ATL: ERIKA - Remnants - Discussion

[tgenius]

Seems like another wave of rain will be coming in about an hour or 2. The backyard looks like a pool lol.

[ocala]

Glad to see you guys is SFLA getting some rain. Lived down there 10 years and I never seen it so dry.
It's supposed to spread up this way in north central Florida today so hopefully we get in on some of the storms.
Hoping for some regeneration today.

[ronjon]

Lowest pressure at 7 am was Key West Int at 29.87 in with SE winds at 20 mph.

[CourierPR]

Lowest pressure at 7 am was Key West Int at 29.87 in with SE winds at 20 mph.

What are we witnessing in that ball of convection south of Cuba?

[caneman]

At the 8 am advisory. The nhc said it's not organizing now but did say shear should drop off in the next day.or 2 and still could organize.

[caneman]

Anyone else.notice that tower down around 20 and 80?

[gatorcane]

Looking at the latest floater, it does appear there is some spin just a little west of Key West with convection building in the vicinity, looks to be moving north. Obviously nothing organized and the invest will likely run out of time before it can get going. Still plenty of deep moisture funneling in over Florida between the trough to the NW and the ridge to the east. We have been getting rain off and on all night in Boca Raton with thunder as well. Winds are gusting here and there into the mid 20mph range as well, but obviously nothing like what it could have been.

[BobHarlem]

You can see Ex-Erika's center remnants nw of the keys in the Gulf on this really long Florida radar loop (easier to spot if you speed it up. http://flhurricane.com/imageanimator.php?179

[gatorcane]

Key West radar also shows the broad spin just west of Key West:

http://radar.weather.gov/radar_lite.php ... R&loop=yes

[NDG]

Discussion from Melbourne NWS made me laugh this morning while having my coffee.

MON-TUE...WET PATTERN LIKELY TO CONTINUE FOR MON AS REMNANT LOW
PRESSURE TROUGH FROM WHAT WAS ERIKA TRANSITIONS TO THE E GULF OF
MEXICO WHILE SEARCHING FOR DIRECTION AND PURPOSE. THERE DOES REMAIN
SOME VERY MODEST OPPORTUNITY FOR REGENERATION...BUT MUCH WOULD
DEPEND UPON THE UPPER WINDS AND FORTUNE. EVEN SO...ANOMALOUSLY
HIGH PWATS (EVEN FOR AUG/SEP) ARE THE LOCAL CONCERN AS THE
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING RAIN CONTINUES WITH THE TROPICAL MOISTURE
PLUME PULLED N. CHANCE FOR HIGHER TOTALS SKEWED TOWARD THE W
PENINSULA CLOSER TO FEATURE...BUT SIMPLY CANNOT DOWNPLAY THREAT IN
THE PRESENCE OF 2.3 INCHES OF PWAT.

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php ... glossary=0

[ronjon]

Big mass of convection headed toward Miami from offshore. Should be there in the next 60 minutes.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=AMX&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

[WeatherGuesser]

I don't usually post but I'm always reading. I live in Central Florida and we have had heavy storms today and this evening. HUGE Lightning bolts just bolted out across the street and scared the mess out of me. Most of my friends here are chasers are weather photographers so I will post if anything unusual happens.

Love those big CG's that crackle boom and rattle everything.

Until one taps your house and blows out all your gadgets, goodies and devices.

I don't understand the 'thrill' over this stuff.

[jlauderdal]

Big mass of convection headed toward Miami from offshore. Should be there in the next 60 minutes.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=AMX&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

dade county getting the brunt of erika...we had a good 10 hours straight of lighting in ne broward but its quiet now..looks like activity massing offshore for a run at the coast, will see if it holds together...this is tropical depression type stuff

[wxman57]

Erika's remnants are moving into the jet core over the eastern Gulf & Florida. No regeneration there.

[ronjon]

Another look from the WU radar for storms approaching Dade County. Look at all the lightning strikes! Holy Cow. Click on lightning box below radar image.

http://www.wunderground.com/weather-radar/united-states/fl/miami/amx/?region=pie

[gatorcane]

Here come the marine warnings:

Special Marine Warning
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
AMZ630-651-671-301330-
/O.NEW.KMFL.MA.W.0220.150830T1237Z-150830T1330Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
837 AM EDT SUN AUG 30 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
BISCAYNE BAY...
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL OUT 20 NM...
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
EXCLUDING THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF BAHAMAS...

* UNTIL 930 AM EDT

* AT 836 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM...
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WATERSPOUTS AND WINDS 34 KNOTS OR GREATER...
LOCATED NEAR TRIUMPH REEF...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 25 KNOTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF CAUGHT ON THE
OPEN WATER STAY BELOW DECK IF POSSIBLE...KEEP AWAY FROM UNGROUNDED
METAL OBJECTS.

&&

LAT...LON 2547 8034 2551 8034 2557 8030 2563 8030
2563 8029 2564 8029 2564 8027 2569 8027
2569 8025 2570 8024 2570 8026 2575 8021
2571 8016 2569 8018 2568 8016 2567 8016
2570 8015 2539 7975 2521 7988
TIME...MOT...LOC 1236Z 131DEG 24KT 2544 8004

$$

KM

[gatorcane]

Key West radar also shows the broad spin just west of Key West:

http://radar.weather.gov/radar_lite.php ... R&loop=yes

Looks like whatever LLC is remaining might be about 50 miles WSW of Key West. Radar imagery is showing deep thunderstorms in the vicinity of the LLC building and they look to be trying to converge

[boca]

Here in East Boca we are just out of the conveyor belt of rain unless the rain band shifts east we aren't going to get much up here today

[Dean4Storms]

Key West radar also shows the broad spin just west of Key West:

http://radar.weather.gov/radar_lite.php ... R&loop=yes

Looks like whatever LLC is remaining might be about 50 miles WSW of Key West. Radar imagery is showing deep thunderstorms in the vicinity of the LLC building and they look to be trying to converge

There is no LLC remaining. Those appear to be nothing but small eddies produced by former collapsing storms. I can see lots of them on radar, 2 north of the eastern tip of Cuba, several south of Miami, etc....

[nativefloridian]

Big mass of convection headed toward Miami from offshore. Should be there in the next 60 minutes.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=AMX&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes

dade county getting the brunt of erika...we had a good 10 hours straight of lighting in ne broward but its quiet now..looks like activity massing offshore for a run at the coast, will see if it holds together...this is tropical depression type stuff

Yep. It was an all night show....constant lightning, thunder, and heavy rain here in southwest broward county. Cloudy and quiet right now, but expect we'll see some thunderstorms off an on through the day.

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