ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[tolakram]

Okay, maybe my perception is based on my reminiscence of the damage following both eyewall passages in Wilma, whereas Naples has yet to experience the rear or southern quadrant, which could explain the relatively minor damage compared to Wilma's aftermath, which featured not just a few shallow-rooted trees uprooted, but also larger trees and branches snapped, roofing tiles blown off at many sites, and similarly intense scenes on a widespread scale. I do not see that yet in the footage. I do see some trees uprooted, but not many, and surrounding royal palms and other trees show very little, if any, foliage damage. And I never said the storm surge isn't dangerous. I was only referring to the wind aspect.

I don't think you intended to downplay the storm, but I do suggest we wait to see actual damage reports and not amateur go pro footage from parking garages. I do not know where the most intense eyewall hit so I have no idea what the winds were, but I did see sustained values above TS force. It's too early to comment on that. Wxman was referring to data, not casual observations.

.. I see your edit ... thanks.

[PTPatrick]

Cnn Bill Weir on FBI driving thru the keys, on FB live. Doesn't look too bad. Certainly not razed. But I don't know what Key he wasn't on.

Edit...it was islamorada...lots of debris but trailers still standing. The debris on the road appears to have been from surge

[stormreader]

I know a lot of attention is on Florida right now, but just got this tweet from the US Virgin Islands and the earlier damage caused by Irma. Wow.

 https://twitter.com/blkahn/status/906674272701173761

And I think British Virgin Islands were actually closer to absolute top level effects.

[hurricaneCW]

I still haven't seen anything from Cuba, I know they got slammed when Irma was a Cat 5.

[funster]

Cnn Bill Weir on FBI driving thru the keys, on FB live. Doesn't look too bad. Certainly not razed. But I don't know what Key he wasn't on.

He is in Key Largo.

[jpigott]

humming pretty good in palm beach gardens/juno. High TS sustained, with 70-80mph gusts. Impressive for how far we are away from the center

[johngaltfla]

I know a lot of attention is on Florida right now, but just got this tweet from the US Virgin Islands and the earlier damage caused by Irma. Wow.

 https://twitter.com/blkahn/status/906674272701173761

And I think British Virgin Islands were actually closer to absolute top level effects.

BVI totally destroyed on several islands and Tortola severely damaged.

[galaxy401]

I still haven't seen anything from Cuba, I know they got slammed when Irma was a Cat 5.

Yeah I'm not hearing much from Cuba but from the reports I did hear, some areas got destroyed.

[MrJames]

[Portaransas]

I hear the folks saying this isn't over. But I think it's fair to say, judging from the minor damage in Naples via Jeff and others, the wind part of the storm was not even close to as severe as it could've been had Irma not scraped Cuba like it did. I'm not rooting for anyone to go outside, but compared to what it did in the Carribean, Florida did catch a big break. Surge? We'll see but even that doesn't seem to match with the severe predictions we saw. Rain seems to be a temporary problem as it gains forward speed and weakens. All that said, I do hope for minimal damage and hopefully no loss of life in Florida. I do think it's important for us to be less CONUS-centric and really think about/ send prayers out to the thousands of people in other places whose lives were upended by her pre-FL landfall.

[HenkL]

AF307 3111A IRMA HDOB 16 20170910
210800 2525N 08115W 6970 02942 9773 +129 +125 231076 076 047 000 00
210830 2526N 08116W 6972 02933 9765 +130 +125 232075 076 045 000 03
210900 2528N 08117W 6970 02935 9761 +130 +126 231074 075 045 000 00
210930 2529N 08118W 6971 02928 9752 +130 +127 233075 076 046 000 03
211000 2531N 08119W 6970 02921 9749 +127 +126 233077 078 045 000 05
211030 2532N 08120W 6970 02915 //// +124 //// 233078 079 045 000 05
211100 2534N 08121W 6970 02910 //// +120 //// 232080 081 045 001 05
211130 2535N 08122W 6971 02905 //// +119 //// 230081 082 046 001 01
211200 2536N 08123W 6970 02902 //// +117 //// 229080 081 046 001 01
211230 2538N 08124W 6968 02897 //// +118 //// 228078 080 047 002 01
211300 2540N 08125W 6983 02873 //// +127 //// 228075 077 045 003 05
211330 2541N 08126W 6973 02883 //// +124 //// 228074 076 047 003 01
211400 2543N 08127W 6969 02880 //// +120 //// 226074 075 048 002 01
211430 2544N 08128W 6974 02865 //// +120 //// 225072 075 045 002 01
211500 2546N 08130W 6977 02858 9703 +129 //// 225074 076 047 002 01
211530 2547N 08131W 6959 02872 9703 +129 //// 227075 077 047 004 01
211600 2549N 08132W 6971 02846 //// +133 //// 231075 076 049 001 01
211630 2550N 08133W 6967 02846 //// +128 //// 231078 081 055 001 05
211700 2552N 08134W 6972 02817 9649 +126 //// 230081 082 086 002 05
211730 2553N 08135W 6969 02815 9618 +132 +131 232081 082 /// /// 05

(along the coast in NNW direction towards Naples)

[supercane4867]

I know a lot of attention is on Florida right now, but just got this tweet from the US Virgin Islands and the earlier damage caused by Irma. Wow.

https://twitter.com/blkahn/status/906674272701173761

And I think British Virgin Islands were actually closer to absolute top level effects.

I saw a photo of concrete hotel blasted to metal skeleton on twitter but I can't find it now. The damage level on parts of British Virgin Islands likely resembles an EF4 tornado.

[d3v123]

Winds starting to pick up here in St.Pete, still have power to my surprise

[HenkL]

AF307 3111A IRMA HDOB 17 20170910
211800 2554N 08136W 6970 02788 9594 +138 +133 235081 082 /// /// 05
211830 2555N 08137W 6976 02772 9586 +137 +134 237085 087 /// /// 05
211900 2556N 08138W 6969 02766 9567 +137 +132 239086 090 /// /// 05
211930 2557N 08140W 6978 02749 9554 +141 +129 245090 091 /// /// 03
212000 2558N 08141W 6960 02766 9534 +153 +127 254091 091 140 003 03
212030 2559N 08142W 6970 02724 9511 +154 +143 261086 092 /// /// 03
212100 2600N 08143W 6974 02709 9488 +157 +149 268078 084 /// /// 03
212130 2601N 08144W 6967 02710 9483 +156 +149 276075 077 /// /// 03
212200 2601N 08145W 6982 02663 9469 +164 +147 278072 075 147 000 03
212230 2602N 08146W 6963 02704 9458 +175 +137 288073 074 /// /// 03
212300 2602N 08148W 6977 02689 9450 +189 +127 294076 077 /// /// 03
212330 2603N 08149W 6970 02699 9465 +173 +133 300080 082 061 002 00
212400 2603N 08150W 6971 02702 9449 +196 +109 302085 088 064 001 03
212430 2603N 08151W 6976 02697 9434 +217 +096 303081 085 /// /// 03
212500 2605N 08151W 6970 02691 9437 +197 +121 307080 081 067 000 00
212530 2606N 08151W 6963 02694 9422 +207 +112 320079 080 065 002 03
212600 2607N 08152W 6980 02670 9429 +191 +129 321080 082 064 001 03
212630 2608N 08153W 6968 02682 9434 +186 +134 320076 079 066 002 03
212700 2609N 08153W 6978 02672 9439 +181 +136 323076 078 068 001 03
212730 2610N 08154W 6962 02694 9453 +168 +144 331075 077 069 002 00

(northward along the coast, centre of Irma east of plane)

[Jimsot]

I lived on Anguilla for 10 years until 2015. The pictures and phone conversations from our friends is surreal. The Anglec Electric Company estimates electric service won't return for 4 - 6 months. Nearly every utility pole on the island was yanked out, split in two, or leaning.

I know a lot of attention is on Florida right now, but just got this tweet from the US Virgin Islands and the earlier damage caused by Irma. Wow.

 https://twitter.com/blkahn/status/906674272701173761

[Kingarabian]

Seems like the eyewall is moving in over that USTREAM Naples cam.

[Sanibel]

Outer eyewall hitting RSW airport...Light poles rocking violently...Blown mist whiteout...Can't believe I still have cell connection...Roaring...

[Blown Away]

Irma looks now slight E of due N... Amazing she has been moving E of the guidance for past 18 hours... May have spared points N of Marco Cat 3/4 winds...

[stormreader]

Yes, it could have been worse in Fl as far as sustained winds, but as some have stated, this is still an ongoing event. There will be oncoming surge now on the west coast of Fl as Irma creeps up the penninsula. Also, hate to say it, but there may be greater tornado potential with Irma overland tonight in Fl. As storm weakens to Cat 1 core, with frictional effects, and continued lower pressures than one would expect with a hurricane of this intensity, the tornado threat could increase. There is a real possibility of serious tornadoes too. Not just little quick spin-ups. Something to watch for tonight.

[tolakram]

I hear the folks saying this isn't over. But I think it's fair to say, judging from the minor damage in Naples via Jeff and others, the wind part of the storm was not even close to as severe as it could've been had Irma not scraped Cuba like it did. I'm not rooting for anyone to go outside, but compared to what it did in the Carribean, Florida did catch a big break. Surge? We'll see but even that doesn't seem to match with the severe predictions we saw. Rain seems to be a temporary problem as it gains forward speed and weakens. All that said, I do hope for minimal damage and hopefully no loss of life in Florida. I do think it's important for us to be less CONUS-centric and really think about/ send prayers out to the thousands of people in other places whose lives were upended by her pre-FL landfall.

I really think the time for these kinds of posts is tomorrow, we are still in the middle of this and don't have all the information yet. The peak surge for Naples is a little over an hour from now as the wind shifts.