ATL: HERMINE - Models

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bamajammer4eva
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3321 Postby bamajammer4eva » Sat Aug 27, 2016 1:26 pm

Looks like the GFS is just about off in its own world once again in showing no development.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3322 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 27, 2016 1:27 pm

La Breeze wrote:
tolakram wrote:Comedy or drama? Run to run consistency is nowhere.

[i mg]http://i.imgur.com/LxAylFc.png[/img]

According to this latest scenario, in which direction would it be heading, NW, N, NE?


Heading NE. I'll post an animation when the run is done.
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xcool22

Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3323 Postby xcool22 » Sat Aug 27, 2016 1:27 pm

can we take this serious hmmm

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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3324 Postby ronjon » Sat Aug 27, 2016 1:28 pm

Rut-row. 12z European now deepening 99l in GOM and turning NE at 4-5 days.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3325 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 27, 2016 1:29 pm

It's difficult to take any model seriously when most have been wrong. Don't forget the GFS has been the most consistent saying no development, but even it had a few runs recent;y where it formed a hurricane into the big bend area.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3326 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 27, 2016 1:30 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3327 Postby TheStormExpert » Sat Aug 27, 2016 1:30 pm

12z Euro at it again! :lol: :roll:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3328 Postby Dean4Storms » Sat Aug 27, 2016 1:31 pm

ECM @ 138hrs.....983mb moving NNE due south of Mobile and almost due west of Tampa
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3329 Postby Hammy » Sat Aug 27, 2016 1:31 pm

ronjon wrote:Rut-row. 12z European now deepening 99l in GOM and turning NE at 4-5 days.


Can this run be taken more seriously considering this is probably the best the system has looked so far?
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xcool22

Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3330 Postby xcool22 » Sat Aug 27, 2016 1:32 pm

Hammy wrote:
ronjon wrote:Rut-row. 12z European now deepening 99l in GOM and turning NE at 4-5 days.


Can this run be taken more seriously considering this is probably the best the system has looked so far?


not sure
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3331 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 27, 2016 1:32 pm

It's heading north (watchign Weatherbell plots as well).
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3332 Postby Jag95 » Sat Aug 27, 2016 1:32 pm

Looking like Pensacola's turn this time.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3333 Postby PTrackerLA » Sat Aug 27, 2016 1:34 pm

You have GOT to be kidding me LOL. I'm gonna let some pro Mets chime in on this one I have no comment but 12z Euro might be making a run at a cat 2...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3334 Postby ronjon » Sat Aug 27, 2016 1:34 pm

Sounds like a Florida panhandle LF with Euro.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3335 Postby Dean4Storms » Sat Aug 27, 2016 1:36 pm

@156hrs.... 968mb due south of Mobile, wind gusts to 104kts. :eek:
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3336 Postby Jag95 » Sat Aug 27, 2016 1:37 pm

Ouch.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3337 Postby tolakram » Sat Aug 27, 2016 1:37 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3338 Postby PTrackerLA » Sat Aug 27, 2016 1:37 pm

Down to 962mb at 156 hrs on high-res...
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3339 Postby Agua » Sat Aug 27, 2016 1:38 pm

Bullseye Dean4storms.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Models

#3340 Postby Dean4Storms » Sat Aug 27, 2016 1:38 pm

Wow...162 hrs @ 963mb Wind gusts to 121kts!
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