ATL: IRMA - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11461 Postby tolakram » Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:08 pm

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11462 Postby northjaxpro » Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:08 pm

KBBOCA wrote:It's incredible how few folks are online here with an historic landfalling storm in SW FL and possible worst case scenarios of surge affecting Naples / Ft. Myers.

But so many S2K members are in FL, so obviously dealing with power loss / comms loss / exhaustion / evacuation...
Other key members (CycloneEye, MSBEE) are dealing with tragedy caused by Irma in the Caribbean...
And we've got a whole ton of folks in Houston and other Harvey-hit areas of Texas trying to rebuild their lives...


Well, I am still on here while I have power. Conditions have steadily deteriorated here in Jax and down in St. Augustine. Storm surge flooding o curing in downtown St. Augustine now.

Here at my home, the bands have continued bringing heavy rain and I have had wind gusts over 40 mph a few times already. They are about to close access to all the major bridges here in Jax since the wind criteria of wind of 40 mph + are occurring


I asked have now picked up just under 7 inches of rainfall so far and counting!!
Last edited by northjaxpro on Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:09 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11463 Postby BYG Jacob » Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:09 pm

Irma is still a very dangerous hurricane, but Florida better thank their lucky stars she veered into Cuba first, otherwise they would be staring at a strengthening cat 5.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11464 Postby Floridagal » Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:09 pm

NDG wrote:
drewschmaltz wrote:
Hurricane Andrew wrote:I inow we have a few members here who live in Orlando...whats it like down there right now?


I'm in South West Orlando. The rain has been a steady drizzle and very little wind to speak of. Funny how this stuff works sometimes. I'm sure the cells in the feeders will eventually get to us.


Weather will be going down hill soon, the first true feeder bands approaching Orlando, winds will continue to pick up , worst will be around 11 PM-5 AM.


I'm north of Altamonte Springs. Longwood - Seminole County. Light intermittent rains and gusts around 35 mph. so far. It's been that way the last 2 days (rain). We are near the Wekiva River Basin and lots of old trees. We are prepared to be without power for some time...probably sooner than later. If anyone else is in my area, Lyman High School is a pet friendly shelter. It's not too late if you are in a mobile home, go now.

Good luck, neighbors.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11465 Postby KBBOCA » Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:10 pm

Rail Dawg wrote:Reporting live from Naples.

Horizontal rain.

Wind howling.

Wires singing.

Still 3 hours to go to eye.


STAY SAFE. Appreciate your reporting, but your safety comes first!
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11466 Postby tolakram » Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:12 pm

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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11467 Postby hawaiigirl » Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:12 pm

johngaltfla wrote:Both models (GFS/Euro) have been consistent with wind gust forecasts for Sarasota County of 130-143 mph after 9 pm. Looks like it is going to be a long night. :eek:

Aloha are you in Sarasota? My best friend lives there and I am quite worried. I pray they don't get hit hard. She's riding it out in her home. God bless
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11468 Postby northjaxpro » Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:13 pm

BYG Jacob wrote:Irma is still a very dangerous hurricane, but Florida better thank their lucky stars she veered into Cuba first, otherwise they would be staring at a strengthening cat 5.


A major tropical cyclone as large as Irma is terrible period. Cat 4 or Cat 5 it still equally destructive.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11469 Postby tolakram » Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:13 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11470 Postby KBBOCA » Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:13 pm

northjaxpro wrote:
KBBOCA wrote:It's incredible how few folks are online here with an historic landfalling storm in SW FL and possible worst case scenarios of surge affecting Naples / Ft. Myers.


Well, I am still on here while I have power. Conditions have steadily deteriorated here in Jax and down in St. Augustine. Storm surge flooding o curing in downtown St. Augustine now.


Thanks for the update. Stay safe!
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11471 Postby JaxGator » Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:13 pm

It's stating to go down hill here with the combination of the Nor' Easter and Irma's rainbands coming up from the south. And we had a tornado warning around Cresent Beach near the St. John's- Flagler county line south of St. Augustine.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11472 Postby NDG » Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:15 pm

Hurricane force wind gusts now in Naples. With NE winds it makes me think the eye will pass if not over them very close to them.

Conditions at: KAPF observed 10 September 2017 16:53 UTC
Temperature: 25.0°C (77°F)
Dewpoint: 24.4°C (76°F) [RH = 96%]
Pressure (altimeter): missing
Winds: from the NE (50 degrees) at 48 MPH (42 knots; 21.8 m/s)
gusting to 76 MPH (66 knots; 34.3 m/s)

Visibility: 0.50 miles (0.80 km)
Ceiling: 1900 feet AGL
Clouds: few clouds at 1000 feet AGL
overcast cloud deck at 1900 feet AGL
Present Weather: +RA FG (heavy rain, fog)
SOME DATA ABOVE MAY BE INACCURATE!!!
"$" is an indication the sensor requires maintenance
Last edited by NDG on Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11473 Postby jabman98 » Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:15 pm

Anderson Cooper on CNN is in Tampa next to the Hillsborough River near downtown. It's flowing out and the water is really dropping. Looks very calm there. Kind of creepy.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Main Recon Thread (Data only)

#11474 Postby Sciencerocks » Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:15 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 101712
AF306 3011A IRMA HDOB 47 20170910
170300 2503N 08207W 6963 02900 9709 +140 +082 309051 051 048 002 03
170330 2504N 08206W 6965 02891 9699 +143 +087 311051 052 049 001 00
170400 2505N 08204W 6966 02880 9689 +142 +089 316054 055 049 000 00
170430 2506N 08202W 6970 02864 9677 +142 +092 314057 058 049 000 03
170500 2507N 08201W 6967 02856 9671 +135 +102 314061 061 051 000 03
170530 2508N 08159W 6963 02850 9654 +140 +097 310062 063 053 001 00
170600 2509N 08158W 6974 02823 9644 +135 +114 310065 067 054 001 00
170630 2510N 08156W 6961 02827 9630 +134 +108 306068 069 056 002 00
170700 2512N 08154W 6966 02806 9614 +133 +121 305071 073 057 002 00
170730 2513N 08153W 6963 02789 9577 +148 +114 306074 077 061 002 00
170800 2514N 08151W 6968 02753 9538 +158 +107 302076 078 064 002 00
170830 2515N 08150W 6967 02734 9489 +186 +093 304076 078 063 001 00
170900 2516N 08148W 6974 02697 9445 +198 +103 306078 079 063 002 00
170930 2517N 08146W 6973 02659 9387 +219 +097 301076 079 060 002 03
171000 2519N 08145W 6956 02649 9362 +211 +114 288063 074 051 001 00
171030 2520N 08143W 6984 02600 9368 +184 +132 273037 055 037 002 03
171100 2522N 08142W 6956 02619 9367 +167 +137 252013 028 021 001 03
171130 2524N 08143W 6968 02597 9361 +170 +138 143008 011 013 000 03
171200 2525N 08143W 6930 02641 9359 +156 +140 117018 020 /// /// 05
171230 2527N 08143W 6974 02596 //// +150 //// 103025 028 018 002 01
$$
;
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11475 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:15 pm

Thankfully the shear and moat developed last night just in time otherwise it could have really strengthened
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11476 Postby KBBOCA » Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:16 pm

Normal vs. Now shot of Bayshore Blvd in Tampa

 https://twitter.com/Corrynmb/status/906919106338803713


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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11477 Postby BYG Jacob » Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:17 pm

northjaxpro wrote:
BYG Jacob wrote:Irma is still a very dangerous hurricane, but Florida better thank their lucky stars she veered into Cuba first, otherwise they would be staring at a strengthening cat 5.


A major tropical cyclone as large as Irma is terrible period. Cat 4 or Cat 5 it still equally destructive.

It is, which is why I said she is still very dangerous, but she would be exponentially more dangerous if she had avoided Cuba.
Last edited by BYG Jacob on Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11478 Postby KBBOCA » Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:18 pm

NWS Miami‏Verified account @NWSMiami 10m10 minutes ago

1:05 PM: #Irma eyewall to move to #MarcoIsland by 1:45 PM, then to #Naples. 115+ mph winds. Large storm surge imminent. Shelter in place!

 https://twitter.com/NWSMiami/status/906927454702448641


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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11479 Postby ava_ati » Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:18 pm

JaxGator wrote:It's stating to go down hill here with the combination of the Nor' Easter and Irma's rainbands coming up from the south. And we had a tornado warning around Cresent Beach near the St. John's- Flagler county line south of St. Augustine.


Very odd to me, it sounds like we are getting worse conditions here than they are in Orlando at this point in time, from the reports I've seen here.
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Re: ATL: IRMA - Hurricane - Discussion

#11480 Postby northjaxpro » Sun Sep 10, 2017 12:18 pm

JaxGator wrote:It's stating to go down hill here with the combination of the Nor' Easter and Irma's rainbands coming up from the south. And we had a tornado warning around Cresent Beach near the St. John's- Flagler county line south of St. Augustine.


Yeah I believe that expired. No word yet if it touched down.

There will.be several quick spin up twisters the next 24 hours or so with this landfalling cyclone
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