ATL: BILL - Post-Tropical

[TeamPlayersBlue]

Careful with the NHC-bashing, folks - unless you want an S2K vacation...

You are back home? Woo Hoo....

Heck no, my 2:11pm flight out of Chicago is now set to depart at 9:15pm. I'll be home by 1am if I'm lucky.

Just in time for the upgrade!!!


I think over the next few hours it wont intensify. Looks like its cycling right now. Give it a few more hours and i think we will be looking at a different storm.

[ozonepete]

Oh, ok, I didn't see your last post. Sorry to hear that. At least you have internet. Remember the good old days with only newspapers and TV monitors with CNN?

[cycloneye]

Hello Bill!!

AL, 02, 2015061600, , BEST, 0, 270N, 940W, 45, 1005, TS

[northjaxpro]

I totally respect the job the experts at the NHC does. I never would publicly criticize them. I am sure that there had to be a reasonable explanation for the delay of the upgrade.

[Andrew92]

New Post: http://jonathanbelles.com/2015/06/15/ef ... rganizing/

Waiting on the upgrade...

I'm sorry, Jonathan, but with apologies, I must copy and paste your opening line, but tweak it just slightly....

“If it looks like a tropical storm and behaves like a tropical storm, then you should probably prepare for it like a tropical storm. #BePrepared”

Great update by the way! I likewise hope they upgrade this at the 11 PM/10 CDT advisory.

-Andrew92

[ROCK]

Rock what is ur prediction where it comes on shore?

eyeballing it I would say Texas coast. Might be closer to Freeport than Matagorda IMO..

Insert 2k disclaimer

[Hypercane_Kyle]

Tropical Storm Bill is here!

AL, 02, 2015061600, , BEST, 0, 270N, 940W, 45, 1005, TS

[Andrew92]

Of course, as I'm making my last post....it's here! Now don't get too strong, OK Billy the Kid?

-Andrew92

[Tireman4]

Rock what is ur prediction where it comes on shore?

eyeballing it I would say Texas coast. Might be closer to Freeport than Matagorda IMO..

Insert 2k disclaimer

I am thinking Matagorda to Galveston, but I can totally see your point.


The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[TeamPlayersBlue]

[b]The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is
Maybe if I was there I would get it....but I tend to think I still wouldn't.

In any event, I could see this getting to about 50-60 mph, perhaps a little stronger. I just don't know that it will have enough time to become a hurricane, being that it is June. But we'll find out, and keep Humberto in mind if you live in that area!

-Andrew92

Oh we remember Humberto....wow....

Only thing about humberto was the water was as warm as it gets. September GOM Temps. Also, even as a weak storm, it just 'looked' good on visible. MLC and LLC were stacked, decent broad apparent circulation and then boom. Took off. At the time we had houses on Crystal Beach and told her it would strengthen rapidly but didnt expect that at all. I dont think this will be a cat 3 by morning or anything like that, which humberto could have been if it had time, but this will surprise folks. Going to be a late night.

[Hammy]

They put the delay into effect last year where you don't get the BT updates as far as naming and such, does this mean a special advisory is on the way?

[Annie Oakley]

link the navy url for bill please

[EquusStorm]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... &TYPE=ssmi

[CrazyC83]

[b]The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is
Maybe if I was there I would get it....but I tend to think I still wouldn't.

In any event, I could see this getting to about 50-60 mph, perhaps a little stronger. I just don't know that it will have enough time to become a hurricane, being that it is June. But we'll find out, and keep Humberto in mind if you live in that area!

-Andrew92

Oh we remember Humberto....wow....

Only thing about humberto was the water was as warm as it gets. September GOM Temps. Also, even as a weak storm, it just 'looked' good on visible. MLC and LLC were stacked, decent broad apparent circulation and then boom. Took off. At the time we had houses on Crystal Beach and told her it would strengthen rapidly but didnt expect that at all. I dont think this will be a cat 3 by morning or anything like that, which humberto could have been if it had time, but this will surprise folks. Going to be a late night.

Regarding Humberto, there is a June analog that also exists...the third storm of 1936, in almost the same spot...

http://www.weather.unisys.com/hurricane ... /track.dat

[tropicwatch]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... &TYPE=ssmi

[Chris_in_Tampa]

They usually upgrade the best track and then do an advisory at the next normal advisory time. Technically the name Bill has yet to be assigned. Not simply because best track data is raw and unofficial at this point, but because it is:

AL, 02, 2015061600, , BEST, 0, 270N, 940W, 45, 1005, TS, 34, NEQ, 140, 130, 0, 0, 1009, 180, 50, 55, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, TRANSITIONED, alA12015 to al022015,

[wkwally]

Did they pull the trigger??????

[cycloneye]

link the navy url for bill please

They already have Bill there.

[cycloneye]

Another Best Track update adding the name.

02L BILL 150616 0000 27.0N 94.0W ATL 45 1005

[latitude_20]

It walks like a duck, it quacks like a duck, it even has a Bill!