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00Z just running @ post.
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03z
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stormreader wrote:USTropics wrote:Just for kicks, NAVGEM parks this in the NW Caribbean and has this at 180 hours:
http://i.imgur.com/DboGhGi.png
Except I'm not laughing. Mathew was identified in its "pouch stage" while over Africa as a potentially dangerous system. And it was. It's been my experience that certain storms have within in them a certain seed or resilience which makes their deaths while over tropical waters very problematic. So models take Mathew back down into the tropics with uncertain steering currents. Not laughing.
one wolf wrote:Okay so we see all this banter of strengthening trough, memories of Floyd, and even some newbie "guaranteeing" OBX impact. And yet NHC sticks with their guns in the 5am forecast. In Carteret County, we wring our hands but don't know what to do... should we prepare for a full hurricane and floodwaters or not?
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