which pulls Jose in right behind her?

That's not really how the synoptics work. Her outflow may generate some shear over Jose, but that's about all the interaction we can expect
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Hurricane - Discussion

#155 Postby hurricaneCW » Fri Sep 08, 2017 11:42 am

Langinbang187 wrote:Jose is definitely looking more impressive than Irma right about now. Wasn't expecting to be saying that until Irma made landfall.


Perhaps but that's because he's a much smaller system with a tight inner core, however; the destructive potential doesn't compare with Irma.

In a way it's a good example of those comparing Irma to Andrew, sure Andrew looked prettier on satellite but again Irma's destructive potential or IKE is much much higher than the smaller, more aesthetic cane.
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Hurricane - Discussion

#156 Postby 1900hurricane » Fri Sep 08, 2017 11:44 am

txwatcher91 wrote:
Ntxw wrote:Wow, we might be looking at twin cat 5s later today. I am at odds on how these storms are getting such high winds without impressive BD grays. Recon does wonders for reality.


Has twin cat 5s ever happened before in the Atlantic, at the same time? I would think this would be incredibly rare since a cat 5 alone is unusual, but two of them at once? Wow.

It has happened only three times globally that I am aware of. Twice in the WPac and once in the SPac.
Last edited by 1900hurricane on Fri Sep 15, 2017 9:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Hurricane - Discussion

#157 Postby 1900hurricane » Fri Sep 08, 2017 11:46 am

Cunxi Huang wrote:Well JOSE reminds me typhoon NANGKA from WPAC 2 years ago.

Image

The three of Katia, Irma, and Jose have actually reminded me of Linfa, Chan-Hom, and Nangka from 2015.
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Hurricane - Discussion

#158 Postby galaxy401 » Fri Sep 08, 2017 12:32 pm

So recon found more Cat 5 winds that are flagged. Whether or not it is a 5, it is very close to one.
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Hurricane - Discussion

#159 Postby Kenderkin17 » Fri Sep 08, 2017 12:55 pm

Irma just made it back to Cat 5, and Jose is watching big sis and seriously pushing that boundary. We are near seeing something almost unique happening here, and certainly seeing something historically relevant. This is amazing, and horrible all in the same breath.
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Re: ATL: JOSE - Hurricane - Discussion

#160 Postby Langinbang187 » Fri Sep 08, 2017 1:04 pm

Kenderkin17 wrote:Irma just made it back to Cat 5, and Jose is watching big sis and seriously pushing that boundary. We are near seeing something almost unique happening here, and certainly seeing something historically relevant. This is amazing, and horrible all in the same breath.


155 is still a four.
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