ATL: DORIAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

[Blown Away]

Thank goodness it's likely to landfall north of me...

[hurrtracker79]

What are you basing this information off of. I'm not seeing anything close to a surface circulation.[/quote]
sat radar and surface ibs pointing towards a weak low off vero beach area though its elongated north to south[/quote]


Yes, when looking at visible sat it looks like some kind of rotation there.[/quote]


Super disorganized though, all the heavy convection is to the south of the swirl. Low chance this develops IMO.

[artist]

Circulation clearly visible NW of convection now.

Live visible: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... umframes=4

no expert, but that looks mid level to my eyes.

[northjaxpro]

not only the shear, but a nice tongue of dry air as slipped through our area and will soon affect the system as well. Time is running out quickly for 91L to develop.

[Aric Dunn]

Circulation clearly visible NW of convection now.

Live visible: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... umframes=4

no expert, but that looks mid level to my eyes.

there are surface obs to support a weak circ... also convection beginning to increase quick with this feature .. seen marked increase in just the last hour near the center

[artist]

Circulation clearly visible NW of convection now.

Live visible: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... umframes=4

no expert, but that looks mid level to my eyes.

there are surface obs to support a weak circ... also convection beginning to increase quick with this feature .. seen marked increase in just the last hour near the center

thanks Aric. Told ya, not an expert.

[Sanibel]

It's the cusp of the season. Usually a struggler appears and then the real action follows.


This one is trying to form over the Gulf Stream but is battling lingering hostile conditions.

[jhpigott]

radar appearance starting to resemble that comma shape

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... height=480

[Weatherboy1]

Looking at the steering currents, it seems to me this Dorian remnant is in somewhat of a col region. I guess it could easily get picked up and accelerate to the N and NNE as projected. But what if it just kind of stalls in the current area? Is that possible? Certainly seems that the surface low feature that appears to be sitting off the coast of Vero Beach has stalled its northward movement the last few hours

[artist]

radar
http://www.sfwmd.gov/portal/page/portal ... 28radar%29

[Aric Dunn]

eveeyone else having problems loading?

besides that. sprial bands developing on radar a sat ... convrction is limited but i think with any increase in convection the nhc may bring him back to life tonight.

[tolakram]

Dorian has overstayed it's welcome. Do something or take a ride on the westerlies and get out of here.

Live visible: http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... umframes=7

[tolakram]

eveeyone else having problems loading?

besides that. sprial bands developing on radar a sat ... convrction is limited but i think with any increase in convection the nhc may bring him back to life tonight.

Yep. Host appears to be having issues, up and down all morning. Let's hope it's ended.

[Steve H.]

May be seeing multiple vortices here. The one east of St. Lucie county and a more convective one just west of Grand Bahama Island. This may become the dominant feature.

[tolakram]

May be seeing multiple vortices here. The one east of St. Lucie county and a more convective one just west of Grand Bahama Island. This may become the dominant feature.

Or the midlevel is south of the LLC due to shear. Not sure.

[Hammy]

Dorian looking far better today than it did the last few days that it was a tropical storm, the next TWO will certainly be interesting.

[jhpigott]

May be seeing multiple vortices here. The one east of St. Lucie county and a more convective one just west of Grand Bahama Island. This may become the dominant feature.

I was just going to post something similiar. Lots of spin in the gulf stream in the waters bwtn Grand Bahama Island and WPB.

Looks like we are back up and running . . . YES

[tolakram]

Latest shear analysis shows shear down to 10 or less for the moment.

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/w ... oom=&time=

[Stormlover2012]

Just a rain maker!!! Nothing will come out of this just some good ole rain.

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[Steve H.]

Whichever it be, llc or mlc, convection is filling in nicely.