EPAC: PATRICIA - Post-Tropical

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EquusStorm
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#121 Postby EquusStorm » Thu Oct 22, 2015 9:58 am

That rapidly developing eye structure looks extremely menacing. The rate of intensification is amazing.
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#122 Postby northjaxpro » Thu Oct 22, 2015 10:04 am

Patricia is well on its way to become one of the most impressive tropical cyclones you will see imo before she landfalls. This one potentially could be one for the ages from the Eastern Pacific.

My prayers to all in Mexico and then my concerns and thoughts to the people in Texas, as all of that deep tropical moisture from Patricia's remnants heads northeast and will trench Texas.
Last edited by northjaxpro on Thu Oct 22, 2015 10:12 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Hurricane

#123 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 22, 2015 10:04 am

weatherwindow wrote:Good morning, Luis...can we calculate the closest approach to Isla Navidad with the current forecast advisory? Notice that we have a member, zeehag, that may be under the gun there.. Greetings from Key West, Rich


Here is the latest forecast graphic.Hopefully he is safe and has prepared.

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#124 Postby Alyono » Thu Oct 22, 2015 10:11 am

this may be the thing that redevelops in the Gulf to be honest
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Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Hurricane

#125 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 22, 2015 10:13 am

Plane is on route.Sufficient to say this mission will be a very interesting one.
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Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Hurricane

#126 Postby davidiowx » Thu Oct 22, 2015 10:16 am

Could still be a minimal TS all the way across Texas

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#127 Postby Tireman4 » Thu Oct 22, 2015 10:44 am

Alyono wrote:this may be the thing that redevelops in the Gulf to be honest


Oh I hope not.....sigh...
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#128 Postby supercane4867 » Thu Oct 22, 2015 10:55 am

This is not a 85kt storm, more like 115kt already. Patricia may become one of these epic pacific storm during super El Ninos
Dvorak has been underestimating this thing since its formation and NHC needs to wake up...

PS: 12Z GFS deepens Patricia to near 915mb before landfall
Last edited by supercane4867 on Thu Oct 22, 2015 10:56 am, edited 2 times in total.
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#129 Postby Alyono » Thu Oct 22, 2015 10:55 am

MU has what looks to be a TS over South Texas Sunday morning
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#130 Postby northjaxpro » Thu Oct 22, 2015 11:03 am

supercane4867 wrote:This is not a 85kt storm, more like 115kt already. Patricia may become one of these epic pacific storm during super El Ninos
Dvorak has been underestimating this thing since its formation and NHC needs to wake up...

PS: 12Z GFS deepens Patricia to near 915mb before landfall


I definitely see this possibility. When Recon gets in Patricia, I think they will find her already at major hurricane status and still intensifying. Patricia WILL be one for the history books unfortunately when its all said and done.
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#131 Postby 1900hurricane » Thu Oct 22, 2015 11:08 am

Core is well formed, but you probably didn't need microwave to know that.

Image

*EDIT for correct microwave image.
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#132 Postby srainhoutx » Thu Oct 22, 2015 11:12 am

Alyono wrote:MU has what looks to be a TS over South Texas Sunday morning


Inland near Surfside Monday afternoon.
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Re: Re:

#133 Postby Tireman4 » Thu Oct 22, 2015 11:13 am

srainhoutx wrote:
Alyono wrote:MU has what looks to be a TS over South Texas Sunday morning


Inland near Surfside Monday afternoon.



Weak, I am assuming..?
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Re:

#134 Postby supercane4867 » Thu Oct 22, 2015 11:15 am

1900hurricane wrote:Core is well formed, but you probably didn't need microwave to know that.


We all know what happens when a hurricane with well-developed inner core running over 31C SSTs and heat content among the highest across the globe

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Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Hurricane

#135 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 22, 2015 11:45 am

Plane is reaching the Pacific coast so it wont be long that they decend and we will see how strong this beast is.
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Re:

#136 Postby Kingarabian » Thu Oct 22, 2015 11:47 am

Alyono wrote:this may be the thing that redevelops in the Gulf to be honest


You don't think that the mountains will be able to shred it apart?
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Re: Re:

#137 Postby Alyono » Thu Oct 22, 2015 11:53 am

Kingarabian wrote:
Alyono wrote:this may be the thing that redevelops in the Gulf to be honest


You don't think that the mountains will be able to shred it apart?


it probably will be shredded and I still favor a separate nontrop in the GOM. Just throwing it as a possibility given how strong it will be at landfall
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Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Hurricane

#138 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 22, 2015 12:03 pm

Plane is decending to operational altitude.
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Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Hurricane

#139 Postby tolakram » Thu Oct 22, 2015 12:12 pm

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Re: EPAC: PATRICIA - Hurricane

#140 Postby tolakram » Thu Oct 22, 2015 12:15 pm

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