ATL: MATTHEW - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[d3v123]

From East Arlington area of Jacksonville, Florida, still have power as of this post's time. Just checking in before very likely power outage..prayers to all.. still not even that bad but it will get worse this evening and overnight..hope the damages are least bad..for all...poor Haiti Will check back in when possible...

Hey. Thanks JaxFlDude. My lights flickered, but they have stayed on to this point.

Sustained winds are now at around 50 mph with gusts up to near 60 currently at my home. The worst still to come through as the eyewall is off Palm Coast currently.

Been out of power here almost two hours now, savor your power! Lol

[tolakram]

Could someone post animated radar?

Can your phone reach this: https://www.wunderground.com/weather-radar/united-states/fl/jacksonville/jax/?region=pie

latest save

[northjaxpro]

Would that steer it any direction or change its path?

Looks like there is a steering high at about 32N 70W.
So it should erode that some and possibly get it to go a little more east, not entirely sure though.
Big thing though is this could keep Matthew from weakening as fast as forecasted.

I'm in a suburb of Charleston County, outside of a flood zone and about 20 miles from the coast. Worried about my 15 year old roof the most. While more intensity is not wanted, if the trough pushed it more off of the coast, that might be a better situation for us.

NHC extended Hurricane warnings up the coast all the way up th North Carolina because theoutflow of Matthee as been enhanced by the High northeadt of it not eroding as fast as forecast. It is also possible Matthew may not weaken as fast as forecasted earlier as well.

[Alyono]

not sure if posted

https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/784448184072437760

842 dead in Haiti and continues to climb exponentially

[northjaxpro]

Would that steer it any direction or change its path?

Looks like there is a steering high at about 32N 70W.
So it should erode that some and possibly get it to go a little more east, not entirely sure though.
Big thing though is this could keep Matthew from weakening as fast as forecasted.

I'm in a suburb of Charleston County, outside of a flood zone and about 20 miles from the coast. Worried about my 15 year old roof the most. While more intensity is not wanted, if the trough pushed it more off of the coast, that might be a better situation for us.

NHC extended hurricane warmings up the coast all the way up th North Carolina because theoutflow of Matthee as been enhanced by the High northeadt of it not eroding as fast as forecast. It is also possible Matthew may not weaken as fast as forecasted earlier as well.

[CrazyC83]

not sure if posted

https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/784448184072437760

842 dead in Haiti and continues to climb exponentially

I am fearing (and thinking) it will be close to 10,000 in the end...Mitch II...

[CrazyC83]

Could someone post animated radar?

Can your phone reach this: https://www.wunderground.com/weather-radar/united-states/fl/jacksonville/jax/?region=pie

latest save

It doesn't look to have weakened much, although I do believe it is a Cat 2 now (and has been for a while)...has there been any data supporting major hurricane lately?

[ronyan]

not sure if posted

https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/784448184072437760

842 dead in Haiti and continues to climb exponentially

I am fearing (and thinking) it will be close to 10,000 in the end...Mitch II...

Yeah I originally thought it would be similar to Galveston 1900 in terms of the death toll. Horrendous.

[Rail Dawg]

Thanks Mark for the animation.

It loads fast for me on Storm2k but slower on other sites.

It's definitely needed right now as I sit on this bridge.

Really strong gusts coming straight down the Intracoastal Waterway.

[pgoss11]

Would that steer it any direction or change its path?

Looks like there is a steering high at about 32N 70W.
So it should erode that some and possibly get it to go a little more east, not entirely sure though.
Big thing though is this could keep Matthew from weakening as fast as forecasted.

I'm in a suburb of Charleston County, outside of a flood zone and about 20 miles from the coast. Worried about my 15 year old roof the most. While more intensity is not wanted, if the trough pushed it more off of the coast, that might be a better situation for us.

We're in West Ashley very near highway 17. Looks like the storm doesn't want to weaken as quickly as I had hoped. Just hoping no more than Cat 1 winds. Surge is going to be horrendous.

[northjaxpro]

NWS office just released a statement that the storm surge at Mayport on the St. Johns River has now just exceeded Hurricane Dora"s previous record in 1964 . That is incredible!!

[dukeblue219]

It doesn't look to have weakened much, although I do believe it is a Cat 2 now (and has been for a while)...has there been any data supporting major hurricane lately?

Not really. Recon data supports about 85-90 knots very well. There have been some occasionally higher readings well above the surface, but no, not really. However, the core looks good on radar and the pressure is only coming up at maybe 1mb/hr.

[swampgator92]

Downtown St. Augustine

 https://twitter.com/FAIA_Florida/status/784450315106021376

[underthwx]

NWS office just released a statement that the storm surge at Mayport on the St. Johns River has now just exceeded Hurricane Dora"s previous record in 1964 . That is incredible!!

What was the height of the surge there?

[Rail Dawg]

Heading N on A1A 50 miles St. Augustine.

[sweetpea]

I am seeing video that someone posted out of Flagler Beach were whole sections of A1A in Flagler beach are gone.

[swampgator92]

Flagler Beach

 https://twitter.com/craaazyaz/status/784452332083933184

[swampgator92]

Storm Surge in St. Augustine measured at 7 Feet.

 https://twitter.com/MattSitkowski/status/784441431393992704

[stephen23]

Anyone who thinks they want to ride out a storm on the beach need to watch this video.....
https://www.yahoo.com/news/video-waves- ... 33335.html

[northjaxpro]

NWS office just released a statement that the storm surge at Mayport on the St. Johns River has now just exceeded Hurricane Dora"s previous record in 1964 . That is incredible!!

What was the height of the surge there?

Surge at Mayport for Hurricane Dora was 4.4 feet according to a NWS Jax met I just spoke to a few moments ago. Matthew has now exceeded that mark and the height is still rising.