WPAC: HAIYAN - Post-Tropical

[stormkite]

Sunset

[Filipinas50]

2013NOV07 093000 7.8 870.7 +4.3 164.0 7.8 8.0 8.0 NO LIMIT OFF OFF 17.96 -83.77 EYE 26 IR 95.9 10.02 -129.76 COMBO MTSAT1 16.7

Unbelievable...i am really excited for haiyan!

Excited? There are 100's or even 1,000's of lives are at risk from this monster storm ...

[euro6208]

PGTW- 8.0
KNES- 8.0
Adjusted and Raw T - 8.0

[euro6208]

2013NOV07 093000 7.8 870.7 +4.3 164.0 7.8 8.0 8.0 NO LIMIT OFF OFF 17.96 -83.77 EYE 26 IR 95.9 10.02 -129.76 COMBO MTSAT1 16.7

Unbelievable...i am really excited for haiyan!

Excited? There are 100's or even 1,000's of lives are at risk from this monster storm ...

For the storm but not the expected landfall...sorry for the confusion...

[cycloneye]

Mass evacuations going on

MANILA - Survivors of a deadly earthquake fled their tent shelters Thursday as mass evacuations got under way in the Philippines ahead of a super typhoon that was strengthening in the Pacific Ocean.

Authorities warned Typhoon Haiyan, with wind gusts exceeding 330 kilometres (200 miles) an hour, could cause major damage across a vast area of the central and southern Philippines when it made landfall on Friday.

"This is a very dangerous typhoon, local officials know where the vulnerable areas are and have given instructions on evacuations," state weather forecaster Glaiza Escullar told AFP.

"There are not too many mountains on its path to deflect the force of impact, making it more dangerous."

Haiyan had maximum sustained winds on Thursday morning of 278 kilometres per hour, and gusts of 333 kilometres per hour, according to the US Navy's Joint Typhoon Warning Centre.

The Philippines is battered by an average of 20 major storms or typhoons each year, many of them deadly, but Haiyan's wind strenth would make it the strongest for 2013.

The state weather service also warned the typhoon was continuing to intensify.

Escullar said the typhoon, which was advancing with a giant, 600-kilometre front, was expected to hit areas still recovering from a deadly 2011 storm and a 7.1-magnitude quake last month.

They include the central island of Bohol, the epicentre of the earthquake that killed more than 200 people, where a local official said at least 5,000 people were still living in tents while waiting for new homes.

"The provincial governor has ordered local disaster officials to ensure that pre-emptive evacuations are done, both for those living in tents as well as those in flood-prone areas," the official, Bohol provincial administrator Alfonso Damalerio, told AFP.

The National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council also said local governments had ordered evacuations and class suspensions in low-lying and landslide-prone areas on the southern island of Mindanao.

The region includes the ports of Cagayan de Oro and Iligan, where flash floods induced by Tropical Storm Washi killed more than 1,000 people in December 2011.

However Escullar said Haiyan was likely to spare Mindanao's southeast, where Typhoon Bopha left about 2,000 people dead or missing in December last year.

Haiyan is set to hit Samar Island, about 600 kilometres southeast of Manila, around 9:00am (0100 GMT) on Friday and cross over to the South China Sea to the north of the island of Palawan late Saturday, Escullar said.

Some of the country's most popular islands for tourists, including world-famous Boracay as well as Bohol, are in the typhoon's path.

http://www.abs-cbnnews.com/nation/regio ... er-typhoon

[Meow]

JTWC analyses 8.0... Let’s see if Haiyan becomes 165kt or even 170kt!

What did the JTWC analyse Megi's D-# at? 7.5?

Absolutely 7.5

[Alyono]

The satellite appearance is perfect

If we had recon, winds of 175 KT may be justifiable as they were with Megi

[euro6208]

The satellite appearance is perfect

If we had recon, winds of 175 KT may be justifiable as they were with Megi

Coming from a pro met, that send a shiver down my spine...

Anxiously waiting for the next Best Track update from JTWC in less than 2 hours...

I expect they might increase the winds to a conservative 160 knots even though it's way stronger that...anything higher will be debatable...

[stormkite]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=p ... WyGx2TTVhQ

[euro6208]

866.5 mb

Unofficial estimate from SSD if verify would give haiyan the crown for lowest pressure in the world...

[cycloneye]

Let's see if this cam continues to work in the next few hours.

Web Cam with audio in Boracay

[euro6208]

Fellow storm2k member, Typhoon Hunter, is currently doing recon for haiyang in central/southern leyte...

this is what he has to say...

James Reynolds ‏@typhoonfury 34m
Storm so severe we're making adjustments to our plan, found more solid building, nervous to say the least #YolandaPH #Haiyan

https://twitter.com/typhoonfury

[Meow]

JTWC: 165 knots

[mrbagyo]

Fellow storm2k member, Typhoon Hunter, is currently doing recon for haiyang in central/southern leyte...

this is what he has to say...

James Reynolds ‏@typhoonfury 34m
Storm so severe we're making adjustments to our plan, found more solid building, nervous to say the least #YolandaPH #Haiyan

TEAHUPO'O Is To Surfing ; PHILIPPINES Is To Storm Chasing..
THE PHILIPPINES HAS THE BEST NATURAL LABORATORY FOR TROPICAL METEOROLOGY

[cycloneye]

Let's see if this cam continues to work in the next few hours.

Web Cam with audio in Boracay

Another Web Cam with audio in Boracay

[Meow]

JMA: 125 knots



TY 1330 (HAIYAN)
Issued at 12:50 UTC, 7 November 2013

<Analyses at 07/12 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity Violent
Center position N10°10'(10.2°)
E129°05'(129.1°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 35km/h(20kt)
Central pressure 895hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 65m/s(125kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 90m/s(175kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more ALL130km(70NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more N330km(180NM)
S280km(150NM)

<Forecast for 08/00 UTC>
Intensity Violent
Center position of probability circle N10°55'(10.9°)
E125°35'(125.6°)
Direction and speed of movement W 35km/h(18kt)
Central pressure 895hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 65m/s(125kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 90m/s(175kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area ALL220km(120NM)

<Forecast for 08/12 UTC>
Intensity Violent
Center position of probability circle N12°00'(12.0°)
E121°30'(121.5°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 35km/h(20kt)
Central pressure 900hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 60m/s(120kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 85m/s(170kt)
Radius of probability circle 140km(75NM)
Storm warning area ALL280km(150NM)

<Forecast for 09/12 UTC>
Intensity Violent
Center position of probability circle N13°55'(13.9°)
E113°05'(113.1°)
Direction and speed of movement W 35km/h(20kt)
Central pressure 915hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 55m/s(110kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 80m/s(155kt)
Radius of probability circle 260km(140NM)
Storm warning area ALL410km(220NM)

<Forecast for 10/12 UTC>
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N16°35'(16.6°)
E106°55'(106.9°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 30km/h(16kt)
Central pressure 930hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 50m/s(100kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 70m/s(140kt)
Radius of probability circle 390km(210NM)
Storm warning area ALL520km(280NM)

[dexterlabio]

Metro Manila now under signal number 1 according to PAGASA.



Strongest tropical cyclone worldwide since Megi, isn't it?

[Alyono]

Fellow storm2k member, Typhoon Hunter, is currently doing recon for haiyang in central/southern leyte...

this is what he has to say...

James Reynolds ‏@typhoonfury 34m
Storm so severe we're making adjustments to our plan, found more solid building, nervous to say the least #YolandaPH #Haiyan

https://twitter.com/typhoonfury

He needs to get out of there now! This thing is basically a lage version of the Joplin tornado! Would he drive into that?

[dexterlabio]

Severe Weather Bulletin Number FOUR-A (INTERMEDIATE)
Tropical Cyclone Warning: Typhoon "YOLANDA"(HAIYAN)
Issued at 8:00 p.m., Thursday, 07 November 2013

Typhoon "YOLANDA" has accelerated and intensified slightly as it continues to threaten Eastern Visayas.

Location of Center:
(as of 6:00 p.m.) 453 km Southeast of Guiuan, Eastern Samar
Coordinates: 9.9°N, 129.7°E
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 225 kph near the center and
gustiness of up to 260 kph
Movement: Forecast to move West Northwest at 39 kph
Forecast Positions/Outlook:
Friday evening:
55 km East of Coron, Palawan
Saturday evening:
1,032 km West of Manila
or outside the Philippine Area of Responsibility

Signal No. 4
( >185 kph winds may be expected in at least 12 hours)
Eastern Samar
Samar
Leyte
Southern Leyte
Biliran province
extreme northern Cebu
Bantayan island
Capiz
Aklan
northern Antique

Signal No.3
(Winds of >100 to 185 kph may be expected in at least 18 hours)
Masbate
Ticao Island
Sorsogon
Romblon
Calamian Group of Island
Northern Samar
rest of Antique
Iloilo
Guimaras
northern Negros Occidental
northern Negros Oriental
northern Cebu including Cebu City
Bohol
Northern Samar
Siargao Island
Dinagat Province

Signal No. 2
(winds of >60 to 100 kph may be expected in at least 24 hours)
Mindoro Provinces
Marinduque
Albay
extreme northern Palawan
Burias island
rest of Negros Occidental
rest of Negros Oriental
Siquijor
Rest of Cebu
Camiguin
Surigao Del Norte
Surigao Del Sur
Agusan Del Norte

Signal No. 1
(30-60 kph winds may be expected in at least 36 hours)
Metro Manila
Camarines Norte
Camarines Sur
Catanduanes
southern Quezon
Laguna
Rizal
Cavite
Batangas
Lubang Island
Rest of Northern Palawan including Puerto Princesa
Misamis Oriental
Agusan del Sur

[supercane4867]

When I woke up this morning and saw that T8.0 my only reaction is HOLY CR**