ATL: Ex INVEST 92L - Discussion

[Frank P]

Is this little system 92L leftovers?

This is the northern half would be my guess... but yeah...

[gatorcane]

Nice spin with deep convection on SE side, just getting sheared at the moment:

[Emmett_Brown]

Hermine style naked swirl happening there. Floater is on ie: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floater ... oater.html

[NDG]

Good thing the UL winds are not favorable with this small circulation, I've been tracking it ever since it emerged off of Hispaniola a couple of days ago, I believe it was former 92L.
Hard to believe is the heart of the hurricane season and disturbances are still struggling.

[stormlover2013]

we saw how quick storms can develop if this can get in the GOM you never know

[TheStormExpert]

Good thing the UL winds are not favorable with this small circulation, I've been tracking it ever since it emerged off of Hispaniola a couple of days ago, I believe it was former 92L.
Hard to believe is the heart of the hurricane season and disturbances are still struggling.

Yep shear, shear, and more shear. UL conditions seem to be gradually getting worse as we progress through the season.

[Stormcenter]

Surprised this is not an invest yet.

[frederic79]

It is. Showing up as a generic invest on floater section of NHC site.

[Emmett_Brown]

yep, conditions have a very 1980's feel to them. Lots of disturbances fell apart in the 80's. There were some big dogs in there too though.

[Nimbus]

Lets move this to active storms as 95L?

[gatorcane]

12Z NAM with a decent 850MB vort moving slowly WNW in the Gulf:

[cycloneye]

Lets move this to active storms as 95L?

Yes,SSD has a Invest (No number) floater but still ATCF has not done a best track for 95L.As soon it happens (If it does so) this threads closes.

[Blown Away]

Clear circulation there...

[PTrackerLA]

This small system seems fairly robust with a rigorous looking circulation. If it can survive getting blasted by shear might be interesting in the Gulf.

[xironman]

Lets move this to active storms as 95L?

Yes,SSD has a Invest (No number) floater but still ATCF has not done a best track for 95L.As soon it happens (If it does so) this threads closes.

Would they just reactivate 92l?

It could have a short window in the eastern gulf if it survives.

[Hurricaneman]

Shear looks like its dropping ahead of this according to the maps

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[cycloneye]

Lets move this to active storms as 95L?

Yes,SSD has a Invest (No number) floater but still ATCF has not done a best track for 95L.As soon it happens (If it does so) this threads closes.

Would they just reactivate 92l?

It could have a short window in the eastern gulf if it survives.

92L is inactive in the ATCF List right now.

[ConvergenceZone]

You'd think it was June with all the shear that's in the Atlantic and Gulf. Might get a depression somewhere by the end of September

[gatorcane]

The 12Z GFS has it briefly getting under an upper anti-cyclone at 48 hours:

[rockyman]

The 12z CMC seems to like it. Can't post pics but link is here:

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... =0&ypos=49