ATL: MATTHEW - Models

[DESTRUCTION5]

Thumb ridge is back. ! Looks more like a few knuckles though l

[tolakram]

Trend with previous run.

[centuryv58]

Way too close. AccuWeather wind forecast would work given this!

[gatorcane]

192 hour JMA close to the Euro but more west:

[Bocadude85]

Pretty funny, huh? The Euro has trended East and West of it's previous run ... in the same run!

What? Where did it trend east of the 0z?

[chaser1]

Anyone know how the JMA model has performed this year as compared to the EURO and GFS? I have never really followed it enough to gauge its consistency or levels of accuracy.

[CalmBeforeStorm]

I guess Florida and the east coast are out of the woods after today's model runs so far <sarcasm font off>

[jlauderdal]

Way too close. AccuWeather wind forecast would work given this!

see, they made a forecast yesterday and now it has some model support although they were a bit high on the winds..anyone else stepping out on the edge making a forecast for next weds in miami?

[xironman]

Anyone know how the JMA model has performed this year as compared to the EURO and GFS? I have never really followed it enough to gauge its consistency or levels of accuracy.

It basically has no level of accuracy, you might as well look at the NAVGEM

[LarryWx]

I'm guessing the 12Z Euro will have a rather sharp recurve east of the east coast by day 10 though moving slowly. Let's see.

Reason: the high to the north has weakened considerably on 192 hour map.

[gatorcane]

I'm guessing the 12Z Euro will have a rather sharp recurve east of the east coast by day 10 though moving slowly. Let's see.

Reason: the high to the north has weakened considerably on 192 hour map.

Perhaps but the Euro resolution drops after hour 168 so from here on it larger errors are possible.

[centuryv58]

Anyone know how the JMA model has performed this year as compared to the EURO and GFS? I have never really followed it enough to gauge its consistency or levels of accuracy.

There was a discussion here about JMA at 2 am this morning. Don't know how far back in pages it is now.

[BensonTCwatcher]

I'm guessing the 12Z Euro will have a rather sharp recurve east of the east coast by day 10 though moving slowly. Let's see.

Reason: the high to the north has weakened considerably on 192 hour map.

We'll see the trough is digging deeper in the Midwest too...

[chaser1]

Anyone know how the JMA model has performed this year as compared to the EURO and GFS? I have never really followed it enough to gauge its consistency or levels of accuracy.

It basically has no level of accuracy, you might as well look at the NAVGEM

Well, sounds like we can somewhat discount the JMA lol. So lets take that a step further. Anyone really follow these peripheral models know how the NASA model compares to the JMA?

[Blown Away]

12z Euro... 216 Hours... Cat 4... Moving NE...

[tolakram]

[otterlyspicey]

I'm guessing the 12Z Euro will have a rather sharp recurve east of the east coast by day 10 though moving slowly. Let's see.

Reason: the high to the north has weakened considerably on 192 hour map.

DING DING DING, you are accurate.

[HurrMark]

I'm guessing the 12Z Euro will have a rather sharp recurve east of the east coast by day 10 though moving slowly. Let's see.

Reason: the high to the north has weakened considerably on 192 hour map.

Spot on.

[SeGaBob]

I might be eating crow soon if that keeps up.

[xironman]

I'm guessing the 12Z Euro will have a rather sharp recurve east of the east coast by day 10 though moving slowly. Let's see.

Reason: the high to the north has weakened considerably on 192 hour map.

Perhaps but the Euro resolution drops after hour 168 so from here on it larger errors are possible.

+1 the Euro is deadly at 168 after that, not so much