ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Blown Away]

Matt still in a loop and will swing back to the E and at 5pm will be very close to the 11am position earlier today...

[NDG]

NOAA is not doing center fixes. The purpose of this flight is NOT to fix the center

Also, any word from Colombia? That rainband has remained over a normally dry area all day. I suspect the flooding is bad there

The good news is that area does not look very heavily populated, very sparse.

[TJRE]

COD Met ext loop

http://climate.cod.edu/hanis/satellite/ ... ic-ir-1-96

[GCANE]

Core temp: 11C
Eye Dia: 12nm
New eyewall hot tower firing

Could be reintensifying.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

I think there is some upwelling ocurring in the storm. This is good. Need it to die down for sure.

[ronyan]

I think there is some upwelling ocurring in the storm. This is good. Need it to die down for sure.

Any upwelling should only be temporary. I doubt it could weaken it much.

[Aric Dunn]

one thing this has done is slow it down by about 4 hours so far and looks like its still just going to crawl.. impacts of the model forecast remains to be seen.

[floridasun78]

what good station in Jamaica hear news how getting ready down their?

[terstorm1012]

The wood frame home is making a comeback even in S FL. Extensive testing has proven that wood when used with prescribed fasteners s in all the right spots outperforms concrete block. Much more flexible with out old world construction problems of the past.

I don't believe that for nothing in the world, so how come buildings are not build with wood frames? The truth is that they build with wood because is cheaper.
If I had the money to build a house on the beach in S FL it would be on concrete stilts and 100% concrete, even the roof.

id also add rebar every few inches to reinforce the concrete.

I'm not surprised Gitmo's switched out to wood-frame rather than concrete. It sits on an active plate boundary.

[SouthFLTropics]

Looks like the loop has nearly completed...round and round we go and we're right back where we started this morning.

[Aric Dunn]

pressure now down to 938 ish probably 935 ..

30 to 40 kt winds.

195830 1321N 07315W 7440 02082 9385 +240 +131 176020 031 044 001 00

[Airboy]

hm, pressure going down? From recon, Extrap. Sfc. Press: 938.5 mb (27.72 inHg)

[jlauderdal]

the infamous thumb ridge has ridge returned 5:28, always interesting to see the features appear in the longer ranges then dissapear on the next runs

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFGFtTS7AcY

[Aric Dunn]

Looks like the loop has nearly completed...round and round we go and we're right back where we started this morning.

but key point .. we are 5 hours slower and likely to grow more..

[SouthFLTropics]

Looks like the loop has nearly completed...round and round we go and we're right back where we started this morning.

but key point .. we are 5 hours slower and likely to grow more..

That is for sure...big changes have small beginnings!!!

[Blinhart]

Guesses on pressure and wind speed at next advisory??

I'm saying pressure around 925 with winds around 165.

EDIT: I meant the 7pm central advisory, not this one that is about to come out, that is my bad.

[SouthFloridawx]

140mph - 938mb - unless they find lower or higher when the 5pm comes out

Guesses on pressure and wind speed at next advisory??

I'm saying pressure around 925 with winds around 165.

[TimeZone]

Guesses on pressure and wind speed at next advisory??

I'm saying pressure around 925 with winds around 165.

I meant the 7pm central advisory, not this one that is about to come out, that is my bad.

937 MB

150 MPH winds.

[Aric Dunn]

140mph - 938mb - unless they find lower or higher when the 5pm comes out

Guesses on pressure and wind speed at next advisory??

I'm saying pressure around 925 with winds around 165.

they found plenty of winds to support 150 at least.

[GCANE]

Product: NOAA Vortex Message (URNT12 KWBC)
Transmitted: 1st day of the month at 20:15Z
Aircraft: Lockheed WP-3D Orion (Reg. Num. N43RF)
Observation Number: 18

A. Time of Center Fix: 1st day of the month at 19:39:55Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 13°20'N 73°16'W (13.3333N 73.2667W)

H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 940mb (27.76 inHg) - Extrapolated

I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 17°C (63°F) at a pressure alt. of 2,199m (7,215ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 23°C (73°F) at a pressure alt. of 2,476m (8,123ft)

L. Eye Character: Closed Wall
M. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 6 nautical miles